If Democrats win back the US House of Representatives or the Senate in the midterm elections on Tuesday, the final two years of Donald Trump’s presidency will look markedly different from the first half.
asserted
years → win → half
But what would the Democrats’ actually be able to do with either – or both – chambers of Congress in their control?
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Democrats → do → control
What can Democrats do if they win the House?
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they → do → House
If Democrats take the House, Republicans would lose their ability to pass legislation through that chamber without Democratic support.
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Republicans → take → support
A Democratic majority could launch investigations into the administration, demand documents and testimony, and subject senior officials to sustained congressional scrutiny.
uncertain
majority → launch → scrutiny
They might come under pressure from their support base to impeach Trump for a third time.
uncertain
They → come → time
What can Democrats do if they win the Senate?
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they → do → Senate
The Senate confirms cabinet officials, ambassadors and federal judges, including supreme court nominees.
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Senate → confirm → nominees
A Democratic majority could block or delay many of Trump’s appointments, and force the White House to negotiate over legislation.
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majority → block → legislation
What if Republicans win?
asserted
Republicans → win → ?
Even if Republicans retain one or both chambers, a reduced majority could make governing more difficult, particularly when legislation requires near-unanimous support from the party’s own members.
What will Democrats investigate if they win?
Political reporter Joseph Gedeon laid out the most consequential investigations Democrats could launch if they take back Congress.
uncertain
they → retain → Congress
Robert Garcia, the top Democrat on the House oversight committee, has ranked Trump family corruption first on his list of priorities, while Representative Jamie Raskin has requested information on the business dealings of Trump son-in-law Jared Kushner and son Donald Trump Jr.
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Epstein and the emails:
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Raskin → rank → Epstein
Thanks to a tag-team effort by Representatives Ro Khanna and Thomas Massie, the Department of Justice was forced to release millions of files related to Jeffrey Epstein last year.
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Department → force → Epstein
But off the bat, the justice department blew the legally mandated deadline to disclose the files.
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department → blow → files
Then it released only about 3.5m pages of the 6m in its possession; it said it had deemed the rest duplicates.
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rest → release → possession
The justice department is now facing a lawsuit from journalist Katie Phang over many of these issues.
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department → face → issues
Even under a Republican-controlled Congress, the oversight committee under its GOP chair, James Comer, has been a rare spot of bipartisan comity, with members of both sides routinely (but not always) acting in concert to subpoena witnesses and hold them in contempt when they don’t cooperate.
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they → control → contempt
Expect that to continue in any new Democratic Congress.
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that → expect → Congress
Jason Crow, a Colorado congressman who sits on the armed services and intelligence committees and co-chairs the House end corruption caucus, says he will start with the Pentagon, citing reports of defense money steered toward companies linked to the Trump family.
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he → sit → family
House minority leader Hakeem Jeffries says Democrats have ruled nothing out regarding impeachment this time around, while the Republican House majority leader, Steve Scalise, predicts an attempt on “Day 1”.
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leader → say → Day
What did the Democrats do last time they flipped the House under Trump?
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they → do → Trump
In 2018, halfway through Trump’s first term, the Democrats flipped the House of Representatives in a sweeping blue wave.
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Democrats → flip → wave
House committees quickly launched dozens of inquiries into his businesses, his handling of the Russia probes and possible conflicts of interest.
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committees → launch → interest
Just over a year after the 2018 midterms, after months of leftwing calls for impeachment, the House voted mostly on party lines to impeach Trump.
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House → vote → Trump
Democrats had accused Trump of pursuing a scheme to cheat in the upcoming presidential election by pressuring Ukraine to manufacture bad news about Joe Biden and then blocking congressional oversight.
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Democrats → accuse → oversight
Trump was later acquitted in the Republican-controlled Senate on both articles of impeachment.
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Trump → acquit → impeachment
In 2021, Trump was impeached – and acquitted – a second time for inciting the January 6 attack on the US Capitol.
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Trump → impeach → Capitol
The Aporia
