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Oregon State vs. Boise State odds, predictions, best bets: Top plays for Pac-12 showdown

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Leboff, M. (2026, November 14). Oregon State vs. Boise State odds, predictions, best bets: Top plays for Pac-12 showdown. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/11/14/betting/oregon-state-vs-boise-state-odds-predictions-best-bets-college-football-picks-saturday/

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New York Post · collected 2026-11-14 · by Michael Leboff

Quick Summary

Boise State, after an impressive 2025 season with eight consecutive wins following a narrow loss to Oregon, faces Oregon State in a crucial Pac-12 matchup. Boise State is a 14.5-point favorite, and a victory would secure their spot in the Pac-12 Championship and potentially the College Football Playoff. Oregon State, despite being longshots, relies heavily on quarterback Braden Atkinson, who leads the nation in passing but will miss the game due to injury. Oregon State’s backup quarterback, Maalik Murphy, will likely start, while Boise State’s Maddux Madsen is also questionable due to injury.
Written by AI on 2026-11-15, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Boise State is a 14.5-point favorite to defeat Oregon State in their upcoming Pac-12 conference game on Saturday night. After an uneven start to the season, the Broncos have won eight consecutive games, including a narrow loss to Oregon. A victory over Oregon State would clinch a spot in the Pac-12 Championship and bring them closer to the College Football Playoff. Despite initial low expectations due to their move from the Mountain West to the Pac-12, Boise State has exceeded predictions with only one loss. Meanwhile, Oregon State, who had longer odds to win the Pac-12 than any other team, needs an upset win to remain competitive for the championship.

Written for “Oregon State Vs Boise State Odds” on 2026-11-15, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

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Story

Oregon State Vs Boise State Odds
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-11-15 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 20126 article(s) · 40 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 40 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Michael Leboff
134 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
And a win over LSU on Saturday would all but guarantee the Longhorns a spot at the College Football Playoff. Texas vs. LSU odds, prediction Speaking of right turns, it was hard to see LSU’s performance against Alabama last weekend coming.
A victory over Oregon State on Saturday night would clinch a spot in the Pac-12 Championship for the Broncos, and put them one win closer to a spot in the College Football Playoff.
That defense will be put to the test on Saturday against USC, which is coming off a season-saving (and coach-saving) win over Ohio State last time out.
The Bulldogs are the new No. 1 after a win over Ole Miss, but Missouri is not an easy opponent, and the Tigers will relish the chance to upend Georgia’s season on Saturday.
Nobody in August would have had Wake Forest vs. SMU pegged as one of the most important games of the college football season, but alas, that’s where this crazy season has taken us.
Houston vs. Colorado odds, prediction Willie Fritz’s Cougars are going to be convinced they’re still in the College Football Playoff chase.
Everybody knew that Dianna Russini’s options for a comeback would be limited given the circumstances of her dismissal from The Athletic, but you’d be hard-pressed to find anybody who would have predicted her landing spot would be an offshore sportsbook.
A win over Newcastle on Monday would put some breathing room between Everton and the drop, but that’s far from a given.
Lincoln Riley’s seat at USC is getting hotter by the minute, and a loss to Wisconsin last time out may eventually be the proverbial final nail in the coffin, but
They are two-score favorites over UNC on Saturday, but they will also likely have one eye on Week 10 when they take on Notre Dame in one of the biggest games of the season. 21
Also by Michael Leboff
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 134 articles by Michael Leboff →

Topics

Beavers Boise State Broncos Colorado State Oregon State

Subjects

Oregon State GPE · 7× Boise State ORG · 6× Broncos ORG · 5× Beavers ORG · 4× Atkinson PERSON · 3× Colorado State GPE · 3× Madsen PERSON · 3× Oregon GPE · 1× the Mountain West ORG · 1× the Pac-12, expectations ORG · 1×

Narrative

The Beavers do have a high-upside deputy behind Atkinson in Maalik Murphy, a former four-star recruit who made stops at Texas and Duke before heading to Corvallis, but it’s still a huge blow for a team that relies on the pass more than any other in the country.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-11-15
A victory over Oregon State on Saturday night would clinch a spot in the Pac-12 Championship for the Broncos, and put them one win closer to a spot in the College Football Playoff.

Claims (19 extracted, 1 hedged)

The Broncos were still the favorite to win the conference, but they were not picked to be a runaway train as they had been in previous offseasons. asserted
they → win → offseasons
Eleven weeks later, and it looks like the college football world committed the cardinal sin of underestimating Boise State. asserted
world → look → State
The Broncos have one loss — a one-possession thriller to Oregon — and have won eight in a row since that trip to Eugene. asserted
Broncos → have → Eugene
A victory over Oregon State on Saturday night would clinch a spot in the Pac-12 Championship for the Broncos, and put them one win closer to a spot in the College Football Playoff. asserted
victory → clinch → Playoff
The bookmakers are expecting that to happen, as Boise State is a 14.5-point favorite on Saturday. asserted
State → expect → Saturday
Boise State vs. Oregon State odds, prediction Only Colorado State had longer odds than Oregon State to win the Pac-12, so it’s quite the feat that JaMarcus Shepard has the Beavers in contention for a spot in the conference championship. asserted
Shepard → have → championship
Oregon State will need to upset Boise State to stay alive, but just getting to this point is impressive. asserted
getting → need → point
Quarterback Braden Atkinson, the nation’s leading passer, will miss the trip to the Blue Turf with an injury. asserted
Atkinson → lead → injury
Atkinson and true freshman wide receiver Jesse Legree, who leads the nation in receiving yards (1,219) and is tied for the most touchdowns (14), have powered the Beavers all season long. asserted
who → lead → Beavers
The Beavers do have a high-upside deputy behind Atkinson in Maalik Murphy, a former four-star recruit who made stops at Texas and Duke before heading to Corvallis, but it’s still a huge blow for a team that relies on the pass more than any other in the country. asserted
that → have → country
But Oregon State may not be the only team playing a backup QB on Saturday. uncertain
State → play → Saturday
Fifth-year senior quarterback Maddux Madsen is also banged up and missed last week’s 64-38 win over Colorado State. asserted
Madsen → bang → State
Max Cutforth filled in for Madsen and acquitted himself fine, but he’s likely to be a downgrade from Madsen. asserted
he → fill → Madsen
Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps - Check out the best sports betting sites and apps Even if Madsen does suit up, it’s anybody’s guess how compromised he will be for this contest. asserted
he → get → contest
Whoever starts for Boise State will need to be sharp, because the Broncos are really struggling to get stops right now. asserted
Broncos → start → stops
The Broncos conceded 83 points in their last two games to Texas State and Colorado State, and they now rank 121st overall in yards per play allowed. asserted
they → concede → play
The Oregon State offense, even without Atkinson, should have enough success against this porous defense to stay within the number, especially with the hook. asserted
offense → have → hook
The Play: Oregon State +14.5 (-110, DraftKings) Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. asserted
Leboff → suffer → industry
He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports. asserted
punters → use → sports
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