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Inside the ‘anyone but Labor’ movement working to flip crucial seats

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McSweeney, J. (2026, November 10). Inside the ‘anyone but Labor’ movement working to flip crucial seats. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/inside-the-anyone-but-labor-movement-working-to-flip-crucial-seats-20261110-p61clp.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

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The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-11-10 · by Jessica McSweeney

Quick Summary

Gun ownership groups are running an "anyone but Labor" campaign in key electoral districts ahead of the March election, focusing on areas with high numbers of firearm owners such as Monaro and Penrith. The Shooters Union estimates there are nearly 2000 gun owners in Penrth alone, where Labor won by a margin of just 1500 votes after preferences. Campaign efforts include social media advertising spending over $13,000 since August, aiming to rally support against Labor’s proposed firearm safety measures following the Bondi terror attack. The Premier has criticized these campaigns for using violent imagery, while gun advocacy groups argue that their actions are a response to what they see as a “war on hunting.”
Written by AI on 2026-11-10, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

As of November 10, 2026, the Shooters Union of Australia is actively campaigning against the Labor party in key electoral districts including Monaro, Lismore, Bega, Cessnock, South Coast, Camden, and Penrith. The union targets areas with high numbers of firearm owners, such as Penrith where Labor won by only 1.6%, or around 1500 votes after preferences were counted. The Shooters Union estimates there are nearly 2000 gun owners in Penrith alone.

The group is mobilizing an "anyone but Labor" movement, conducting door-to-door and flyer campaigns to support opposition candidates who would likely benefit One Nation. Since August, the union has spent over $13,000 on social media advertising aimed at voters in high gun ownership postcodes. Meanwhile, 525 guns were handed in during the first week of a new buyback initiative, with 1032 additional bookings for collection, totaling 4704 guns listed so far.

Written for “Anyone But Labor Movement” on 2026-11-10, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.
Why this leaning score
The article's own words the score was based on. Each is quoted verbatim and was checked against the article text before being stored, so you can find it in the original.
Reading Leans right (beta estimate) Confidence high
Leaning: leans right for article 141045 (high confidence, 3 verified quotes) · logged 2026-11-10

Story

Anyone But Labor Movement
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 4% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
Leans left further left than this Hedges 0 of 26 claims Outlet record 65/100
“Article A discusses a poll showing Labor trailing in the Victorian election, while Article B describes a campaign by shooting groups to support opposition candidates against Labor in specific seats.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 4 of 39 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the political situation and upcoming election but do not focus on the same specific incident.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of political movements in Queensland but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
28
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
4%
1 of 28 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-10 · how these are computed

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Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 6622 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jessica McSweeney
27 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
The Shooters Union has identified seats including Monaro, Lismore, Bega, Cessnock, South Coast, Camden and Penrith as government seats it will target with flyers and doorknocking campaigns in support of opposition challengers – which in many cases will benefit One Nation.
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Also by Jessica McSweeney
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 27 articles by Jessica McSweeney →

Topics

Labor Monaro Penrith South Coast The Shooters Union

Subjects

Labor ORG · 8× Minns PERSON · 7× Penrith GPE · 3× The Shooters Union ORG · 3× NSW GPE · 2× One Nation ORG · 2× Park PERSON · 2× South Coast GPE · 2× Lismore GPE · 1× Monaro GPE · 1×

Narrative

The Shooters Union has identified seats including Monaro, Lismore, Bega, Cessnock, South Coast, Camden and Penrith as government seats it will target with flyers and doorknocking campaigns in support of opposition challengers – which in many cases will benefit One Nation.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-10
The Shooters Union has identified seats including Monaro, Lismore, Bega, Cessnock, South Coast, Camden and Penrith as government seats it will target with flyers and doorknocking campaigns in support of opposition challengers – which in many cases will benefit One Nation.
2026-11-10 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Inside the ‘anyone but Labor’ movement working to flip crucial seats · assertive framing

Claims (28 extracted, 1 hedged)

Shooting groups are mobilising an “anyone but Labor” campaign to flip marginal seats with high numbers of firearm owners, as the premier hits out at “violent imagery” in social media advertising. asserted
premier → mobilise → advertising
The Shooters Union has identified seats including Monaro, Lismore, Bega, Cessnock, South Coast, Camden and Penrith as government seats it will target with flyers and doorknocking campaigns in support of opposition challengers – which in many cases will benefit One Nation. asserted
which → identify → Nation
They will zero in on seats such as Penrith, where after preferences Labor won by 1.6 per cent, or about 1500 votes. asserted
Labor → zero → cent
The Shooters Union of Australia estimates, based on postcode data, that close to 2000 gun owners live in the seat. asserted
owners → base → seat
The campaign comes as 525 guns were handed in after the first week of the gun buyback, and bookings from firearm owners wanting to hand in their guns reached 1032 after a week. asserted
bookings → come → week
A total of 4704 guns have been listed for collection. asserted
total → list → collection
The Shooters Union has begun spending on an election campaign advertising blitz, dropping $13,000 on social media advertising since August, analysis of Meta advertising data shows. asserted
analysis → begin → data
Those ads, which have also been targeted to voters in postcodes with high gun ownership, claim Labor is waging a “war on hunting”. uncertain
Labor → target → hunting
The ads also call for volunteers who are “fed up with being overlooked” to help hand out flyers. asserted
who → call → flyers
One of those posts was captioned “Minns is missing the point, stop Labor’s war on hunting” and featured a stock image silhouette of a man, with physical similarities to the premier, in the crosshairs of a weapon. asserted
Minns → caption → weapon
A Shooter’s Union spokesman denied the image represented Minns and said the image was intended to represent gun owners targeted by the buyback, however Minns labelled the post “violent”. asserted
Minns → deny → post
“This image should be withdrawn. asserted
image → withdraw → ?
Debate the policy, make your case, but do it without imagery that threatens or intimidates,” Minns said. asserted
Minns → debate → imagery
The Shooters Union and the Shooting Industry Foundation of Australia are both registered third-party campaigners ahead of the March election. asserted
Union → register → election
The challenge for gun groups will be convincing swing voters who do not own guns of their cause while Labor campaigns on a platform of greater firearm safety after the Bondi terror attack. asserted
Labor → convince → attack
A Resolve Political Monitor poll conducted for this masthead in August and September showed 53 per cent of voters support the gun buyback. asserted
cent → conduct → buyback
Shooting Industry Foundation Australia chief executive James Walsh said: “From our perspective, there are seats like Kiama and South Coast, Penrith, seats in the Hunter. asserted
Walsh → say → Hunter
We believe that there are 12 or more seats that we can focus on and flip. asserted
we → believe → that
“There are a number of seats where the number of shooters is greater than the people who make up the margin, and we’ll be using that to our advantage.” asserted
we → be → advantage
Shooters Union Australia president Graham Park said: “It’s an anyone but Labor campaign.” Park said the union would support any party that commits to ending the buyback. asserted
that → say → buyback
He appeared at a One Nation event in Tamworth last month alongside Barnaby Joyce and NSW Leader Mike Newman, and will speak at a party forum on firearms policy in Windsor this month. asserted
He → appear → Windsor
“What Mr Albanese and Minns have done is create the very thing they said they didn’t want, which is an effective pro-gun advocacy lobby, which has never existed in Australia.” asserted
which → do → Australia
Park said the campaign would highlight Anthony Albanese as the architect of the gun buyback, leveraging on voter dislike of the prime minister over cost-of-living pressures. asserted
campaign → say → pressures
Minns is also seeking to leverage his government’s firearms reforms against Liberal Leader Kellie Sloane. asserted
Minns → seek → Sloane
The government is counting on most angry firearms owners already being rusted-on conservatives, rather than Labor voters jumping ship. asserted
voters → count → ship
“If you want firearm laws watered down in NSW, then you should put Labor last, because we’re not changing our point of view,” he said. asserted
he → want → view
Minns is digging in his heels, but also attempting to position gun reforms as a safety issue, appealing to voters to see the Liberals, who first supported the laws but have since changed position, and One Nation as two sides of the same coin. asserted
who → dig → coin
Opposition Leader Kellie Sloane will scrap firearm caps for farmers and professional sporting shooters. asserted
Sloane → scrap → farmers
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