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Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold despite rising inflation

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Wise, A. (2026, September 16). Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold despite rising inflation. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/business/business-news/bank-of-england-european-central-bank-experts-us-federal-reserve-b1297230.html

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Evening Standard · collected 2026-09-16 · by Anna Wise

Quick Summary

The Bank of England is expected to maintain interest rates at 3.75% during its upcoming meeting on Thursday, despite rising inflation that reached a five-month high of 3.1% in August. Three members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) previously voted to increase rates to 4%, and economists suggest this pressure will continue as household energy bills are set to rise by 4% from October. While some experts believe the MPC will keep rates unchanged due to a lack of second-round inflationary effects, others warn that persistently high inflation may prompt future rate hikes to avoid economic damage.
Written by AI on 2026-09-16, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 6-3 to maintain the bank rate at 3.75%, a decision that concealed a shift within the majority towards potential future rate hikes. The committee’s split vote follows rising concerns over inflation, driven by volatile global energy prices due to the ongoing Iran war.

Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation rose to 3.1% in August, up from 2.9% in July and reaching a five-month high. This increase is primarily attributed to higher fuel costs. Three committee members—Huw Pill, Megan Greene, and Catherine Mann—voted for raising the rates by 0.25 percentage points.

Despite maintaining current interest rates, policymakers have issued warnings that prolonged volatility in energy prices could necessitate future rate hikes to ensure inflation falls back to its 2% target. This hawkish stance was reflected in post-meeting statements from several MPC members indicating their readiness to support higher rates if conditions worsen.

Economists and financial analysts are now closely monitoring economic indicators, including UK retail sales figures and US industrial production data, for further signals that could prompt the Bank of England to increase borrowing costs. The FTSE 100 index in London saw an upturn following the MPC’s announcement, with investors digesting the potential implications of a future rate hike on market stability and economic conditions.

Written for “Bank Of England Interest Rate Decision” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 9 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Bank Of England Interest Rate Decision
Economy/Business · 10 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 24% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
Hedges 3 of 26 claims Outlet record 65/100
BBC News
Hedges 3 of 26 claims Outlet record 68/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 3 of 26 claims Outlet record 65/100
The Guardian
Hedges 1 of 24 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe decisions by different central banks (US Federal Reserve vs. Bank of England) regarding interest rates in response to inflation, but they are reporting on separate meetings and outcomes.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 2 of 43 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different central banks (Bank of England vs Reserve Bank) and refer to separate meetings or debates about interest rates.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 27 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe the Bank of England's expected decision on interest rates at different times, with Article A reporting before the announcement and Article B after, discussing the outcome and implications.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 20 claims Outlet record 65/100
TIME
Hedges 6 of 41 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles describe different central banks (Bank of England vs. Federal Reserve) making distinct decisions on interest rates at separate times.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
17
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
24%
4 of 17 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
65/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
10
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-16 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 7986 article(s) · 66 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 66 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Anna Wise
71 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Anna Wise
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 71 articles by Anna Wise →

Topics

Bank Bank of England MPC Monetary Policy Committee The Bank of England

Subjects

MPC ORG · 8× Bank ORG · 2× Bank of England ORG · 1× Catherine Mann PERSON · 1× Huw Pill PERSON · 1× Megan Greene PERSON · 1× Monetary Policy Committee ORG · 1× Ofgem ORG · 1× The Bank of England ORG · 1× the Bank of England’s ORG · 1×

Narrative

Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold despite rising inflation The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at 3.75% but economists have warned that pressure to hike rates is mounting as inflation rises. Most economists think the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will opt to keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting on Thursday.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-16
🔮 Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold despite rising inflation The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at 3.75% but economists have warned that pressure to hike rates is mounting as inflation rises. Most economists think the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will opt to keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting on Thursday.
2026-09-16 · Evening Standard
Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold despite rising inflation · mixed framing

Claims (17 extracted, 4 hedged)

Bank of England set to keep interest rates on hold despite rising inflation The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates at 3.75% but economists have warned that pressure to hike rates is mounting as inflation rises. Most economists think the Bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) will opt to keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting on Thursday. asserted
Committee → set → Thursday
It would be the sixth time in a row that the MPC has kept rates on hold, having stayed the same since December. asserted
MPC → keep → December
However, three members of the nine-person MPC – Huw Pill, Megan Greene and Catherine Mann – voted to hike rates to 4% at the last meeting, and economists expect the same outcome at the next one. asserted
economists → vote → one
It comes against a backdrop of rising prices in the UK, with Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation increasing to 3.1% in August, from 2.9% in July, according to the latest official figures. uncertain
inflation → come → figures
This marked a five-month high and shows CPI inflation has moved further away from the Bank of England’s 2% target rate. asserted
inflation → mark → rate
Many economists are forecasting the cost-of-living to rise further, with households facing another rise in their energy bills from next month, which could prompt the Bank to raise interest rates in the months ahead. uncertain
which → forecast → months
Experts pointed out that services inflation – which reflects prices in the UK’s dominant industry – stayed at 3.4% in August, indicating a lack of so-called second round effects – meaning things such as wage demands and broader shop price increases. asserted
which → point → demands
However, inflation is expected to be pushed up when Ofgem’s next energy price cap kicks in from October, which will see household energy bills rise by 4% for a typical dual-fuel household. asserted
bills → expect → household
Thomas Pugh, chief economist at RSM UK, said: “The rise in inflation in August is just the start of a new upward trend as higher energy, food and memory chip prices continue to make their way through supply chains. asserted
prices → say → chains
Read More “We now see inflation peaking at almost 4% in early 2027, before gradually dropping back to 2% in 2028. asserted
inflation → read → 2028
“The MPC will hold this week, but inflation at 4% is realistically too hot to ignore.” asserted
inflation → hold → %
Charlotte O’Leary, associate economist for the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (Niesr), said the MPC will also be paying attention to the recent surge in oil prices, with Brent crude oil rising above 107 dollars a barrel this week. asserted
oil → say → dollars
“Nevertheless, with limited evidence of second-round effects so far, we expect the MPC to hold rates on Thursday,” she said. asserted
she → expect → Thursday
“However, mounting inflationary pressures, alongside resilient growth data, may eventually grant scope to raise rates without materially damaging the economy.” uncertain
pressures → mount → economy
Economists for Pantheon Economics said there is a chance the MPC “toughens its language” at the next rates announcements “to open up the possibility of a November hike if energy prices keep ramping up”. asserted
prices → say → hike
“A 4% inflation peak would already be too hot to hold, but further energy price rises could take inflation even higher,” they said. uncertain
they → hold → inflation
“The MPC needs to be ready.” asserted
MPC → need → ?
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