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Cam Schlittler’s MVP case, odds: What do the sportsbooks say?

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Leboff, M. (2026, September 19). Cam Schlittler’s MVP case, odds: What do the sportsbooks say? New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/19/betting/cam-schlittlers-mvp-case-odds-what-do-the-sportsbooks-say/

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New York Post · collected 2026-09-19 · by Michael Leboff

Quick Summary

Cam Schlittler is heavily favored to win the American League Cy Young Award with odds of -25000 at bet365 Sportsbook and a prediction probability of 96 percent on other platforms. However, there is growing debate about whether he should also be considered for the AL MVP award, despite no pitcher winning it since Clayton Kershaw in 2014. Schlittler leads the league in ERA, WHIP, and scoreless starts while pitching a dominant 184 2/3 innings with a 1.95 ERA this season. His performance has been crucial for the Yankees' success, keeping them competitive for the best record in the American League despite injuries to other key starters.
Written by AI on 2026-09-19, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Cam Schlittler, a 25-year-old pitcher for the New York Yankees, is nearly certain to win the American League Cy Young Award, according to sports betting odds from bet365 Sportsbook, where he is listed at -25000. Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket also have Schlittler's chances priced at around 96 percent certainty. Despite this overwhelming support for his pitching prowess, a debate has emerged regarding whether Schlittler should be considered for the AL MVP award as well—a rare feat not achieved since Clayton Kershaw in 2014.

Kershaw’s candidacy was bolstered by an exceptional season that included a 21-3 record, a 1.77 ERA, and 239 strikeouts against just 31 walks over 198 innings, culminating in an 8.2 WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Schlittler's stats this year are similarly impressive: he leads the league in innings pitched, ERA, WHIP, and scoreless starts, ranks second in strikeouts and quality starts, and has a 5.9 WAR according to FanGraphs.

Written for “College Football Playoffs Betting” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

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Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects and times related to Cam Schlittler, one about his MVP chances and another about his comments regarding the team's performance and upcoming games.”
Fox News
Hedges 10 of 49 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss Cam Schlittler's potential for winning the AL Cy Young and MVP awards, they are written on different dates and focus on slightly different aspects of his performance and accolades.”
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 11 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses betting odds and Cam Schlittler's chances of winning MVP, while Article B provides a prediction and analysis for an upcoming game where Schlittler will pitch against the Diamondbacks.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
25
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
2 of 25 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-19 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 15756 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Michael Leboff
124 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Michael Leboff
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All 124 articles by Michael Leboff →

Topics

Kalshi Polymarket Yankee bet365 Sportsbook the American League

Subjects

Schlittler PERSON · 5× the American League ORG · 3× Alvarez PERSON · 2× Cam Schlittler PERSON · 2× Kalshi PERSON · 2× Kershaw PERSON · 2× Yankee NORP · 2× bet365 Sportsbook ORG · 2× Clayton Kershaw PERSON · 1× Polymarket ORG · 1×

Narrative

The Play: Cam Schlittler to win AL MVP (50/1, bet365) Why Trust New York Post Betting Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-19
🔮 While Schlittler will be making room for at least one award this winter, a debate has begun to spark up about whether the 25-year-old should also garner heavy consideration for another: AL MVP.
2026-09-19 · New York Post
Cam Schlittler’s MVP case, odds: What do the sportsbooks say? · assertive framing

Claims (25 extracted, 2 hedged)

Cam Schlittler has all but wrapped up the American League Cy Young Award. asserted
Schlittler → wrap → Award
The Pinstriped phenom is a -25000 favorite to become the seventh Yankee to win the honor at bet365 Sportsbook, and the biggest prediction markets, Kalshi and Polymarket, have him priced at 96 percent. asserted
him → become → percent
There are no sure things in baseball nor in betting, but this one is pretty darn close. asserted
one → be → betting
While Schlittler will be making room for at least one award this winter, a debate has begun to spark up about whether the 25-year-old should also garner heavy consideration for another: AL MVP. asserted
old → make → another
No pitcher has won the award in either league since Clayton Kershaw did so for the Dodgers in 2014. asserted
Kershaw → win → 2014
He went 21-3, pitched to a 1.77 ERA and 0.86 WHIP, and racked up 239 strikeouts against just 31 walks in 198 1/3 innings. asserted
He → go → innings
By season’s end, the future Hall-of-Famer had a WAR of 8.2. asserted
Famer → have → 8.2
Plenty has changed in baseball in the 12 years since Kershaw dominated the league, but Schlittler’s resume pops just as much. asserted
resume → change → league
He leads the league in innings pitched, ERA, WHIP, and scoreless starts, and he’s second in strikeouts and quality starts. asserted
he → lead → strikeouts
His 5.9 WAR at FanGraphs lags behind just Kansas City’s Bobby Witt Jr. (6.5) and Houston’s Yordan Alvarez (6.0) in the American League. asserted
WAR → lag → League
Alvarez, who was a Triple Crown threat for much of the year, is the -4000 favorite to be named AL MVP. asserted
who → name → year
Schlittler is currently priced at 50/1 at bet365 Sportsbook, making him the third-favorite, sandwiched between Tampa Bay’s Junior Caminero and Witt Jr. Caminero, who leads the American League with 41 home runs, is 14/1. asserted
who → price → runs
Those odds suggest that the race is over. asserted
race → suggest → ?
At -4000, Alvarez owns a 97.6-percent implied probability. asserted
Alvarez → own → probability
Kalshi has it a shade lower at 89 percent. asserted
it → have → percent
If that was the case, why did the Schlitter-for-MVP talks get so loud that his teammates shared their thoughts? asserted
teammates → get → thoughts
The answer is because the right-hander has a legitimate claim to the award. uncertain
hander → have → award
With Gerrit Cole, Max Fried, and Carlos Rodon all injured for large chunks of the season, Schlittler was the only Yankee starter that Aaron Boone was able to send out every five days. asserted
Boone → injure → that
He took that responsibility head-on in his second season in the majors, delivering a 1.95 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 228 strikeouts in 184 2/3 innings so far. asserted
He → take → innings
Without that level of dominance, the Yankees could be scrapping for a wild-card spot; instead, they’re still in the hunt for the best record in the American League. uncertain
they → scrap → League
Schlittler has two starts remaining, likely against the Diamondbacks on Saturday and a potentially massive one versus the Rays on Thursday. asserted
Schlittler → have → Thursday
If he is able to replicate what he did in his most recent outing against the Mets in those final two appearances, he’ll have plenty of voters thinking long and hard about whether he deserves this award. asserted
he → replicate → award
At 50/1 odds this late in the season, it’s a chance worth taking. asserted
it → ’ → season
The Play: Cam Schlittler to win AL MVP (50/1, bet365) Why Trust New York Post Betting Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. asserted
Leboff → win → industry
He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports. asserted
punters → love → sports
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