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Toronto mayoral race tightens, Chow’s lead cut to single digits

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Cite

Callan, I. (2026, September 22). Toronto mayoral race tightens, Chow’s lead cut to single digits. Global News. https://globalnews.ca/news/12068390/toronto-poll-sept-22-election/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Global News · collected 2026-09-22 · by Isaac Callan

Quick Summary

A new poll from Liaison Strategies shows that Toronto’s mayor Olivia Chow has a narrowing lead in the upcoming election over her main challenger Brad Bradford, with Chow at 47 per cent and Bradford at 40 per cent among decided voters. This represents a decline for Chow and an increase for Bradford since previous polls, though Bradford is still trailing. The poll also reveals that cost of living concerns are the top priority for voters, followed by housing affordability, crime, and congestion.
Written by AI on 2026-09-22, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In the Toronto mayoral race ahead of the October 26 voting day, a new poll from Liaison Strategies shows that incumbent Olivia Chow’s lead over challenger Brad Bradford has narrowed. The survey indicates that 47% of decided and leaning voters intend to vote for Chow, compared to 40% for Bradford, a seven-point lead down from 11 points two weeks ago. Chris Alexander remains in third place with 10% support. The poll suggests the race is tightening due to growing media coverage following the first debate on September 14, though almost one-fifth of respondents are still undecided. Voters prioritize cost of living, housing affordability, crime and safety, and congestion as key issues.

Written for “Toronto Mayoral Race Tightens” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Toronto Mayoral Race Tightens
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 12% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star
Hedges 2 of 27 claims Outlet record 64/100
Global News
Hedges 0 of 11 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the Toronto mayoral race: one focuses on Doug Ford's comments about Olivia Chow, while the other reports on poll results showing a tightening race.”
The Globe and Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 40 claims Outlet record 52/100
“Article A discusses Ford and Chow's partnership and relationship, while Article B reports on polling data for the Toronto mayoral race. Although both articles mention Olivia Chow and her campaign, they describe different aspects of the political situation.”
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 2 of 38 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Olivia Chow's mayoral race and Doug Ford's stance towards her, but do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
17
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
12%
2 of 17 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
63/100
Global News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-22 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Global News · 2636 article(s) · 11 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 11 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Isaac Callan
26 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Chow will oversee a progressive, new-look council with several of her key allies elected, putting her in a strong position to pursue her agenda.
🔮 Toronto’s mayoral campaign is ending in a tight race.
🔮 Get breaking National news “She may still be cozy in mom’s pouch, but this little potato is getting braver every day and starting to peek out and explore her world,” Toronto Zoo wrote online.
🔮 The race to be Toronto’s next mayor is tightening, according to a new poll, which shows challenger Brad Bradford gaining ground on incumbent Olivia Chow.
🔮 The new rules were brought in through the 2026 budget, banning the sale of all tickets for more than their original face value, something the government said would “protect consumers and families, and keep tickets affordable for fans and families.” A spokesperson for StubHub said it disagreed with the fine and planned to fight it through an appeal.
🔮 On Sunday, the Ontario School Board Council of Unions, a part of the Canadian Union of Public Employees, announced it would hold a strike vote in November.
🔮 Ontario Premier Doug Ford is walking away from his near-endorsement of Olivia Chow in Toronto’s mayoral race, saying his glowing words earlier this week were misinterpreted.
🔮 Get daily National news “Repairs to the trainset will be completed soon and testing and commissioning activities are advancing as we prepare the service for launch,” a spokesperson for the Ministry of Transportation told Global News.
🔮 “Timothy Barnhardt is also believed to possess firearms and has recently been intercepted advising if they (police) hit his door, he ‘is throwing down,’ perceived to mean that if police attempt to enter his residence, he will respond with violence,” part of the ITO read.
🔮 Days after passing a controversial law to create special economic zones, where provincial and municipal rules could be suspended, the Ford government cast a wide net looking for ideas on how to actually use its new powers.
Also by Isaac Callan
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 26 articles by Isaac Callan →

Topics

Bradford Liaison Liaison Strategies North York Toronto

Subjects

Bradford GPE · 6× Chow PERSON · 6× Toronto ORG · 4× Liaison ORG · 3× Liaison Strategies ORG · 2× North York GPE · 2× Scarborough GPE · 2× Brad Bradford PERSON · 1× Chris Alexander PERSON · 1× Olivia Chow PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Bradford has gained some ground without overtaking the mayor.” Get daily National news The past two polls from Liaison had Chow holding a low double-digit lead over Bradford.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-22
🔮 The race to be Toronto’s next mayor is tightening, according to a new poll, which shows challenger Brad Bradford gaining ground on incumbent Olivia Chow.
2026-09-22 · Global News
Toronto mayoral race tightens, Chow’s lead cut to single digits · assertive framing

Claims (17 extracted, 2 hedged)

The race to be Toronto’s next mayor is tightening, according to a new poll, which shows challenger Brad Bradford gaining ground on incumbent Olivia Chow. uncertain
Bradford → tighten → Chow
The latest study from Liaison Strategies has Chow at 47 per cent among decided and leaning voters, just seven points ahead of Bradford, who is at 40 per cent. asserted
who → have → cent
Chris Alexander remains in third place at 10 per cent. asserted
Alexander → remain → cent
Her lead has gone from 11 points to seven, with Chow down three points and Bradford up one,” David Valentin, principal at Liaison Strategies, said. asserted
Valentin → go → Strategies
“It’s a closer result, but not enough to establish a new trend. asserted
It → ’ → trend
Bradford has gained some ground without overtaking the mayor.” Get daily National news The past two polls from Liaison had Chow holding a low double-digit lead over Bradford. asserted
Chow → gain → Bradford
As the campaign has heated up, support for the incumbent appears to have slipped slightly. asserted
support → heat → incumbent
The Liaison poll found the cost of living was voters’ top priority, followed by housing affordability, then crime and safety, with congestion rated next highest. asserted
congestion → find → affordability
The latest study went into the field after the first Toronto mayoral debate attended by all three leading candidates and hosted by Daily Bread Food Bank. asserted
study → go → Bank
Valentin said the race played differently across the city, with Chow ahead in downtown and Bradford leading in Etobicoke. asserted
Bradford → say → Etobicoke
“The most competitive parts of the city are North York and Scarborough, ” he added. asserted
he → add → city
“Chow leads Bradford 46 per cent to 41 per cent in North York and 46 per cent to 43 per cent in Scarborough. asserted
Chow → lead → Scarborough
Toronto’s municipal election will be held on Oct. 26, 2026. asserted
election → hold → Oct.
Liaison surveyed a random sample of 1,000 Toronto residents from September 19 to September 20, 2026, using Interactive Voice Recording (IVR) technology. asserted
Liaison → survey → technology
Participants were reached through random digit dialling (RDD) across both landline and cellular phone networks. asserted
Participants → reach → networks
The resulting data was weighted to match targets based on the 2021 Census. asserted
data → result → Census
Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding. uncertain
Totals → add → rounding
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