Claims extracted
21
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 21 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
72/100
Dawn's corrections and
hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
7
Environment
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Global fossil fuel emissions are projected to fall slightly in 2026 due to the expansion of renewable energy and the oil price shock sparked by the Iran war, researchers said Tuesday.
asserted
researchers → project → war
Emissions from the burning of oil, gas and coal — the main drivers of climate change —rose by 0.9 per cent per year on average in the past decade, hitting a record high in 2025, according to the Global Carbon Budget report.
But they are expected to drop by 0.4pc in 2026, according to the research, published as nations meet at the UN’s COP31 climate summit in Antalya, Turkiye.
uncertain
nations → rise → Antalya
It would be the first annual drop since 2020, when the Covid pandemic paralysed the global economy, trade and transport.
asserted
pandemic → paralyse → economy
This year, the US-led war in Iran and closure of the Strait of Hormuz played a role in driving emissions down as it caused a drop in oil consumption amid soaring crude prices, the researchers found.
asserted
researchers → lead → prices
The deployment of solar panels, wind farms and electric vehicles also contributed to the drop.
asserted
deployment → contribute → drop
Two thirds of the increase in global energy demand is being met by solar and wind power and electric vehicles, the report found.
asserted
report → meet → power
“A decline in fossil CO2 emissions is encouraging, but a reduction driven partly by geopolitical shocks is not a sustainable climate solution,” said Pierre Friedlingstein, director of the Global Carbon Budget Office at the University of Exeter in Britain.
asserted
Friedlingstein → drive → Britain
“The long-term answer remains the rapid deployment of clean energy technologies,” said Friedlingstein, who led the study published in the journal Earth System Science Data.
asserted
who → remain → journal
Rebound looms
asserted
Rebound → loom → ?
Corinne Le Quere, a climate change science professor at the University of East Anglia, noted that emissions rebounded when economies recovered following shocks such as Covid or the global financial crisis.
asserted
economies → note → Covid
A rebound is likely “when the oil tensions go away”, she said in a media briefing.
asserted
she → go → briefing
Oil-related emissions are projected to drop 1.9 percent last year but it was “likely a short-term response to the energy shock triggered by the Iran conflict”, the researchers said.
asserted
researchers → relate → conflict
Gas emissions are set to fall 0.3pc while those from coal use will rise 0.6opc.
asserted
those → set → use
Overall, fossil carbon dioxide emissions are expected to reach 38.2 billion tonnes in 2026.
asserted
emissions → expect → 2026
Including emissions from land-use change such as deforestation, total CO2 emissions are projected to rise to 43.3 billion tonnes, from 42.8 billion tonnes last year.
asserted
emissions → include → tonnes
The researchers said land-use emissions are projected to rise partly due to peat fires and forest degradation in southeast Asia, associated with drier conditions linked to this year’s exceptionally strong El Nino climate pattern.
asserted
emissions → say → pattern
The report found that the world’s carbon budget – the amount of CO2 that can be emitted before global warming exceeds 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels —stands at 150 billion tonnes.
asserted
warming → find → tonnes
The researchers calculated that at the current, the carbon budget would be exhausted in less than four years.
asserted
budget → calculate → years
Nations agreed at the 2015 UN climate talks in Paris to keep global warming “well below” 2°C above pre-industrial levels, while pursuing efforts to limit it to 1.5°C.
asserted
Nations → agree → C
But the United Nations declared in September that the long-term 1.5°C target would be missed in a matter of years.
asserted
target → declare → years
Scientists say it is crucial to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels to limit the period of “overshoot” above 1.5°C and bring temperatures back down as quickly as possible.
asserted
it → say → temperatures
The Aporia
