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‘We will smash you’: Allan warned CFMEU takeover would cause $400m blowout

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
Cite

Carey, A. (2026, November 9). ‘We will smash you’: Allan warned CFMEU takeover would cause $400m blowout. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/victoria/we-will-smash-you-allan-warned-cfmeu-takeover-would-cause-400m-blowout-20261109-p61ckf.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

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The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-11-09 · by Adam Carey

Quick Summary

Jacinta Allan's department warned her in 2022 and 2023 that a Construction, Forestry and Manufacturing Employees Union (CFMEU) campaign to take over traffic control on Victoria’s major projects could inflate costs by more than $400 million. The CFMEU seized control of the Gap Road level crossing removal project north-west of Melbourne, disrupting work and insisting the preferred labour hire company be used, despite warnings from contractors that this would significantly increase costs. Union officials shut down a critical phase of the $110 million project for 36 hours in June 2022, threatening workers with violence if they continued working, while companies like John Holland documented the union's deep influence within the Andrews government and its ability to change how projects are run.
Written by AI on 2026-11-09, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 9, 2026, a royal commission in Victoria heard that the Construction, Forestry, Mining and Energy Union (CFMEU) caused cost overruns of more than $400 million on major infrastructure projects. Jacinta Allan's department warned her about these potential issues since around 2017, when the CFMEU seized control of traffic management for a level crossing removal project in Sunbury. The union insisted that a preferred labor hire company be used, despite warnings from contractors that costs would increase significantly. This intervention led to work disruptions and delays on the $110 million Gap Road level crossing removal project, highlighting the CFMEU's influential power within the then-Andrews government. John Holland prepared internal memorandums detailing these concerns between 2017 and 2021, indicating that engagement with the union was necessary but potentially costly.

Written for “Allan Warns CFMEU Takeover Blowout” on 2026-11-09, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high 1 quote(s) discarded as not found in the article
Leaning: leans right for article 137865 (high confidence, 1 verified quote) · logged 2026-11-09

Story

Allan Warns CFMEU Takeover Blowout
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
Hedges 6 of 42 claims Outlet record 66/100
“While both articles discuss similar issues involving the CFMEU and its influence on construction projects in Victoria, they describe different aspects or hearings at the royal commission rather than a single specific incident.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 0 of 24 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss related events but focus on different aspects and times: Article A covers hearings about threats made to subcontractors in June 2022, while Article B discusses warnings given before the CFMEU's takeover of a project around the same period.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Leans right Hedges 1 of 33 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles refer to different aspects of hearings at a royal commission, but describe distinct events: one focuses on warnings about cost blowouts due to union control, while the other describes general proceedings and access by the CFMEU.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
53
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
5 of 53 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-09 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 6495 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Adam Carey
3 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
Jacinta Allan’s own department repeatedly sought to warn her that an aggressive construction union campaign to take over traffic control on Victoria’s major projects could alone inflate costs on the Big Build by more than $400 million.
Consumer Affairs told him it would not at this stage investigate, despite “the seriousness of the issues you have raised and the considerable amount of material you have provided in support of your concerns”.
Its amenities would not be out of place on a cruise ship: a heated pool lined with banana lounges, dimly lit billiards room, 10-pin bowling alley, cinema, plush private bar with city views, day spa, pet spa.
Also by Adam Carey
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

CFMEU Sunbury Victoria the Big Build the Construction, Forestry and Manufacturing Employees Union

Subjects

CFMEU ORG · 12× Allan PERSON · 4× Andrews PERSON · 3× John Holland PERSON · 2× Victoria GPE · 2× the Big Build ORG · 2× Jacinta Allan’s PERSON · 1× Melbourne GPE · 1× Sunbury GPE · 1× the Construction, Forestry and Manufacturing Employees Union ORG · 1×

Narrative

John Holland prepared a series of memorandums for senior management and its board between 2017 and 2021, detailing its view that the CFMEU was powerfully influential within the then-Andrews government, that this influence was unlikely to diminish, and that the company’s engagement with the union “should be seen as part of a broader strategy to better position our business with the state government”.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-09
Jacinta Allan’s own department repeatedly sought to warn her that an aggressive construction union campaign to take over traffic control on Victoria’s major projects could alone inflate costs on the Big Build by more than $400 million.
2026-11-09 · The Sydney Morning Herald
‘We will smash you’: Allan warned CFMEU takeover would cause $400m blowout · assertive framing

Claims (53 extracted, 5 hedged)

Jacinta Allan’s own department repeatedly sought to warn her that an aggressive construction union campaign to take over traffic control on Victoria’s major projects could alone inflate costs on the Big Build by more than $400 million. uncertain
campaign → seek → million
The royal commission into the state’s building industry on Monday heard warning briefings were prepared for Allan, who was in 2022 and 2023 the minister responsible for transport infrastructure, from around the time the Construction, Forestry and Manufacturing Employees Union (CFMEU) seized control of a level crossing removal project in Sunbury, north-west of Melbourne. asserted
Union → hear → Melbourne
The CFMEU had disrupted work and insisted the consortium on the Gap Road level crossing removal project employ the union’s preferred labour hire company, despite the consortium’s warnings to the government that costs would blow out. asserted
costs → disrupt → government
During the first day of a 10-day block of hearings, evidence including phone calls, emails, internal company memorandums and ministerial briefs detailed how the CFMEU wrested industrial control of the $110 million project by unlawfully shutting it down, while the rail alliance’s urgent pleas for intervention from Victoria Police and statutory body WorkSafe had no effect. asserted
pleas → include → effect
The hearing was told that in June 2022, union officials pushed past security and shut down the project for 36 hours during a critical phase, and also threatened workers they would “smash” them if they did not down tools. asserted
they → tell → tools
The commission heard building company John Holland, the contractors at Gap Road, already believed the CFMEU had “unprecedented access” to ministers and deep influence within the Andrews government when it submitted in 2022 to the union’s demand to seize control of the project. asserted
it → hear → project
John Holland prepared a series of memorandums for senior management and its board between 2017 and 2021, detailing its view that the CFMEU was powerfully influential within the then-Andrews government, that this influence was unlikely to diminish, and that the company’s engagement with the union “should be seen as part of a broader strategy to better position our business with the state government”. asserted
engagement → prepare → government
“The premier [Daniel Andrews] is factionally aligned with the socialist left, and the CFMEU is the key industrial organisation involved in that faction,” one memo read. asserted
memo → align → faction
“We also understand the CFMEU has unprecedented access to ministers and other key Victorian government stakeholders.” asserted
CFMEU → understand → ministers
The construction company said in a separate but related memorandum that a CFMEU regional agreement on projects “means all projects are forever forced to change the way they work”. asserted
they → say → way
“It impacts everything from current and future tenders to our day-to-day operations. asserted
It → impact → operations
It would forgo management prerogative on matters such as, but not limited to, employment and subcontractor selection,” the memo said. asserted
memo → forgo → employment
The CFMEU’s takeover of traffic management at Gap Road set off public service warnings about the implications if that were repeated across the Big Build. asserted
that → set → Build
According to briefings prepared by the former major transport infrastructure authority for Allan in 2022 and 2023, when she was the minister who oversaw transport infrastructure, that cost would stretch beyond $400 million. uncertain
cost → accord → million
Allan succeeded Andrews as premier in September 2023. asserted
Allan → succeed → September
The cost to the taxpayer of the CFMEU’s conduct has been highly politically contentious after corruption-busting barrister Geoffrey Watson, SC, this year estimated the lawlessness had inflated the Big Build’s pricetag by $15 billion. asserted
lawlessness → bust → billion
Allan had also repeatedly claimed she was not aware of widespread issues within the Big Build before this masthead’s investigation with 60 Minutes was first published in 2024. asserted
investigation → claim → 2024
One briefing stated rates for traffic controllers under the CFMEU’s alternative agreement were “70-90 per cent higher than the current rates”. asserted
rates → state → rates
“The cumulative high-level impact for projects converting current traffic management industry rates to CFMEU terms and conditions is estimated to be well in excess of $400 million,” the briefing said. asserted
briefing → convert → million
Four days after the CFMEU’s takeover of Gap Road, the rail alliance building the project awarded a traffic management package to a company named CCL, without a competitive tender, for just over $2 million. asserted
alliance → build → million
CCL’s hourly rates were “roughly double” those of the company it replaced, the royal commission heard. asserted
commission → replace → company
The commission was established following this masthead’s Building Bad investigative series which revealed criminal infiltration of the CFMEU and widespread misconduct on government projects. asserted
which → establish → projects
The inquiry’s first block of hearings will focus on the Gap Road project in Sunbury, and a two-day work stoppage in June 2022 during which the CFMEU wrested control of the project from the Australian Workers’ Union (AWU), following a meeting at the CFMEU Melbourne headquarters. asserted
CFMEU → focus → headquarters
Gap Road was built by an alliance that included John Holland and CPB Contractors, who, the commission heard, agreed at the June 7, 2022 meeting to give the CFMEU control of the site and to employ the union’s preferred labour hire company. asserted
commission → build → company
Chris Young, KC, the counsel assisting the royal commission, noted that while work on Gap Road resumed at 6pm on June 7, 2022, immediately following a meeting at CFMEU headquarters between four rail alliance representatives and two union officials, no record of what was said or agreed has been found. “ asserted
what → assist → representatives
There’s no letter recording what was agreed,” he said. asserted
he → ’ → ?
Tendered correspondence reveals the rail alliance appealed to Victoria Police and WorkSafe during the two-day work stoppage and that workers on site were allegedly warned not to work or face repercussions. uncertain
workers → tender → repercussions
Notes from a rail alliance meeting at the time say: “Two union officials left and went straight through the security guards and pushed through them ... asserted
officials → say → them
We’ve lost time, and the unions are now on to the light towers. asserted
unions → lose → towers
“We spoke to WorkSafe. asserted
We → speak → WorkSafe
WorkSafe has asked for a set of dot points. asserted
WorkSafe → ask → points
CFMEU are putting pressure … not to work tonight. asserted
CFMEU → put → pressure
They said you guys better not turn up tonight, otherwise we will smash you during the day.” asserted
we → say → day
Appeals to Victoria Police to intervene did not help, according to notes from a Microsoft Teams meeting held by members of the rail alliance. uncertain
Appeals → intervene → alliance
“We’ve called the police twice in the last two weeks without luck,” the rail alliance notes state. asserted
notes → call → luck
“They asked for our security to intervene and escort them off-site. asserted
security → ask → site
We feel that without intervention from WorkSafe, police believe it’s a health and safety matter and don’t want to intervene.” asserted
it → feel → WorkSafe
The commission heard workers’ health and safety rights were used as “industrial leverage” on the Big Build, with rights of entry on worksites exploited to stop critical works and secure demands that inflated costs. asserted
that → hear → costs
The inquiry heard volatility in Victorian industrial relations was defined by a struggle between the CFMEU and the AWU, in which the CFMEU was trying to dislodge the AWU as the preferred union on the largest civil construction projects, “with mixed success”. asserted
CFMEU → hear → success
Contractors delivering the state government’s rail and road projects were left to manage industrial disruption by themselves, and “often did so by buying peace”, the royal commission heard. asserted
commission → deliver → peace
…and 13 more, not listed.
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