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Arab parties could win 18 seats in Israeli elections, exit polls suggest

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Al Jazeera Staff. (2026, October 28). Arab parties could win 18 seats in Israeli elections, exit polls suggest. Al Jazeera. https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/28/arab-parties-could-win-18-seats-in-israeli-elections-exit-polls-suggest?traffic_source=rss

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Al Jazeera · collected 2026-10-28 · by Al Jazeera Staff

Quick Summary

Israeli exit polls indicate that Arab parties are projected to win 18 seats in the upcoming parliament, marking a record high. Voter turnout among Palestinian citizens of Israel reached around 80%, breaking previous records set in 1999. The leader of Ra’am party, Mansour Abbas, expressed hope that this result will enable an anti-Netanyahu bloc to form a government with the required majority. Meanwhile, Netanyahu and his coalition made efforts to mobilize their base by highlighting high Arab voter turnout, which some viewed as racially inflammatory tactics.
Written by AI on 2026-10-28, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On October 27, 2026, Israelis voted in a parliamentary election for the Knesset, amid ongoing tensions from previous conflicts including Hamas's attacks in 2023 and the war in Gaza. The elections were seen as a critical moment to address issues such as military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox Jews and how to respond to security failures. Former Israeli army chief Gadi Eisenkot emerged as a significant challenger to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has held office for an extended period. Thousands rallied in Tel Aviv against Netanyahu, calling for a commission of inquiry into the October 7 attacks. Arab-Israeli parties were poised to play a crucial role in potentially forming an opposition alliance aimed at removing Netanyahu from power. Palestinian-led parties secured 19 seats in the election, marking a historic result and complicating future coalition-building efforts. The election outcome was inconclusive, raising questions about potential political gridlock and the normalization of extreme nationalism in Israel's politics.

Written for “Israel Knesset Elections Outcome” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 258 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Israel Knesset Elections Outcome
Politics · 259 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 67 claims Outlet record 68/100
BBC News
Hedges 3 of 35 claims Outlet record 68/100
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 42 claims Outlet record 60/100
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 6 of 37 claims Outlet record 68/100
New York Post
Hedges 5 of 52 claims Outlet record 66/100
Al Jazeera
Hedges 11 of 47 claims Outlet record 60/100
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 70/100
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 7 of 26 claims Outlet record 66/100
Euronews
Hedges 3 of 18 claims Outlet record 60/100
Semafor
Hedges 1 of 5 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different stages of an election process, with Article A discussing a poll just days before the election and potential implications, while Article B reports on actual exit polls after voting day.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
21
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
14%
3 of 21 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
60/100
Al Jazeera's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
259
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-28 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Al Jazeera · 4733 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Al Jazeera Staff
851 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Wire or desk byline, not an individual reporter.
Also by Al Jazeera Staff
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 851 articles by Al Jazeera Staff →

Topics

Arab Israel Israeli Palestinian Ra’am

Subjects

Israel GPE · 10× Arab NORP · 7× Palestinian NORP · 6× Israeli NORP · 4× Knesset ORG · 4× Arabs NORP · 3× Ra’am ORG · 3× Channel 12 ORG · 2× Likud ORG · 2× Mansour Abbas PERSON · 2×

Narrative

She noted the record turnout among what has emerged as a key voting bloc, which drew “even [voters] who would usually boycott elections, who didn’t believe it would amount to any kind of influence, that it would change their reality, that it would alter the systemic discrimination that they face”.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-28
🔮 Israel’s Arab parties are projected to win 18 seats in the Israeli parliament, exit polls indicate, after voting among Palestinian citizens of Israel surged to their highest levels in decades.
2026-10-28 · Al Jazeera
Arab parties could win 18 seats in Israeli elections, exit polls suggest · assertive framing

Claims (21 extracted, 3 hedged)

Israel’s Arab parties are projected to win 18 seats in the Israeli parliament, exit polls indicate, after voting among Palestinian citizens of Israel surged to their highest levels in decades. asserted
voting → project → decades
Exit polling data from Tuesday’s vote suggested that the leading Arab-led parties, the Joint List and Ra’am, are set to hold a record number of seats in the 120-member Knesset. uncertain
parties → suggest → Knesset
Updated exit polling indicated that the opposition bloc led by former Israeli military chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and the bloc led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party were tied at 51 seats each. asserted
bloc → update → seats
Recommended Stories list of 3 items- list 1 of 3Israel heads to the polls as shift to the right dominates critical election - list 2 of 3Iranians brace for renewed attacks after Israeli, US elections - list 3 of 3Palestinian citizens of Israel can vote, but cannot expect change asserted
citizens → head → change
Early indications put voter turnout among Palestinian citizens of Israel at around 80 percent, historic numbers that break 1999 records, Israel’s Channel 12 reported on Tuesday. asserted
Channel → put → Tuesday
The leader of Ra’am, or the United Arab List, Mansour Abbas, said he hopes the final election results will allow the anti-Netanyahu bloc, including his party, to win the 61 seats required to form a government. asserted
bloc → say → government
“With the numbers we have now, there is no government,” Abbas told Israel’s Channel 12. asserted
Abbas → have → Channel
Abbas, whose Ra’am party currently holds five seats in the Knesset and joined the coalition that governed Israel from 2021 to 2022, added that both main blocs reached out to his party before and after the election. asserted
blocs → hold → election
‘Arabs can’t be kept outside’ asserted
Arabs → keep → ?
Speaking to Al Jazeera, Alon Pinkas, a former Israeli ambassador, said creating a government might prove difficult for parties such as Eisenkot’s – which earlier exit polls had put narrowly ahead – because they promised not to form coalitions with Arab parties during the campaign. uncertain
they → speak → campaign
“There’s a price to pay,” Pinkas said, because the “Arabs can’t be kept outside and only being considered and co-opted when you need their votes”. asserted
you → ’ → votes
He added that the Arab-led lists will make demands that a Jewish-led coalition government may not support. uncertain
government → add → that
Netanyahu and his far-right coalition made last-ditch efforts on Tuesday to get their supporters to the polls, warning of surging voter turnout among Palestinian citizens of Israel, a tactic Arab politicians denounced as racist and inflammatory. asserted
politicians → make → Israel
Cars flying Netanyahu’s Likud party flags drove through Jerusalem blaring the Islamic call to prayer and urging supporters to cast their ballots because “Arabs are voting”, witnesses said. asserted
witnesses → fly → ballots
In social media posts, the embattled prime minister highlighted long queues at polling stations in Arab communities and published an image that he said showed Arab voters, including women wearing the niqab, a veil that covers the lower half of the face, waiting to vote. asserted
that → highlight → face
“If we don’t wake up now, we’ll find ourselves with a government of Mansour Abbas and Ahmad Tibi,” he said, referring to two leading Palestinian members of the Knesset. asserted
he → wake → Knesset
Overall voter turnout was also historic, reaching its highest level since 1999 with 77.7 percent casting ballots in Tuesday’s election, the Central Elections Committee reported. asserted
Committee → reach → election
Palestinian citizens of Israel make up about 21 percent of the country’s population of 10 million and have traditionally voted at lower rates than Jewish Israelis. asserted
citizens → make → Israelis
Al Jazeera’s Nour Odeh, reporting from Ramallah in the occupied West Bank, called the election “an existential moment for Palestinian-Israelis”. asserted
Odeh → report → Israelis
She noted the record turnout among what has emerged as a key voting bloc, which drew “even [voters] who would usually boycott elections, who didn’t believe it would amount to any kind of influence, that it would change their reality, that it would alter the systemic discrimination that they face”. asserted
they → note → that
The Knesset has passed more than 100 laws discriminating against Palestinian citizens of Israel, who also face discrimination in receiving state funds, Odeh said. asserted
Odeh → pass → funds
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