Americans will head to the polls on Tuesday for the midterms, with U.S. President Donald Trump’s war in Iran and trade war with Canada looming large in the election cycle.
asserted
war → head → cycle
Many of the 33 out of 100 U.S. Senate seats are being fiercely contested between Democrats and Trump’s Republican Party.
asserted
Many → contest → Democrats
The trade war with Canada has occupied a large part of the narrative this election cycle in the seven border states electing senators on Tuesday.
asserted
war → occupy → Tuesday
The Wolverine State is seeing a heated election campaign between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican Mike Rogers.
asserted
State → see → Sayed
El-Sayed, a Muslim, has been the subject of several Islamophobic and racists attacks, including from Trump who called the Democrat a “jihadist” and said he should have to use a metal detector to enter the U.S. Senate.
asserted
he → include → Senate
On his part, El-Sayed has kept a focus on affordability and the high price of gas from the Iran war.
asserted
Sayed → keep → war
When asked about the attacks against his name and faith, El-Sayed turned the conversation towards the high cost of the trade war with Canada.
asserted
Sayed → ask → Canada
“My name is not the reason you can’t afford your gas or groceries or to go see a doctor.
asserted
you → afford → doctor
Their insane tariffs on Canada is the reason why,” he told reporters last month.
asserted
he → tell → reporters
“If you’re picking a fight with Canada, you’re the asshole,” he said.
asserted
he → pick → Canada
Michigan and Ontario have deeply integrated auto and steel manufacturing supply chains, with Trump’s trade war causing economic pain on both sides of the border.
asserted
war → integrate → border
Canada has become a sticking point in the Michigan Senate election, with even Rogers distancing himself from Trump’s trade policy.
asserted
Rogers → become → policy
“Canada is not our enemy,” Rogers said in a campaign ad, in which he called for an end to the trade war despite supporting it months earlier.
asserted
he → say → it
El-Sayed appears to have the lead, although polls diverge on how sizeable his lead is.
asserted
lead → appear → lead
A Beacon Research and Shaw & Company poll conducted for Fox News in September found he had a slight one-point lead, and a Marist University poll found him ahead by a thin two-point margin.
asserted
him → conduct → margin
However, more recent polls suggest he may have surged.
uncertain
he → suggest → ?
A CNN/SSRS poll conducted between Oct. 20 and 27 giving him a seven-point lead, while the latest New York Times/Siena Poll released on Sunday put him ahead by 11 points.
asserted
Poll → conduct → points
The Democratic campaign in Michigan, though, has had its share of hiccups with Congresswoman Haley Stevens’s shock decision to endorse Rogers, who she once said was a “fraud” and a “rubber stamp” for Trump.
asserted
she → have → Trump
Stevens, who lost the Democratic primary to El-Sayed in August, broke with El-Sayed after asking him to disavow an ad from an outside group that was critical of American aid to Israel.
asserted
that → lose → Israel
El-Sayed said he had nothing to do with the ad.
asserted
he → say → ad
Appearing at a campaign event with Rogers, Stevens said her endorsement was “about standing together against hate and the future of this state and this country.”
asserted
endorsement → appear → state
The Democratic establishment rallied around El-Sayed, with Senate majority leader Chuck Schumer calling Stevens’s move a “despicable betrayal.”
asserted
Schumer → rally → move
During the Senate candidates’ debate last month, Republican incumbent Susan Collins and her Democratic challenger Troy Jackson sparred in a heated exchange over Canada.
asserted
Collins → spar → Canada
“I was successful in getting road salt removed from the tariff list,” Collins said, referring to Trump’s decision to exempt certain Canadian goods from his sweeping 50 per cent tariffs.
asserted
Collins → get → tariffs
We can’t eat road salt,” Jackson hit back, arguing that Trump’s tariffs have not only hit Maine’s lumber and fishing industries, but also put a dent in the tourism sector with visits from Canadians taking a nosedive.
asserted
visits → eat → nosedive
Collins, who has been the senator from Maine since she was first elected in January 1997, has distanced herself from the Trump administration’s trade policies.
asserted
she → elect → policies
In a letter to U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick in August, Collins warned that Trump’s trade war against Canada would mean “higher costs, risk, and uncertainty for Maine families, small and large businesses and our communities.”
asserted
war → warn → families
Jackson appears to have a slight edge in the polls, with the latest New York Times/Sienna poll putting him six points ahead.
asserted
poll → appear → him
The same poll in September had Collins ahead with three points in September.
asserted
Collins → have → September
The latest University of New Hampshire Poll said he was nine points ahead while the CNN/SSRS poll gave him a narrow four-point lead.
asserted
poll → say → lead
Collins, however, is known to be a bit of a political survivor who has proven the polls wrong before.
asserted
polls → know → survivor
In 2020, some polls had Collins trailing by as much as 12 points when she came back from behind to win the seat.
asserted
she → have → seat
The race for traditionally ruby-red Alaska looks to be in contention this year.
asserted
race → look → contention
Democrat Mary Peltola still leads Republican Dan Sullivan in the polls, but her lead in the New York Times/Sienna poll has narrowed from seven points in September to a single point in the latest poll released on Sunday.
asserted
lead → lead → Sunday
The state’s Senate election is in Trump’s crosshairs after the New York Times reported a secret effort to stack the ballot to favour Peltola.
asserted
Times → report → Peltola
It was reported that the Peltola campaign allegedly recruited another candidate called Dan J. Sullivan Jr., who has a similar name to the Republican nominee Dan S. Sullivan, to run to deliberately confuse voters.
uncertain
who → report → voters
In a post on Truth Social, Trump said this was “Voter Fraud at the Highest Level” and called for Peltola to be “removed from the Ballot and prosecuted.”
asserted
Peltola → say → Ballot
Alaska’s Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy ordered an inquiry into what he called “an organized effort to manipulate Alaska’s elections.”
asserted
he → order → elections
There is no Democrat on the ballot for the Senate in Idaho, where the Democratic nominee withdrew in July.
asserted
nominee → be → July
Instead, three-term Republican senator Jim Risch is facing independent candidate and U.S. Army veteran Todd Achilles, who has previously served as a Democrat in the Idaho House of Representatives.
asserted
who → face → Representatives
…and 9 more, not listed.
The Aporia
