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Lions vs. Bills prediction: Expect a scoring bonanza on ‘Thursday Night Football’

Read the original at New York Post ↗
Cite

Treppedi, S. (2026, September 17). Lions vs. Bills prediction: Expect a scoring bonanza on ‘Thursday Night Football’. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/17/betting/lions-vs-bills-prediction-nfl-week-2-picks-odds-best-bets-for-thursday-night-football/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-09-17 · by Sean Treppedi

Quick Summary

The article predicts a high-scoring game between the Detroit Lions and the Buffalo Bills in an upcoming NFL Thursday Night Football matchup. Both teams rank first and second in points scored per game over their last 50 regular-season games, with the Bills averaging 29.7 points and the Lions averaging 28.8 points. The predicted total score for this game is set at 54.5 points, with many bettors favoring an "over" on this number due to both teams' offensive prowess and recent performances.
Written by AI on 2026-09-20, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

bet365 Sportsbook is offering new users a promotion where betting $10 on the upcoming Thursday Night Football matchup between the Detroit Lions and Buffalo Bills can earn them $365 in bonus bets, regardless of whether their initial bet wins or loses. This offer is available only to users located in states where online sports betting is legal, such as New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Indiana, West Virginia, and Michigan.

The game features high-scoring offenses from both teams: the Bills with quarterback Josh Allen leading them after a 41-31 victory over the Detroit Lions in their last meeting, and the Lions looking to rebound following an overtime loss to the Saints. The Bills are favored by 4.5 points, with a total point spread of 53.5 points.

Additionally, other sportsbooks like FanDuel, BetMGM, and theScore Bet offer various bonuses ranging from $100 to $1,500 in bonus bets depending on the initial wager amount and whether it wins or loses. For instance, FanDuel offers a $350 bonus bet if one point is scored by either team.

These promotions aim to attract new users and enhance user engagement ahead of the highly anticipated game, which marks the grand opening of Highmark Stadium for the Bills. Users must sign up and use specific promo codes like "FOXNEWS" for Betr to claim their bonuses.

Written for “Bills vs Lions Thursday Night Football” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 21 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Bills vs Lions Thursday Night Football
Sports · 22 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
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Hedges 0 of 22 claims Outlet record 64/100
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Hedges 1 of 20 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Guardian
Hedges 0 of 31 claims Outlet record 66/100
Fox News
Hedges 2 of 22 claims Outlet record 69/100
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 37 claims Outlet record 64/100
Fox News
Hedges 1 of 30 claims Outlet record 69/100
Fox News
Hedges 5 of 37 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different football games involving distinct teams.”
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe predictions and analysis for different games involving distinct teams (Saints vs. Lions and Bills vs. Lions), indicating separate events.”
Fox News
Hedges 3 of 18 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss related topics (a football game and betting on it), but Article A is a prediction for an upcoming game, while Article B offers a sportsbook promotion for bets placed on the same game. They describe different aspects of the event rather than the same specific incident.”
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 15 claims Outlet record 66/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
22
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-20 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 16360 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Sean Treppedi
88 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 This week’s primetime Sunday game between the Eagles and Commanders will broadcast the dysfunction that has engulfed both teams since their Week 1 thriller went down to the wire.
🔮 Points could come in bunches with the total set at 54.5, as both defenses rank among the NFL’s bottom five in opponent EPA per play and yards allowed per play. 21+.
🔮 The two-time NFL MVP and his rival Josh Allen will face one another for the eighth time in their generational careers.
🔮 Their three-game winning streak came to an end against the Lions last week, and perhaps correcting a couple of botched kicks could have saved them.
🔮 This is a bet-and-get offer, so if you bet $10 on Packers -4, you will get the $200 bonus whether they win or lose.
🔮 |---|---| | Dodgers | +310 | | Brewers | +500 | | Yankees | +700 | | Red Sox | 11/1 | | Mariners | 18/1 | | Phillies | 18/1 | | Rays | 22/1 | | Mets | 22/1 | | Padres | 25/1 | | Guardians | 25/1 | Both the Dodgers and Brewers are expected to bring back the core of their championship-caliber lineups in 2027.
🔮 Green Bay’s NFL-worst rushing attack could finally find some traction against a Panthers defense surrendering a league-high 5.2 yards per carry, particularly with Josh Jacobs back in the lineup.
🔮 An example would be placing a $500 bet on Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score an anytime touchdown.
🔮 It may not be your casual sports viewer’s cup of tea, but it’s a baseball purist’s dream: In an era where front offices spend exorbitant sums of money on power hitters, the two best clubs came to be through speed and smarts.
🔮 Jake Allen has fared worse, allowing 3.7 goals above expected to rank 60th.
Also by Sean Treppedi
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 88 articles by Sean Treppedi →

Topics

Bills Buffalo Detroit Lions NFL

Subjects

Bills ORG · 7× NFL ORG · 5× Lions ORG · 4× Allen GPE · 3× Detroit GPE · 3× Buffalo GPE · 2× Houston GPE · 2× Saints ORG · 2× Bills Mafia ORG · 1× Texans NORP · 1×

Narrative

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Allen’s elite dual-threat abilities make defending the Bills unpredictable — especially against a Lions defense that is -0.03 Expected Points Added (EPA) per play.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-20
🔮 With 60,000 members of Bills Mafia christening a brand-new stadium on primetime, you’d think that would be enough of a spectacle.

Claims (26 extracted, 0 hedged)

With 60,000 members of Bills Mafia christening a brand-new stadium on primetime, you’d think that would be enough of a spectacle. asserted
that → christen → spectacle
The impending fireworks between the Bills and Lions add a whole different dimension of appointment viewing. asserted
fireworks → impend → viewing
Detroit and Buffalo have cemented their reputations as two of the NFL’s highest-powered offenses in recent years, ranking No. 1 and No. 2 in points per game over the last 50 regular-season games, at 29.7 and 28.8, respectively. asserted
Detroit → cement → 29.7
Last week, they scored a collective 67 points. asserted
they → score → points
Lions vs. Bills prediction, best bet The Bills secured a 36-31 win over the Texans in a back-and-forth thriller that featured eight lead changes. asserted
that → secure → changes
Josh Allen’s remarkable efforts amounted to 357 total yards and four total scores against an elite Houston defense. asserted
efforts → amount → defense
A 34-yard touchdown strike to Joshua Palmer with 1:36 remaining is the exact kind of high-wire football the Bills have patented. asserted
Bills → remain → football
Detroit also came way too close for comfort against a seemingly inferior Saints team. asserted
Detroit → come → team
The Lions threw away a 21-point lead in the second half before New Orleans’ missed two-point conversion in overtime handed a 31-30 decision to Detroit. asserted
conversion → throw → Detroit
The premier talents of Jahmyr Gibbs and Amon-Ra St. Brown produced as expected, with each catching a pair of touchdowns. asserted
each → produce → touchdowns
The last meeting between these two resulted in a 48-42 points parade won by the Bills in December 2024. asserted
meeting → result → December
More of the same is expected here, with an stratospheric point total that’s crept to 54.5. asserted
that → expect → 54.5
As intimidating as this number is, 53 percent of DraftKings bettors are taking the Over, and there’s good reason to agree with them. asserted
percent → take → them
The Bills made a concerted effort to address their leaky run defense in the offseason. asserted
Bills → make → offseason
They hired Jim Leonhard from Denver and moved to a 3-4 scheme to scrap their conservative tendencies from the prior regime. asserted
They → hire → regime
It made for a whole lot of nothing last week: Houston gained 124 yards on the ground while David Montgomery pounded the ball into the end zone twice. asserted
Montgomery → make → zone
Now comes Gibbs, who consistently beat the Saints’ front seven to the second level before initial contact, picking right up where he left off last season with a career-high 34 touches for 156 yards and two scores. asserted
he → come → yards
If C.J. Stroud connected for 274 yards against Buffalo’s secondary, Jared Goff and St. Brown are due for an explosive play or two. asserted
Goff → connect → play
Using that same logic, it’s scary to think what Allen will muster against a banged-up secondary that allowed 410 passing yards to a callow Tyler Shough. asserted
that → use → Shough
Allen completed five passes for at least 30 yards last week and spread the ball around while he was at it as Dalton Kincaid and DJ Moore combined for 230 yards. asserted
Kincaid → complete → yards
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Allen’s elite dual-threat abilities make defending the Bills unpredictable — especially against a Lions defense that is -0.03 Expected Points Added (EPA) per play. asserted
that → read → play
If the pass isn’t there, he’ll pivot to making the play himself. asserted
he → pivot → play
The former MVP ran for 68 yards in the last meeting and is fresh off a two-score performance with his legs. asserted
MVP → run → legs
The talent is on the field, and the explosive plays are sure to come, so don’t be afraid to climb the beanstalk and bet the Over. asserted
plays → come → Over
THE PLAY: Over 54.5 (51 percent, Kalshi) Why Trust New York Post Betting Sean Treppedi handicaps the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. asserted
Treppedi → trust → Post
He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to mitigate risk. asserted
that → focus → risk
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