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Oil company earnings skyrocket — again

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Rubin, W. (2026, October 31). Oil company earnings skyrocket — again. NPR. https://www.npr.org/2026/10/31/nx-s1-6008072/oil-company-profits-gasoline-diesel-prices

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NPR · collected 2026-10-31 · by Willa Rubin

Quick Summary

Oil companies recently reported significant earnings increases: ExxonMobil earned $15.4 billion, Shell earned $10.8 billion, and Chevron's profits were up to $9.9 billion this quarter, more than doubling compared to the same period last year. The surge in earnings is attributed mainly to disruptions caused by the war in Ukraine, leading to higher global oil prices—Brent crude now trades around $113 a barrel, up from about $70 before the conflict began. Financial expert Dan Pickering notes that major U.S. and European companies are profiting as they meet steady demand for oil products while taking a conservative approach towards investment due to unpredictable geopolitical events.
Written by AI on 2026-10-31, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of October 30, 2026, ExxonMobil and Chevron reported significant third-quarter profits, with Exxon's earnings doubling from the previous year to $15.4 billion and Chevron’s surging by over 180% to $9.9 billion. The surge in profits was attributed to higher oil prices due to supply disruptions caused by the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran, leading to a sharp rise in diesel costs to about $6.32 per gallon, up 71% since last year. Despite these high prices causing consumer pain, particularly at the gas pump where regular gasoline averaged $4.20 per gallon, major oil companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron are benefiting from record production levels and full utilization of their refineries. The Trump administration has taken measures to mitigate rising fuel costs, including loosening rules on dyed diesel and lifting sanctions against Russia to allow more diesel into the global market.

Written for “Oil Companies Report High Profits” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 3 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence medium 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans left for article 119280 (medium confidence, 2 verified quotes) · logged 2026-10-31

Story

📰 Oil Companies Report High Profits
Economy/Business · 4 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 6 claims Outlet record 65/100
“The articles refer to Shell's earnings announcement but cover different time frames and details; Article A is more focused on Shell's specific announcement and plans, while Article B summarizes a broader industry trend including multiple companies' earnings.”
NBC News
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 2 of 36 claims Outlet record 60/100
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 70/100
“While both articles discuss profits made by Chevron and Exxon due to higher oil prices resulting from conflicts with Iran, they describe earnings reports over different time periods or provide more detailed financial figures.”
The Guardian
Hedges 0 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss Shell's increased profits due to the Iran war and higher oil prices, they report on different time periods and details (Article A specifies the July-September quarter of 2026 while Article B summarizes earnings from 'this week').”
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 17 claims Outlet record 65/100
“While both articles discuss increased earnings for Shell and other major oil companies during a specific quarter due to high oil prices, they are written on different dates and provide slightly different details about the profit figures.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
45
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
4%
2 of 45 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
60/100
NPR's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
4
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-31 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

NPR · 987 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Willa Rubin
9 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Since it's hard to predict how long those will last, he continued, "You put the money in the bank and watch to see what happens as we move into 2027."
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Oil company earnings skyrocket — again
🔮 Tariffs, diesel and computer chips are driving up costs for automakers American automakers are reporting their third quarter earnings, and they're saying revenues are up, but they're also facing some serious headwinds. Or as Mike Wall, an analyst at the automotive data company Mobility Global, put it: If this year was a book about the auto industry, "It would be a mix of suspense and thrills and maybe a little bit of comedy and a little bit of horror."
🔮 How the oil industry is preparing for Hurricane Isaias Hurricane Isaias, the first Atlantic hurricane of the season, is expected to make landfall on Friday evening near the Alabama Gulf Coast and Florida panhandle.
2026-10-09 · assertive framing · How the oil industry is preparing for Hurricane Isaias
🔮 Could this lower the cost of diesel?
🔮 This trajectory is " clearly nothing like what it was previously, but it has not fallen off of a cliff, which is what some people's predictions would've been," said Ivan Drury, director of insights at Edmunds.
🔮 The revised rules, which were finalized today, will now require carmakers to make their new passenger car and truck fleets up to 1% more fuel efficient each year, aiming for an average of 34.9 miles to the gallon in model year 2031.
🔮 eBay declined an interview with NPR, but pointed to an online statement saying the decision was made "following a comprehensive review of the risks these products may pose to eBay users."
🔮 But the latest tariff flareup between the two countries may complicate that.
🔮 A May survey produced by organizations that represent school superintendents and bus companies found that more than half the districts surveyed said diesel prices were already pushing them over budget.
Also by Willa Rubin
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 9 articles by Willa Rubin →

Topics

Chevron Exxon ExxonMobil Shell U.S.

Subjects

Exxon ORG · 3× Shell ORG · 3× Chevron ORG · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Pickering ORG · 2× U.S. GPE · 2× AAA ORG · 1× Dan Pickering PERSON · 1× ExxonMobil ORG · 1× Pickering Energy Partners ORG · 1×

Narrative

As the midterms approach, the Trump administration has taken measures to bring down the price of fuel, particularly diesel, including temporarily loosening federal rules for dyed diesel, which is used in farming, and lifting sanctions against Russia to allow more diesel to enter the world market. But these efforts are unlikely to bring down U.S. prices — the amount of fuel Russia can release would make up only a small portion of U.S. daily demand, and dyed diesel is still not accessible to most drivers.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-31
🔮 Since it's hard to predict how long those will last, he continued, "You put the money in the bank and watch to see what happens as we move into 2027."
2026-10-31 · NPR
Oil company earnings skyrocket — again · assertive framing

Claims (45 extracted, 2 hedged)

Oil company earnings skyrocket — again Oil companies made billions this quarter, they told investors on calls this week. asserted
they → skyrocket → calls
ExxonMobil earned $15.4 billion, more than doubling its earnings compared to this time last year. asserted
ExxonMobil → earn → time
Shell nearly doubled its own earnings, at $10.8 billion. asserted
Shell → double → billion
Together, the three companies pulled in just over $36 billion this quarter. asserted
companies → pull → billion
As with the soaring profits oil companies recorded last quarter, it's largely due to the war in Iran disrupting the global oil supply. asserted
it → soar → supply
Less oil is moving through the Middle East, so the oil in other parts of the world has become much more valuable. asserted
oil → move → world
Brent crude is now trading around $113 a barrel. asserted
crude → trade → 113
For context, before the war began, it was about $70 a barrel. asserted
it → begin → context
Meanwhile, demand for oil and refined products like gasoline, diesel and heating oil hasn't changed much. asserted
demand → change → gasoline
People still need them to heat homes, drive cars, run tractors and truck everything we buy around the country. asserted
we → need → country
Dan Pickering, founder of the financial services firm Pickering Energy Partners, says that big oil companies are profiting as they meet that demand. " asserted
they → say → demand
The majors are able to sell their barrels that they produce in the U.S. or Latin America or Europe for much higher prices," he said. asserted
he → sell → prices
On their earnings calls, oil company executives said a good chunk of their profits were going to their shareholders through dividends and stock buybacks. asserted
chunk → say → dividends
Exxon announced its highest-ever quarterly dividend. asserted
Exxon → announce → dividend
But for the most part, Pickering says, these companies are in a wait-and-see stance — they're not really spending that money on things like new drilling projects, because they know they're in an unusual moment. " asserted
they → say → moment
This is a period where the high prices are driven more by geopolitical events than anything else," he said. asserted
he → drive → anything
Since it's hard to predict how long those will last, he continued, "You put the money in the bank and watch to see what happens as we move into 2027." asserted
we → predict → 2027
Pickering says this makes sense because oil is a cyclical industry — prices move up and down. asserted
prices → say → sense
Companies want to hold onto their cash when times are good so they can insulate themselves when they're not so good. asserted
they → want → themselves
A supply shock, amid two ongoing wars The rising cost of oil has pushed up what drivers pay at the pump. asserted
drivers → rise → pump
Gasoline now costs about $1.20 more per gallon than it did a year ago, according to AAA. uncertain
it → cost → AAA
Diesel hit a record high in September, and is still close to that high. asserted
Diesel → hit → high
Exxon CEO Darren Woods was one of the few to directly address the issue on an earnings call, saying, "We recognize the impact high prices have on people's lives and economic growth." Exxon's solution, he said, is to boost production. asserted
he → address → production
" With products in short supply, our teams have done everything they can to keep prices down by maximizing production," he said. asserted
he → do → production
Chevron CEO Mike Wirth made a similar point, telling investors, " What we can do is what we can control, and that's help consumers get as much as they possibly can out of our systems. uncertain
they → make → systems
On these calls, executives from all the companies pointed out that they're dealing with a massive supply shock. asserted
they → point → shock
The war in Iran, as well as Ukraine's strikes on Russian oil refineries, have taken a lot of global refining capacity offline. asserted
war → take → capacity
The executives indicated that they don't see the situation changing anytime soon. asserted
situation → indicate → ?
"If you'd asked me six months ago, would I have thought that oil prices were going to be where they are today — no," Shell CEO Wael Sawan said on his company's call. asserted
Sawan → ask → call
"Personally, I thought we were at a high there, and we were essentially looking at what was going to be a temporal spike. asserted
what → think → high
But because the war has gone on this long, global oil reserves are at much lower levels. asserted
reserves → go → levels
The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve is at low levels; Europe released some of its crude oil and diesel. asserted
Europe → release → oil
"We're now seeing more and more structural stability in that higher oil price simply because we are seeing that inventory levels are being drawn down very quickly, and it's going to take quite some time to be able to refill that inventory," Sawan continued. asserted
Sawan → see → inventory
Calls for a windfall tax Democrats in both chambers of Congress have called for a tax on windfall profits — excess profits that come about because of geopolitical forces outside of their control, not because of innovation. asserted
that → call → innovation
Bills introduced this spring would return some of those profits to Americans through tax rebates. asserted
Bills → introduce → rebates
Earlier this year, Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), who sponsored a windfall tax bill in the Senate, said he hopes it will also spotlight how climate-friendly renewable energy is increasingly more cost-competitive than fossil fuels. asserted
energy → sponsor → fuels
" Wind, solar, and battery power, they're not raising their prices," Whitehouse told NPR at the time. asserted
Whitehouse → raise → time
Isabella Weber, an economist at the University of Massachusetts Amherst, has studied how windfall taxes worked in other countries. asserted
taxes → study → countries
She says windfall taxes are a way to bridge the gap between what the oil companies make and what most people pay for that oil. asserted
people → say → oil
"The companies that are running this essential sector have been reaping record profits amidst the worst energy supply crisis that we have had in several decades," she said. asserted
she → run → decades
…and 5 more, not listed.
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