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Americans deliver brutal final verdict on Trump on Election Day as majority blame him for dragging Republicans down

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Cite

Raasch, J. M. (2026, November 3). Americans deliver brutal final verdict on Trump on Election Day as majority blame him for dragging Republicans down. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16260125/midterms-polls-Trump-election-Republicans.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-11-03 · by Jon Michael Raasch

Quick Summary

A Daily Mail/Ipsos poll conducted between October 30 and November 1 surveyed 810 registered US voters, finding that 55% believe President Donald Trump is hurting Republican chances in the upcoming midterm elections. Only 20% of respondents think he is helping Republicans; among independents, this figure rises to 60%. The poll indicates Democrats are more energized and seen as addressing key voter concerns like cost of living and economic issues over corruption and immigration.
Written by AI on 2026-11-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 3, 2026, President Donald Trump's approval rating has hit a record low just before the midterm elections, with only 17% of U.S. adults approving of his handling of the cost of living and 26% approving of his overall economic performance, according to various polls. The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research poll shows that about 7 in 10 Americans believe Trump's management of living costs has been "worse than expected," including roughly half of Republicans. A Morning Consult poll indicates 56% disapproval compared to 41% approval, with an even wider gap on lowering prices (72% vs. 49%). These polls suggest that voters see the midterms as a referendum against Trump, potentially leading to significant Republican losses in Congress.

Written for “Trump Approval Rating Near Record Low” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 8 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans left (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans left for article 125497 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-11-03

Story

📰 Trump Approval Rating Near Record Low
Politics · 9 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 16% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
Hedges 3 of 100 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A describes interviews and opinions from key midterm bellwether areas on October 31st, while Article B reports poll results on Election Day regarding voter sentiment towards Trump's impact on the Republican Party.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 6 of 48 claims Outlet record 64/100
“While both articles discuss Trump's impact on Republican midterm election prospects, Article A is an analysis of the situation leading up to the elections, while Article B reports on the results of a specific poll conducted near Election Day.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 8 of 59 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses interviews with voters in battleground states before the election, while Article B reports on a post-election poll's results.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 54 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A describes Trump's final rally on election day, while Article B reports on a poll conducted after the election assessing voter sentiment towards Trump.”
New York Post
Hedges 2 of 67 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses Trump's reflections after his campaign rallies and ahead of the midterms on November 2nd, while Article B reports on a poll conducted between October 3rd to November 1st indicating voters' perceptions of Trump's impact on Republican chances in the election.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 22 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the political situation and outcomes related to Trump and Republicans but do not describe the same specific event or incident.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different polls conducted on different days leading up to and including Election Day, not the same specific event.”
The Straits Times
Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different polls conducted on different dates with distinct findings and contexts.”
TIME
⚖️ Leans right further right than this Hedges 2 of 25 claims Outlet record 59/100
“Article A describes Trump's speech before Election Day, while Article B reports on public opinion and poll results on Election Day.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 5 of 109 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A describes Trump's final rally speech where he questioned polling methods, while Article B reports on an opinion poll about voter perceptions of Trump's impact on Republicans' election performance.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
25
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
16%
4 of 25 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
9
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 9008 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jon Michael Raasch
53 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Take Daily Mail's quiz and find out Nearly two-thirds of voters fear Tuesday's midterm results could be tampered with, with Republicans and Democrats almost equally worried, as President Trump threatens fraud claims over the Alaska Senate race, according to an exclusive Daily Mail/Ipsos poll.
🔮 Should Democrats take control of both chambers, Trump would need to negotiate with liberal lawmakers to get any legislation he wants passed by Congress.
🔮 Take Daily Mail's quiz and find out President Donald Trump and his administration have crafted a secret plan to rebuff any incoming liberal Congress should Democrats sweep into power in Tuesday's midterm elections. Senior White House officials including Stephen Miller, budget director Russell Vought and White House Counsel Will Scharf have been identifying executive actions that could be taken without congressional approval.
🔮 The blue-collar coalition that powered him to the White House in 2016, and stuck with him through 2020 and 2024, may finally be breaking.
🔮 She continued: 'Well, maybe I should be upset he didn't talk about my asset.'
🔮 With nearly all reputable experts forecasting that the House will be captured by the Democrats, the focus is on control of the Senate, which will be decided by a handful states.
🔮 Cox's comments, with a week to go until the midterms, will sink like a stone in the Jackson camp.
🔮 Take Daily Mail's quiz and find out The largest political donor in US history, Elon Musk, is warning that Democratic victories in the midterms could seal a 'permanent one-party state' and the end of democracy in America.
🔮 Democrats Mary Peltola, James Talarico and Troy Jackson all hold leads over their Republican opponents in the latest surveys, though many are within the margin of error, meaning the races could go either way.
🔮 After the trick-or-treating line concludes, he will hold two more tele-rallies.
Also by Jon Michael Raasch
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 53 articles by Jon Michael Raasch →

Topics

Daily Mail Daily Mail's Democratic Democrats Republicans

Subjects

Republicans NORP · 10× Democrats NORP · 7× Trump PERSON · 4× Democratic NORP · 3× GOP ORG · 3× Daily Mail ORG · 2× Daily Mail's ORG · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Ipsos ORG · 1× the House of Representatives ORG · 1×

Narrative

Among registered voters, the president was found to be particularly unpopular, and 55 percent said he is hurting Republicans' chances in the 2026 midterm elections Among registered voters, 48 percent expect Democrats to gain seats in the House of Representatives while just 24 percent expect the GOP to make advances.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-03
🔮 Should Democrats take control of both chambers, Trump would need to negotiate with liberal lawmakers to get any legislation he wants passed by Congress.

Claims (25 extracted, 4 hedged)

Take Daily Mail's quiz and find out President Donald Trump has spent months campaigning for Republicans, and despite his best efforts, most voters believe he's hurting his own party's chances, according to the final Daily Mail/Ipsos poll. Among registered voters, 55 percent said Trump is hurting Republicans' chances in the 2026 midterm elections. uncertain
Trump → take → elections
Fewer than half of Republicans, 48 percent, say Trump is helping. asserted
Trump → say → Republicans
And 60 percent of independents believe he's hurting. asserted
he → believe → independents
The Daily Mail/Ipsos poll surveyed 1,021 US adults, including 810 registered voters, between October 30 and November 1. asserted
poll → survey → October
The margin of error is ±3.5 points for registered voters. asserted
margin → register → voters
Just one in five, 20 percent, say the president's efforts are helping. asserted
efforts → say → ?
Among Republicans, 21 percent believe the president is a drag on their party's campaign efforts. asserted
president → believe → efforts
The president has traveled to over two dozen states and held at least two dozen events since launching a midterm blitz in September. asserted
president → travel → September
While he is absent from any ballot, he's asked voters to head to the polls with the same enthusiasm as though he too is up for re-election. asserted
he → ask → election
But perhaps because of his pleas, or despite them, voters are bracing for a rough night for Republicans. asserted
voters → brace → Republicans
Among registered voters, the president was found to be particularly unpopular, and 55 percent said he is hurting Republicans' chances in the 2026 midterm elections Among registered voters, 48 percent expect Democrats to gain seats in the House of Representatives while just 24 percent expect the GOP to make advances. asserted
GOP → register → advances
Fifteen percent of Republicans expect Democrats to gain House seats. asserted
Democrats → expect → seats
In the Senate, where polls show tighter races, it is 43 percent to 26 percent, according to the survey. uncertain
it → show → survey
Should Democrats take control of both chambers, Trump would need to negotiate with liberal lawmakers to get any legislation he wants passed by Congress. asserted
he → take → Congress
It could also mean that Democrats open a slew of investigations into the president, his advisers and family, a gambit some Democrats have already openly been discussing. uncertain
Democrats → mean → president
The poll results also show that Democrats are more energized: 56 percent of Democratic voters say they are more enthusiastic about this election than previous ones, while just 37 percent of Republicans and 28 percent of independents say the same. asserted
percent → show → same
Out of all the political persuasions, independents were the most likely to say they are less enthusiastic, at 22 percent. Driving the perceived Democratic wave are concerns over the economy and corruption. asserted
concerns → say → economy
Voters ranked the cost of living and the economy as their top concern heading into Tuesday's midterm elections Forty-five percent said the economy and the cost of living were the most important factors in deciding their vote. asserted
economy → rank → vote
Corruption was the second greatest concern, with 16 percent, while democratic values and norms got 15 percent and immigration 9 percent. asserted
immigration → get → percent
Sixty-three percent of registered voters are concerned that results could be tampered with. uncertain
results → register → voters
That includes 68 percent of Democrats and 66 percent of Republicans. asserted
That → include → Republicans
Republicans are seeing traditionally red areas under threat of turning blue after a deluge of polling over the last month showed narrowing races in Texas, Alaska, Kansas and even Mississippi. asserted
deluge → see → Texas
While Trump has visited all those states to prop up candidates there, Tuesday's results will determine whether the president's campaigning efforts were enough to pad up expected GOP losses or expedite Democratic gains. asserted
efforts → visit → gains
The president has set expectations low since late last year, when he first mused publicly how the party of the sitting president, in this case, the GOP, typically takes beatings in midterm elections. asserted
party → set → elections
Most voters feel he's made it worse. asserted
it → feel → ?
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