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NFL Week 9 betting trends: Joe Burrow surges in MVP race, trade deadline shakes up futures

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Svoboda, D. (2026, November 10). NFL Week 9 betting trends: Joe Burrow surges in MVP race, trade deadline shakes up futures. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/11/10/betting/nfl-week-9-betting-trends-joe-burrow-surges-in-mvp-race-trade-deadline-shakes-up-futures/

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New York Post · collected 2026-11-10 · by Dylan Svoboda

Quick Summary

Oddsmakers have made significant adjustments to Super Bowl futures, MVP odds, and other major betting markets following the NFL trade deadline. Joe Burrow has surged ahead in the MVP race with 18 total touchdowns in his last four games, shortening his odds from +475 to +210 at DraftKings. The Jacksonville Jaguars have seen their Super Bowl odds improve to +750 after acquiring defensive stars, making them a 10.5-point road favorite against the Titans for Week 10. Meanwhile, rookie quarterback Fernando Mendoza’s odds of winning Offensive Rookie of the Year have skyrocketed from +1500 to +350 following the Raiders' trade of Kirk Cousins.
Written by AI on 2026-11-11, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Kirk Cousins has returned to the Minnesota Vikings after being acquired from the Las Vegas Raiders in exchange for a third-round draft pick. This trade aims to boost the Vikings' struggling offense following an abysmal performance against the Buffalo Bills. Meanwhile, the Raiders have handed the starting quarterback position to rookie Fernando Mendoza, who will face tough defenses in Seattle and Denver in his first two NFL starts.

Cousins previously played for Minnesota from 2018 through 2023 before being traded to the Raiders this season. His return is seen as a significant move by the Vikings, who are currently 6-2 in the competitive NFC North division. The trade deadline deal reunites Cousins with head coach Kevin O’Connell and could potentially set up another clash against the Packers at Lambeau Field, mirroring his previous tenure's final game.

The transaction also elevates Mendoza to betting favorite status for Offensive Rookie of the Year honors, reflecting a dramatic shift in NFL odds following the trade.

Written for “Vikings Trade for Kirk Cousins” on 2026-11-11, grounded in this article and the 16 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

Vikings Trade for Kirk Cousins
Sports · 17 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 6% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Vikings’ Super Bowl odds barely budge after Kirk Cousins trade Same event
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Hedges 1 of 11 claims Outlet record 66/100
NFL Week 9: The Rams get a much-needed defensive boost, plus Bears hold on Different event
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“The articles cover different aspects of NFL Week 9, with Article A focusing on game highlights and performances while Article B discusses betting trends and trade deadline impacts.”
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Hedges 2 of 82 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL Week 9 and do not focus on a single specific incident.”
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The Guardian
Hedges 5 of 68 claims Outlet record 65/100
“While both articles discuss trades and movements around the NFL trade deadline, they focus on different aspects and implications of the events rather than describing the exact same incident.”
Seven things we learned from NFL trade deadline: A $180M Kirk Cousins lesson Different event
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Hedges 0 of 4 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Both articles discuss the NFL trade deadline and mention Kirk Cousins, but they focus on different aspects: Article A covers lessons from trades leading up to the deadline, while Article B discusses betting trends following the deadline.”
NFL trade deadline winners and losers, including Dianna Russini and Kirk Cousins Different event
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“Both articles discuss the NFL trade deadline and its impact, but they focus on different aspects (winners and losers vs. betting trends) and do not clearly describe the exact same incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
18
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
6%
1 of 18 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
17
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-11 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

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Who wrote this

Dylan Svoboda
70 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
Minnesota’s Super Bowl odds moved from 24/1 earlier Tuesday to 22/1 at DraftKings Sportsbook following the deal, suggesting that Cousins may not make as much of a difference as Vikings fans hope.
2026-11-11 · assertive framing · Vikings’ Super Bowl odds barely budge after Kirk Cousins trade
Burrow leads the league with 23 touchdown passes, and Cincinnati’s Sunday showdown with Pittsburgh could further shape the race.
2026-11-10 · assertive framing · NFL Week 9 betting trends: Joe Burrow surges in MVP race, trade deadline shakes up futures
He would then join the Ravens but never appear in a game for the team before heading to Chicago and playing 10 games for the Bears.
2026-11-03 · assertive framing · Bills release C.J. Gardner-Johnson after Brock Bowers spitting incident
It would be the most-watched WNBA game since the league’s first season in 1997 if those numbers hold.
2026-11-03 · assertive framing · WNBA Finals Game 7 viewership reaches nearly 30-year high
Caleb Williams has also entered the MVP conversation, with his odds improving to +800 as the Bears sit at 6-2.
2026-11-03 · assertive framing · NFL Week 8 betting trends: Lamar Jackson injury, Bears gaining steam
The Chiefs, who will come to town on Sunday for a huge divisional battle, have a plus-40 point differential, even after their 20-3 loss to the Seahawks last Sunday.
2026-11-01 · assertive framing · Chiefs vs. Broncos prediction, bets: Patrick Mahomes grabs control in tight AFC West
The Golden State Valkyries will have a chance to win their first WNBA championship Saturday when they host the Atlanta Dream in Game 7.
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Dream vs Valkyries prediction, props: Tiffany Hayes to shine in WNBA Finals Game 7
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Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 70 articles by Dylan Svoboda →

Topics

DraftKings Jaguars NFL Super Bowl Vikings

Subjects

NFL ORG · 8× DraftKings ORG · 3× Jaguars ORG · 3× Vikings ORG · 3× Bills ORG · 2× Cousins PERSON · 2× Jacksonville ORG · 2× Joe Burrow PERSON · 2× Kirk Cousins PERSON · 2× Minnesota ORG · 2×

Narrative

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Fernando Mendoza suddenly becomes Rookie of the Year favorite Perhaps the biggest betting swing from Tuesday’s trade deadline belongs to a quarterback who has barely played this season.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-11
Burrow leads the league with 23 touchdown passes, and Cincinnati’s Sunday showdown with Pittsburgh could further shape the race.
2026-11-11 · New York Post
NFL Week 9 betting trends: Joe Burrow surges in MVP race, trade deadline shakes up futures · assertive framing

Claims (18 extracted, 1 hedged)

Between a flurry of trades ahead of Tuesday’s deadline, oddsmakers have made massive adjustments to Super Bowl futures, MVP odds, and other major betting markets. asserted
oddsmakers → make → futures
Here are four of the biggest developments heading into Week 10. asserted
four → head → Week
Vikings’ blockbuster trade draws muted response from oddsmakers The Vikings made perhaps the biggest move of Tuesday’s trade deadline by bringing back Kirk Cousins, but oddsmakers don’t appear all that impressed. asserted
oddsmakers → draw → Cousins
Minnesota’s Super Bowl odds shortened only slightly, from 24/1 earlier Tuesday to 22/1 at DraftKings Sportsbook following the deal. asserted
odds → shorten → deal
The Vikings also went from 4.5-point underdogs to 3.5-point underdogs for Sunday’s matchup with the Packers, suggesting Cousins is only worth about a point on the spread compared to their other quarterback options. asserted
Cousins → go → options
It’s a modest vote of confidence in Cousins, who returns to a 6-2 team desperate for quarterback stability after Monday’s ugly 23-6 loss to Buffalo. asserted
who → ’ → Buffalo
Joe Burrow becomes new MVP favorite Joe Burrow has taken the lead in the NFL MVP race after a scorching month. The Bengals quarterback has produced 18 total touchdowns in his past four games, including four in Sunday’s win over the Falcons in Madrid. asserted
quarterback → become → Madrid
His odds shortened from +475 last week to +210 at DraftKings, pushing him past Bills star Josh Allen, who is now +240. asserted
who → shorten → Allen
Burrow leads the league with 23 touchdown passes, and Cincinnati’s Sunday showdown with Pittsburgh could further shape the race. uncertain
showdown → lead → race
Jaguars’ Super Bowl odds soar after trade spree The Jaguars are going all-in, and oddsmakers have taken notice. asserted
oddsmakers → soar → notice
Jacksonville’s Super Bowl odds shortened from +850 to +750 at DraftKings following the team’s acquisition of defensive stars Jordan Davis, Jessie Bates III, and Davon Godchaux. asserted
odds → shorten → Davis
The Jaguars now have the third-shortest championship odds in the NFL, trailing only the 49ers and Bills. asserted
Jaguars → have → 49ers
Jacksonville, which is 6-2 and holds a commanding AFC South lead, enters Sunday’s matchup against the Titans as a 10.5-point road favorite. asserted
which → hold → favorite
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Fernando Mendoza suddenly becomes Rookie of the Year favorite Perhaps the biggest betting swing from Tuesday’s trade deadline belongs to a quarterback who has barely played this season. asserted
who → read → quarterback
Following the Raiders’ decision to trade Kirk Cousins to Minnesota, rookie Fernando Mendoza’s Offensive Rookie of the Year odds skyrocketed from +1500 to +350 at DraftKings. asserted
odds → follow → DraftKings
The No. 1 overall pick, who has attempted just eight passes this season, is now the betting favorite. asserted
who → attempt → passes
Mendoza is expected to make his first NFL start Sunday against the defending champion Seahawks, who are favored by 6.5 points. asserted
who → expect → points
He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA. asserted
He → ’ → three
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