The Aporia · OpenAI executive urges caution in China-US AI talks, warns of distillation threats

Lucy Quaggin

15 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction

🔮 How a Democratic-controlled Congress could reshape US policy on China

2026-10-30 · speculative framing · How a Democratic-controlled Congress could reshape US policy on China

🔮 Does that address these problems of what I would call a conflicted co-dependency?

2026-10-30 · assertive framing · Economist Stephen Roach warns the US and China are in a ‘conflicted co-dependency’

🔮 The notice said that using the company’s products “may result in the transfer of sensitive data to the PRC if used by US government employees or vendors”, adding that the models “themselves may contain malware or other security vulnerabilities”.

2026-10-20 · mixed framing · US orders DeepSeek removed from federal systems, citing national security risks

🔮 The remarks come two days before Chinese President Xi Jinping is set to arrive in Washington to meet with US President Donald Trump for a closely watched summit where AI is expected to be on the agenda after the two countries agreed to establish a dialogue on the technology a day earlier.

2026-09-21 · assertive framing · US, China need nuclear-style AI safeguards, congressman says before Xi-Trump summit

Also by Lucy Quaggin

G20 foreign ministers end Atlanta meeting without consensus on key issues

2026-10-31 · South China Morning Post

How a Democratic-controlled Congress could reshape US policy on China

2026-10-30 · South China Morning Post

Economist Stephen Roach warns the US and China are in a ‘conflicted co-dependency’

2026-10-30 · South China Morning Post

US-China strategic competition to keep escalating as world watches on, Rudd says

2026-10-23 · South China Morning Post

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 15 articles by Lucy Quaggin →

Nayan Seth

26 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction

🔮 President Donald Trump is scheduled to visit the Philippines for this year’s Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit before travelling to the November 18-19 Apec event, where he will meet his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping for the third time this year.

2026-11-01 · assertive framing · US first lady Melania Trump unlikely to travel to Apec summit in China

🔮 Will China travel hurt US students’ careers?

2026-10-28 · mixed framing · Will China travel hurt US students’ careers? FBI battles fears as talent pipeline stalls

🔮 ExclusiveUS-China negotiators race to nail down concrete deals as Shenzhen Apec looms Progress made in investment and trade talks ahead of Xi and Trump meeting, but complexities remain, multiple sources said Multiple sources told the South China Morning Post that intense negotiations would continue in coming weeks, with Washington and Beijing still facing hurdles to finalising a complex package of institutional frameworks and economic agreements.

2026-10-20 · assertive framing · US-China negotiators race to nail down concrete deals as Shenzhen Apec looms

🔮 ‘China already has spies’ at US AI labs, claims ex-Anthropic researcher Jacob Coxon alleges Beijing can close any technological gap with the US as it has ways to ‘steal our progress at any time and catch up’ “Right now, if we just stopped, they would try and catch up.

2026-10-08 · assertive framing · ‘China already has spies’ at US AI labs, claims ex-Anthropic researcher

🔮 US accuses mainland China of targeting Taiwan leader’s family in surveillance case FBI says US citizen Zhang Wanying filmed William Lai Ching-te’s son’s home and vehicles in Seattle before trying to fly to Shanghai The FBI accused her of surveilling the Taiwanese leader’s son and his family in Seattle last year, filming their home and vehicles and sharing the footage with handlers in China.

2026-10-05 · mixed framing · US accuses mainland China of targeting Taiwan leader’s family in surveillance case

🔮 Greer says no specific timeline set for enforcing US-China Board of Trade United States Trade Representative confirms recommendations must go through a legal process before implementation of new economic initiative Speaking on the sidelines of the Group of 20 Trade Ministers’ meeting in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, Greer said the tariff reductions under the mechanism were “a policy outcome” and that the recommendations would have to go through a legal process before implementation.

2026-10-01 · assertive framing · Greer says no specific timeline set for enforcing US-China Board of Trade

🔮 Deliverables on trade Both sides also finalised the Board of Trade mechanism and are set to announce non-sensitive sectors and products capped at US$30 billion each for tariff reduction.

2026-09-25 · assertive framing · Trade deliverables, Taiwan push and ‘strategic stability’: key Xi-Trump takeaways overall

🔮 ExclusiveFissures over US investments stall plans for Chinese business leaders to join Xi visit With the window for travel narrowing by the hour, uncertainty surrounds the inclusion of corporate leaders in China’s delegation The window for travel is narrowing by the hour for these Chinese business leaders, with Xi expected to arrive in Washington by Wednesday. The investment forum was one of the deliverables from Xi and his US counterpart Donald Trump’s last summit in Beijing in May, which has since stalled.

2026-09-23 · speculative framing · Fissures over US investments stall plans for Chinese business leaders to join Xi visit

🔮 Last week, the South China Morning Post reported that Washington and Beijing would fold AI discussions into a broader economic meeting.

2026-09-20 · assertive framing · US, China seek Xi-Trump summit deliverables in New York talks

🔮 ExclusiveUS weighs delaying Taiwan arms sales until after Apec and G20 summits Sources say the decision is expected to be a compromise between Donald Trump, Washington’s China hawks and Taipei’s lobbyists One source said Trump was considering various options to postpone the signing of Taiwan arms sales, but the final outcome would be a “compromise between him, the China hawks and Taiwan’s lobbyists”. “President Trump has considered delaying the [Taiwan] arms sales decision till end 2028 or January 2029, that is, towards the end of his current term.

2026-09-19 · assertive framing · US weighs delaying Taiwan arms sales until after Apec and G20 summits

Also by Nayan Seth