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Trump's ratings hit lowest-ever in brutal poll on eve of the election as Republicans privately blame the president for predicted bloodbath

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Loren, S. (2026, November 2). Trump's ratings hit lowest-ever in brutal poll on eve of the election as Republicans privately blame the president for predicted bloodbath. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/us-politics/article-16259043/Trumps-ratings-hit-lowest-brutal-poll-eve-election-Republicans-privately-blame-president-predicted-bloodbath.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-11-02 · by Samantha Loren

Quick Summary

A new Morning Consult poll shows President Trump’s approval ratings at a record low, with 56 percent disapproving and only 41 percent approving, resulting in a net approval rating of -15 points. Democrats lead Republicans by seven percentage points among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot. Republican voter confidence has also declined, with just 68 percent believing their party is headed in the right direction, down from 73 percent four weeks earlier and 82 percent early in 2025.
Written by AI on 2026-11-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 3, 2026, Donald Trump's approval rating has hit record lows ahead of the midterm elections, with only 41% approving and 56% disapproving according to recent polls. These polls suggest that voters increasingly see their votes as a way to oppose President Trump rather than support him. Approval ratings have dropped significantly across various metrics: the AP-NORC poll found only 17% approve of his handling of cost-of-living issues and just 26% overall economic performance. The poor approval numbers indicate potential challenges for Republicans in maintaining control of Congress, with Democrats gaining favor in generic ballot questions at 46% to 38%.

Written for “Trump Approval Ratings Slump” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 6 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Trump Approval Ratings Slump
Politics · 7 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 26% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 21 claims Outlet record 69/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 59/100
The Independent
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 59/100
“While both articles discuss President Trump's low approval ratings ahead of midterm elections, they report different poll results and are published on different dates.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 22 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss poll results related to Republican performance and President Trump's approval ratings on the eve of midterm elections, they describe different polls with distinct focuses.”
TIME
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 14 of 51 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles report on different polls conducted at distinct times with varying approval ratings.”
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 5 of 42 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss President Trump's low approval ratings and their potential impact on the midterm elections, Article A focuses more broadly on the projected outcomes of the election for Democrats, whereas Article B specifically highlights a new poll with precise numbers. They are related but not describing the same specific event.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different polls with slightly different results and frames around them.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles report on different polls conducted by Morning Consult and Reuters/Ipsos which provide varying approval ratings for Trump.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles report on different polls with varying results and do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
South China Morning Post
Hedges 1 of 4 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles report on different polls with varying approval ratings and methodologies.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
26%
5 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
7
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-02 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8954 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Samantha Loren
55 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Donald Trump's ratings hit a record low last night – hours before Americans vote today in elections expected to cause a Republican Party bloodbath.
🔮 Ocasio-Cortez, one of Abdul El-Sayed's most beloved supporters, reportedly called Stevens after concerns emerged that she could follow her fiancé, Jason Turkish, in backing Republican Mike Rogers.
🔮 President Trump's latest approval ratings could serve as an indicator of which way the midterm elections are headed.
🔮 'Democrats should understand that the allegation is almost certainly true - whatever conclusion they draw from that point could vary - and her denials calling it a right-wing, Islamophobic or racist conspiracy are almost certainly not,' Radinovich wrote.
🔮 An Obama-era federal investigation uncovered evidence that her long-disputed marriage to her former husband, British citizen Ahmed Nur Said Elmi, may have been a sham.
🔮 Omar married Ahmed Nur Said Elmi (right), a British citizen, in February 2009, when records gave their ages as 26 and 23 Omar's father Nur Omar Mohamed (center) at her swearing in ceremony with Speaker Nancy Pelosi in January 2019 Republicans seized on his appearance, with state and federal candidates questioning why Democrats would invite him to speak.
🔮 Republicans have been pushing for Rubio to hit the campaign trail, viewing the former Florida senator as a valuable messenger who could help candidates in competitive races.
🔮 - Sign up HERE to our DC Insider newsletter - your guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill Democrats are heading into the final week before the midterm elections with a strong lead on the congressional ballot, but a new poll has revealed warning signs that could limit their gains as concerns grow over whether key groups will turn out to vote.
🔮 - Sign up HERE to our DC Insider newsletter - your guide to what's rocking Washington, rattling the White House and setting tongues wagging on the Hill President Trump is itching to crack down on purported 'voter fraud' this midterm season, and he's willing to pay big bucks to those willing to help rat out cheaters.
🔮 A Michigan rally on Sunday featuring President Trump and one of his most loyal voices within the MAGA movement, rapper Nicki Minaj, would likely lead voters to the conclusion that he is. But just hours before the star-studded rally, Collins would not directly answer Meet the Press' Kristen Welker's question of whether a vote for him is a vote for Trump's agenda.
Also by Samantha Loren
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 55 articles by Samantha Loren →

Topics

Democrats Morning Consult Republican Republicans Washington

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 9× Republican NORP · 6× Republicans NORP · 6× Morning Consult ORG · 3× Democrats NORP · 2× Washington GPE · 2× Daily Mail's ORG · 1× House ORG · 1× POLITICO ORG · 1× the Republican Party ORG · 1×

Narrative

A new Morning Consult poll found that 56 percent of voters disapprove of President Trump's performance, compared with just 41 percent who approve On lowering prices, the gap is even wider, with 72 percent saying it should be a top priority compared with 49 percent who believe Washington is pursuing it Just 68 percent of Republican voters believe their party is headed in the right direction, down from 73 percent four weeks earlier and 82 percent in the opening months of 2025 Meanwhile, the share of Republicans who believe their party is on the wrong track has nearly doubled, climbing from 12 percent to 23 percent.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-02
🔮 President Trump's latest approval ratings could serve as an indicator of which way the midterm elections are headed.

Claims (19 extracted, 5 hedged)

President Trump's latest approval ratings could serve as an indicator of which way the midterm elections are headed. uncertain
elections → serve → indicator
A new Morning Consult poll found that 56 percent of voters disapprove of the President's performance, compared with just 41 percent who approve. asserted
who → find → percent
That leaves Trump with a net approval rating of -15 points, his weakest standing since returning to the White House and ever in his two terms. asserted
That → leave → terms
Almost half of all voters, 46 percent, said they strongly disapprove of Trump, more than double the 22 percent who said they strongly approve. asserted
they → say → Trump
The intensity gap between those strongly opposed to the president and those firmly behind him has now reached 25 points, the largest of his second term. asserted
gap → oppose → term
Democrats are leading Republicans 50 percent to 43 percent among likely voters on the generic congressional ballot, giving them a seven-point advantage, according to the Morning Consult survey. uncertain
Democrats → lead → survey
Republicans are also showing signs of growing dissatisfaction with their own party. asserted
Republicans → show → party
Just 68 percent of Republican voters believe their party is headed in the right direction, down from 73 percent four weeks earlier and 82 percent in the opening months of 2025. asserted
party → believe → 2025
A new Morning Consult poll found that 56 percent of voters disapprove of President Trump's performance, compared with just 41 percent who approve On lowering prices, the gap is even wider, with 72 percent saying it should be a top priority compared with 49 percent who believe Washington is pursuing it Just 68 percent of Republican voters believe their party is headed in the right direction, down from 73 percent four weeks earlier and 82 percent in the opening months of 2025 Meanwhile, the share of Republicans who believe their party is on the wrong track has nearly doubled, climbing from 12 percent to 23 percent. asserted
party → find → percent
The administration is also struggling to convince voters it is addressing their biggest financial concerns. asserted
it → struggle → concerns
Only 39 percent believe housing costs are a top priority for the administration, despite 59 percent saying the issue should receive greater attention. asserted
issue → believe → attention
On lowering prices, the gap is even wider, with 72 percent saying it should be a top priority compared with 49 percent who believe Washington is pursuing it. asserted
Washington → lower → it
Democrats also lead Republicans on trust across all four issues examined, including healthcare, housing and energy. asserted
Democrats → lead → healthcare
The growing concerns about Trump's standing are also spilling into the Republican Party, with lawmakers privately questioning whether the president is becoming a liability for candidates fighting to hold onto their seats. asserted
president → grow → seats
In an October 30 POLITICO article, the outlet spoke with 15 Republican lawmakers about Trump's political future, with several warning that a major Republican defeat could weaken his grip on the party. uncertain
defeat → speak → party
One Republican House member suggested Trump could face blame from within his own party if Republicans lose control of one or both chambers of Congress. uncertain
Republicans → suggest → Congress
Another Republican senator warned that Trump's political influence was not necessarily growing, saying: 'Political capital is earned and lost the same way.' Some lawmakers suggested a significant defeat could force Trump to seek support from Republicans rather than dictate the party's direction through social media posts and private calls. uncertain
defeat → warn → posts
Others, however, defended the President and argued he would remain an influential figure in the GOP regardless of the election results. asserted
he → defend → results
The private criticism comes as vulnerable Republicans face difficult races and some candidates have sought to distance themselves from the White House on issues including the war with Iran and its impact on household costs. asserted
candidates → come → costs
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