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Blue Jays' AL wild-card tiebreakers, schedules: Toronto will need a whole lot of help to make playoffs

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Cite

Wilner, M. (2026, September 20). Blue Jays' AL wild-card tiebreakers, schedules: Toronto will need a whole lot of help to make playoffs. Toronto Star. https://www.thestar.com/sports/blue-jays/blue-jays-al-wild-card-tiebreakers-schedules-toronto-will-need-a-whole-lot-of-help-to-make-playoffs/article_19d0c513-5e8a-4ced-b53c-0aae09c0764d.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Toronto Star · collected 2026-09-20 · by Mike Wilner

Quick Summary

The Blue Jays face a challenging path to securing an American League wild-card spot, currently trailing both the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros in the race. With only seven games left in their season, including Sunday's crucial match against the Rangers where Jacob deGrom is expected to pitch for Texas, Toronto needs significant help from other teams while maintaining strong performances themselves. The article emphasizes the Blue Jays' recent struggles and highlights that they have hurt their own playoff chances more than any external factor.
Written by AI on 2026-09-20, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Blue Jays suffered another setback on Saturday with a 6-2 loss to the Rangers in Texas, severely damaging their chances of reaching the American League playoffs. The defeat came amidst sloppy fielding and anemic offense as Toronto was hitless through five innings and managed just six hits overall. This poor performance widened the gap between them and the playoff-bound Chicago White Sox, who are now three games ahead with a tiebreaker advantage, effectively making it four games. With only seven games left in their season, even if the Blue Jays achieve an unbeatable 6-1 record from here on out, they still need significant help as other teams would only require a modest 3-4 record to remain ahead. The Rangers now lead the AL West while the Houston Astros, who lost to the Atlanta Braves earlier in the day, are also vying for the wild card spot but trail behind. For Toronto, Sunday's final game against Texas will be crucial but daunting as they face a formidable opponent with Jacob deGrom starting on the mound.

Written for “Blue Jays Playoff Chances Dimming” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Blue Jays Playoff Chances Dimming
Sports · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star
Hedges 1 of 41 claims Outlet record 64/100
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 15 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different baseball games on consecutive days; Article A refers to a loss on Saturday, while Article B reports a win for Toronto on Sunday.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 2 of 34 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different games of a series; Article A refers to a game on Friday night while Article B discusses Saturday's game.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 1 of 34 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different points in time and outcomes for the Blue Jays' playoff race, indicating separate events rather than a single ongoing incident.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 3 of 31 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles cover different points in time during the Blue Jays' pursuit of a playoff spot, with Article A focusing on September 18th and Article B discussing developments up to September 20th.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 1 of 24 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different time frames and outcomes for the Blue Jays' playoff chances.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 5 of 45 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different time periods and scenarios for the Blue Jays' playoff chances, not a single specific incident.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 2 of 35 claims Outlet record 64/100
“While both articles discuss Blue Jays' games in Texas on September 20th, Article A focuses on a loss from earlier in the weekend while Article B covers Sunday's win and injury updates.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 1 of 35 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss related situations but refer to different points in time and outcomes.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 2 of 41 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles cover different points in time regarding the Blue Jays' struggles to make the playoffs; Article A discusses their current situation after a loss, while Article B mentions an injury and future potential elimination scenarios.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
33
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 33 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
64/100
Toronto Star's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-20 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Toronto Star · 10784 article(s) · 28 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 28 correction(s)
2026-10-26
Correction
2026-10-24
Correction
2026-10-07
Correction
2026-09-24
Correction

Who wrote this

Mike Wilner
20 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Make us a preferred source on Google Save asset to your list 100% Canadian Owned. © Copyright Toronto Star Newspapers Limited 1996 - 2026 The Toronto Star and thestar.com, each property of Toronto Star Newspapers Limited, 8 Spadina Avenue, 10th Floor, Toronto, ON M5V 0S8 © Copyright Toronto Star Newspapers Limited 1996 - 2026 The Toronto Star and thestar.com, each property of Toronto Star Newspapers Limited, 8 Spadina Avenue, 10th Floor, Toronto, ON M5V 0S8
🔮 Gold glove selections used to be reputation based, voted on solely by big-league managers who might only see a player six or seven times in a season.
🔮 Guerrero had a slash line of .246/.301/.347 after getting hit by a pitch on May 24, a fastball that he thought broke his elbow at the time, and he dealt with back and knee problems all season.
🔮 With the league championship series set to begin in Milwaukee on Sunday and St. Petersburg, Fla. on Monday, Major League Baseball is working behind the scenes to prepare teams for an off-season shutdown.
🔮 The Blue Jays may have finished their season on a high note, with heartwarming emotional displays from George Springer and Max Scherzer, but the story of 2026 was frustration and disappointment more than anything else.
🔮 Two years ago, when the Blue Jays finished last in the American League East after back-to-back playoff appearances, there was sombre reflection from president Mark Shapiro at his end-of-season post-mortem with the media and a promise that the baseball operations department would improve.
🔮 The Jays would score twice more that inning for a 10-8 win.
🔮 That had a lot to do with the fact that the other teams in the race were all so horribly mediocre, but it provided hope that the sequel to a magical season that went all the way to Game 7 of the World Series might somehow last into October.
🔮 While they overcame all those injuries enough to not only move back into the playoff race, but take charge of it for a heartbeat, a pitching rotation held together with spit and chicken wire — combined with the second-worst offence in the majors — could only take so much.
🔮 Toronto will be in Baltimore for one of only three games on the big-league schedule Monday and will welcome Trey Yesavage back to the starting rotation.
Also by Mike Wilner
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 20 articles by Mike Wilner →

Topics

Astros Houston Jays Toronto the Blue Jays

Subjects

Toronto GPE · 8× Astros ORG · 4× Jays ORG · 4× Rangers ORG · 4× Houston GPE · 3× Texas GPE · 3× the Blue Jays ORG · 3× Chicago GPE · 2× Tigers ORG · 2× the White Sox ORG · 2×

Narrative

Saturday’s 6-2 loss in Texas, in combination with Houston’s 6-3 loss at home to the Atlanta Braves, moved the Rangers into first place in the AL West and dropped the Astros into the chase for the wild-card spot where, along with everybody else, they’re looking up at the White Sox.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-20
🔮 It hasn’t been pretty down in Texas, and the Blue Jays may have reached the point in their season where they not only can’t afford to lose but are also going to need a whole lot of help to sneak into the final wild-card spot in the American League.

Claims (33 extracted, 1 hedged)

It hasn’t been pretty down in Texas, and the Blue Jays may have reached the point in their season where they not only can’t afford to lose but are also going to need a whole lot of help to sneak into the final wild-card spot in the American League. uncertain
they → reach → League
For a while there, they were keeping pace with the rest of the combatants in what’s been a season-long turtle race, winning when their opponents won and losing when they lost. asserted
they → keep → combatants
But over the past few days, those other teams have started to win and the Jays have not. asserted
Jays → start → days
Saturday’s 6-2 loss in Texas, in combination with Houston’s 6-3 loss at home to the Atlanta Braves, moved the Rangers into first place in the AL West and dropped the Astros into the chase for the wild-card spot where, along with everybody else, they’re looking up at the White Sox. asserted
they → move → Sox
Sunday’s series finale is a bullpen game for Toronto, with Spencer Arrighetti expected to pitch the bulk of the innings. asserted
Arrighetti → expect → innings
The Rangers will go with borderline Hall of Famer Jacob deGrom, who has thrown six and seven innings of one-hit shutout in two of his last four starts. asserted
who → go → starts
Everyone kinda stinks, including the Blue Jays. asserted
Everyone → stink → Jays
But recently, the Jays can find the team that has done the most harm to their post-season chances by looking in the mirror. asserted
that → find → mirror
Here’s how the race stacks up after Saturday’s games: asserted
race → ’ → games
6 Who owns the tiebreaker? asserted
Who → own → tiebreaker
Sox righty Sean Burke outduelled Detroit’s Jackson Jobe in Chicago, allowing one run on five hits over six innings, while his offence did just enough in a 3-1 win. asserted
offence → outduelle → win
Miguel Vargas, who had 29 career home runs in parts of three seasons going into this year, belted his 33rd of the campaign in the win. asserted
who → have → win
The series wraps Sunday, with the Tigers looking to earn a four-game split behind right-hander Troy Melton, who got knocked out of his last start — in Toronto — in the third inning. asserted
who → wrap → inning
The White Sox will start right-hander Davis Martin, who has gone 14 starts without picking up a win. asserted
who → start → win
Games left: 7 Home (4): Tigers (1), Rockies (3) Away (3): Royals (3) Houston Astros (77-78, one game ahead of Toronto) How scary are they? asserted
they → leave → Toronto
Who owns the tiebreaker? asserted
Who → own → tiebreaker
Houston and Toronto split their season series. asserted
Houston → split → series
Need to know: The Astros were poised to hang onto top spot in the AL West, leading Atlanta 2-1 in the top of the seventh inning, but Ronald Acuna Jr. blasted a two-out grand slam to put the Braves on top for good and knock the Astros into this lower tier. asserted
Jr. → need → tier
The series — and Houston’s home schedule — wraps up Sunday with the Astros trying to stave off a sweep. asserted
Astros → wrap → sweep
They’ll go with their ace, right-hander Hunter Brown, against Atlanta lefty Martin Perez. asserted
They → go → Perez
Games left: 7 Home (1): Braves (1) Road (6): Mariners (2), Athletics (4) Communities in Toronto and South Korea are rallying behind the Jays’ rising star who grabbed the Blue Jays (76-79) asserted
who → leave → Jays
Need to know: Perhaps the climb back was just too much for the Blue Jays. asserted
climb → need → Jays
After falling to 49-59, the Jays went 23-12 over a 35-game stretch to get back up over .500, but since then they’ve lost eight of 12 and are now barely hanging on in the race for a post-season berth. asserted
they → fall → berth
Saturday’s sloppy loss, another of so many this season in which they just couldn’t get anything going offensively, has put them on the verge of getting swept by the Rangers in their season series. asserted
anything → get → series
So far, they’re 0-6 against Texas. asserted
they → ’re → Texas
That ineptitude looms awfully large when you see that a split of those games would have them in a playoff spot right now. asserted
them → loom → spot
Games left: 7 Home (3): Reds (3) Road (4): Rangers (1), Orioles (3) Baltimore Orioles (75-80, one game behind Toronto) How scary are they? asserted
they → leave → Toronto
Who owns the tiebreaker? asserted
Who → own → tiebreaker
Toronto leads 6-4 with three games left. asserted
Toronto → lead → games
Synopsis: The Orioles’ season is on the brink as they head into the finale of their home series against Milwaukee. asserted
they → head → Milwaukee
The Brewers are looking for a sweep having won each of the first two games by one run. asserted
Brewers → look → run
Saturday, that one run was the only one scored in the game and it happened because of a routine fly ball lost in the sun by O’s right-fielder Rece Hinds that wound up a Joey Ortiz triple. asserted
that → score → triple
Milwaukee goes for a franchise-record 98th win of the season with National League Cy Young favourite Jacob Misiorowski on the mound against Baltimore righty Brandon Young, who is looking for his 10th win of the season. asserted
who → go → season
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