When calling a snap election last month, Spain's Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez was betting that anger over housing and anxiety about the far right would rally all shades of the left behind his Socialists.
asserted
anger → call → Socialists
However, polls and interviews indicate that prospective supporters are too furious about the status quo and the perceived failings of his incumbent administration to oblige.
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supporters → indicate → administration
Widespread protests over a housing crisis, triggered by the September eviction of 87-year-old Maricarmen Abascal, culminated on Wednesday in a general strike that trade unions said brought more than 3 million on to the streets.
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unions → trigger → streets
"Every generation has its own struggle — for us, that struggle is housing," Sanchez said at his first rally after calling the vote.
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Sanchez → have → vote
As he prepares to face voters on November 29, his challenge is that the protests led by movements even further to his left have moved well beyond accommodation.
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protests → prepare → accommodation
‘We’re really tired of so many things’
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We → ’re → things
"We're really tired of so many things," said Maria Torrena Perez, a 40-year-old primary school teacher at a march in Madrid on Wednesday night.
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Perez → say → night
"We need decent housing.
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We → need → housing
We need a quality public education system.
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We → need → system
We need a decent healthcare system.
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We → need → system
Ultimately, they're not investing in what they should be investing in.
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they → invest → what
And we're fed up with the policies being implemented across the board."
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we → feed → board
Two deadly train crashes, corruption convictions in Sanchez's inner circle and a rush of migrants into the Spanish enclave of Ceuta have all taken their toll on Sanchez's support.
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crashes → take → support
For all his campaigning, polls show backing for his party is still hovering around the 26-29 per cent level recorded before he called the election.
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he → show → election
Without a shift in the next two weeks, an alliance between the conservative People's Party and far-right Vox, a hardline nationalist party championing tighter borders and deregulation, is seen as the most likely next government.
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alliance → champion → government
Interviews with left-of-centre politicians, activists and voters suggested that for many, disillusionment with the status quo outweighs the urge to keep the far right out.
uncertain
disillusionment → suggest → right
The "lesser evil" pitch of a centrist government standing between them and an ever-harder right is wearing thin, echoing discontent with incumbents that has spilled into social unrest across Europe in recent months.
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that → stand → months
Sanchez has branded the prospect of a PP-Vox government a threat to social rights won in recent decades, comparing what he called their "project of regression" with the policies of right-wing leaders such as US President Donald Trump, Argentina's Javier Milei or former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro.
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he → brand → Trump
"You do not advance by travelling to the past," he told supporters at his first official campaign rally on Thursday.
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he → advance → Thursday
Some have turned that against him.
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Some → turn → him
Sanchez's "self-styled progressive government is a government of slower regression," said Mario Aguiriano, spokesperson for the Socialist Movement popular among students which gained prominence in Spain's protest encampments.
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which → style → encampments
"Is the enemy who kills you slowly with poison preferable to the enemy who kills you with a chainsaw?"
Sanchez's Socialist Party "plays in elections and campaigns at being the Che Guevara of the left — but progressive voters aren't going to be fooled," Tesh Sidi, a lawmaker left of Sanchez, said as she explained why voters should choose her "Broad Front" party over their senior partners in the government coalition.
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voters → kill → coalition
The breakdown of talks last month among Spain's left-of-centre parties to form a united platform means disgruntled leftist voters face a choice between sticking with the Socialists, abstaining, or voting for a smaller party that might end up letting the right in.
uncertain
that → form → right
Many — emboldened by the scale and impact of street protests in Spain and across Europe, from Serbia to neighbouring Portugal — have suggested that electoral politics may no longer be the best way to get change.
uncertain
politics → embolden → change
"Voting isn't enough," said Alicia del Rio, spokesperson for the Tenants Union which called Wednesday's general strike.
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which → say → strike
It was vital not to "hand fascism a seat" but voting was just one way to make a difference.
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voting → hand → difference
"No matter who governs, there needs to be popular power pushing our agenda forward," she told reporters at a briefing earlier this month, vowing that the movement would ensure housing remained the main issue in the campaign.
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housing → govern → campaign
On the campaign trail, Sanchez has deployed the roulette-table phrase "all on red" to appeal for tactical votes for his party in provinces which have just a handful of seats, where Spain's electoral system disadvantages smaller parties.
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system → deploy → parties
With more than a million voters still undecided, just four in five left-leaning Spaniards backing the Socialists in small provinces could turn things around, political consultant Ivan Redondo, a former campaign strategist for Sanchez, told reporters.
uncertain
Redondo → lean → reporters
Meanwhile, the political landscape keeps shifting.
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landscape → shift → ?
Vox is attracting some disillusioned left-wing voters with its narratives of defending hard work and protecting Spanish culture, Paco Camas from pollster Ipsos said.
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Camas → attract → Ipsos
Other movements have decided the best place to be is in opposition.
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place → decide → opposition
Podemos ("We Can") — which at the height of its popularity in 2015 attracted over a quarter of voters but whose support has dropped to just 1.9% in most recent polls — refused to join the new "Broad Front" or consider an alliance with the incumbents.
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support → attract → incumbents
Podemos' secretary-general, Ione Belarra, quipped on Thursday that the Socialists' appeal for tactical votes would only be tactical for those seeking to benefit landlords, welcome so-called "vulture funds" into the country or appease Israel.
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appeal → quip → Israel
The Socialists "will swallow you up if they get the chance," said the party's lead candidate, Irene Montero.
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candidate → swallow → chance
The Aporia
