U.S. President Donald Trump has told senior advisers in recent days that he may hold off on attacking Iran if the U.S. faces no new provocations from Tehran or the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen, according to three people familiar with the matter.
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U.S. → tell → matter
Mr. Trump has alternated between threats of escalating the war with new strikes and winding down hostilities, and current and former officials say he does not appear to have made up his mind about how to resolve the unpopular conflict, which he launched in February with Israel.
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he → alternate → Israel
But in meetings with his national security advisers and after a series of intelligence briefings, Mr. Trump said he was considering holding off on strikes, said the people, who, like others interviewed for this story, spoke on condition of anonymity.
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who → say → anonymity
He has also indicated sympathy for allies in the region who have asked him not to return to a full-fledged war.
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who → indicate → war
"I could end it immediately, but at the request of the nations that I am looking to protect, we are doing it a little bit longer way, a bit more civilly," Mr. Trump told sports broadcaster Stephen A. Smith on Thursday.
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Trump → end → Thursday
The war has hiked global fuel prices and proven unpopular with U.S. voters, who handed control of Congress to the Democrats in last week's midterm elections.
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who → hike → elections
In a Reuters/Ipsos poll taken shortly before the November 3 elections, 55% of Americans said the war was not worth the cost, and Vice-President J.D. Vance cited it as the reason Mr. Trump's Republicans lost Congress.
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Republicans → take → Congress
Mr. Trump's private comments build on public remarks playin down the likelihood of major warfare resuming.
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warfare → build → likelihood
"As Commander-in-Chief, President Trump is the architect and sole decision-maker who holds all the cards and will always ensure that America’s interests are protected," a White House official said in a statement.
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official → hold → statement
"The United States is in a very strong position with control of the Strait of Hormuz and the Iranian economy collapsing.
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economy → collapse → Hormuz
Only President Trump knows what he will do, and when.
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he → know → what
"
The CIA and Office of the Director of National Intelligence did not respond to requests for comment.
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CIA → respond → comment
In phone calls over the past two weeks, Mr. Trump asked for opinions from Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan, who both urged him not to resume attacks on Iran, according to a senior U.S. official and another person familiar with the matter.
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who → ask → matter
They said Mr. Trump made no commitment either way.
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Trump → say → commitment
Mr. Trump told Mr. bin Salman on October 31 that he was planning to attack after the elections, but the crown prince pleaded for him to hold off, arguing that economic sanctions against Iran were working, according to two more people familiar with the discussion.
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sanctions → tell → discussion
Saudi Arabia's Foreign Ministry did not respond to a request for comment.
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Ministry → respond → comment
Mr. Trump has spoken with Erdogan three times since October 28, according to Turkey's presidency.
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Trump → speak → presidency
An official readout from the November 7 call stressed that tensions between Iran and the U.S. need to end.
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tensions → stress → Iran
U.S. intelligence agencies have assessed that the U.S. naval blockade and economic sanctions are hurting the Iranian economy and would continue to put pressure on Tehran, two U.S. officials briefed on the intelligence said.
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officials → assess → intelligence
Building on its months-long blockade of Iranian sea traffic, the U.S. military is also seeking to prevent weapons and other sanctioned material from entering the country by land or through the Caspian Sea, Reuters first reported last week.
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Reuters → build → Sea
At the same time, the U.S. military is ready to escalate if needed, three more people familiar with US planning said.
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people → escalate → planning
A third aircraft carrier is moving into West Asia in the coming days to replace one of the two currently operating in the region, but all three carriers could stay if needed, the people said.
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people → move → region
Mr. Trump could opt to bomb Iran's underground nuclear facilities, one of the people familiar with Trump's calls with the Saudi and Turkish leaders said.
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one → opt → leaders
But the U.S. has already struck those facilities, and it is unclear whether further strikes would be successful.
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strikes → strike → facilities
U.S. intelligence agencies have assessed that renewed strikes would not significantly shift Iran’s demands in negotiations, two U.S. officials said.
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officials → assess → negotiations
Mr. Trump was also briefed on U.S. weapon stockpiles, some of which have drawn down to worrying levels, the two people familiar with the intelligence briefings said.
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people → brief → briefings
Reuters reported in August that the U.S. had used “virtually all” of its long-range precision munitions, and another person briefed on the matter said they have not been replenished.
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they → report → matter
"The United States Military has enough munitions and ammo to serve all of the Commander-in-Chief’s strategic goals and beyond," the White House official said.
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official → have → goals
Israeli pressure
Israeli officials have continued to lobby the administration to engage in another military campaign, according to a U.S. official.
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officials → continue → official
Mr. Trump signalled this week that the U.S. has already achieved what it could from negotiations, but did not say whether he would resume strikes.
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he → signal → strikes
“We don’t need a deal with Iran,” Mr. Trump said in a social media post on Thursday (November 14, 2026).
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Trump → need → Thursday
“We’ve got their money, Hundreds of Billions of Dollars, and we’ve got their Strait!”
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we → get → Strait
The Aporia
