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GOP challenger gets within single digits of blue-state gov despite Dem's massive advantage

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Steinhauser, P. (2026, September 23). GOP challenger gets within single digits of blue-state gov despite Dem's massive advantage. Fox News. https://www.foxnews.com/politics/gop-challenger-within-single-digits-blue-state-gov-despite-dem-massive-advantage

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Fox News · collected 2026-09-23 · by Paul Steinhauser

Quick Summary

A Siena College poll shows Republican Bruce Blakeman narrowing the gap with Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul in New York’s gubernatorial race, trailing by just nine points among likely voters despite Democrats outnumbering Republicans two-to-one statewide. The September 11-17 poll found Hochul at 50% and Blakeman at 41%, compared to a ten-point deficit for Blakeman in August. Both candidates have strong support within their own party bases, but Blakeman leads among independent voters by three points.
Written by AI on 2026-09-23, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Republican Bruce Blakeman has narrowed his deficit to Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul to within single digits with six weeks until the November 3 election in New York. According to a recent poll from Siena University, Hochul leads Blakeman by 9 points, 50% to 41%. Last month, Hochul led Blakeman 49% to 39%, so Blakeman has gained ground but still faces challenges. Hochul’s approval rating is just under 50%, with 48% viewing her favorably and 47% disapproving. Meanwhile, nearly one-third of voters are unfamiliar with Blakeman, despite his favorable ratings at 35% to 34% unfavorable. The poll also indicates that two-thirds of New York State voters believe Hochul will win re-election, including 37% of Republicans.

Written for “NY Governor Race Polls Tighten” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 NY Governor Race Polls Tighten
Politics · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans right and hedges 10% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Hedges 2 of 30 claims Outlet record 66/100
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left further left than this Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe different election-related polls in distinct states with separate candidates and contexts.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 2 of 30 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of political events in New York involving Governor Kathy Hochul but describe distinct occurrences: one about her backing a party chairman for reelection and another about her standing in the gubernatorial race.”
New York Post
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 1 of 11 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the campaign—Article A details a specific stunt involving moving trucks organized by a super PAC, while Article B reports on polling numbers and the political landscape.”
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 7 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A describes the announcement of a debate between Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman, while Article B reports poll results showing their electoral standing.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
10%
2 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
68/100
Fox News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
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Fox News · 6453 article(s) · 12 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 12 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Paul Steinhauser
31 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Republicans are defending their slim congressional majorities, but President Donald Trump predicts the GOP will hold the House and Senate for the final two years of his presidency.
🔮 She insisted, however, in the video message posted to social media over the weekend that she could not support El-Sayed, citing his backing from radical left-wing political streamer Hasan Piker. "Hey Michigan, as you may have seen, our Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, Abdul said that I was no longer welcome in his campaign and that I should stay away and he's right.
🔮 She insisted, however, in the video message posted to social media over the weekend that she could not support El-Sayed, citing his backing from radical left-wing political streamer Hasan Piker. "Hey Michigan, as you may have seen, our Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate, Abdul said that I was no longer welcome in his campaign and that I should stay away and he's right.
🔮 In two days, Americans voting in the midterm elections will decide control of the U.S. House and Senate for the next two years.
🔮 Both parties are three seats short of a majority, according to the forecast.
🔮 Mayor Carl Sheline said in a statement last month that the increased resources are "sending a strong message to those perpetrating gun violence: we will find you." But he added, "Parental involvement and accountability are key to reducing youth gun violence in our city."
🔮 But Cardona, a veteran of the Bill Clinton administration, the Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama presidential campaigns who currently serves as a member of the Democratic National Committee, disagreed that Harris had failed to spell out what she would offer Democrats anxious for change.
🔮 And the choice couldn't be any clearer in this race: Christine Drazan is ready to open the door to Trump's agenda and Governor Kotek is fighting every day to protect Oregonians from federal overreach and harm.
🔮 The rapid buildout of data centers powering America’s artificial intelligence (AI) boom is heading to the ballot box this November, as voters across the country weigh measures that could shape where and how the massive facilities are built.
🔮 Rosen added that agents "were able to detect a threat, and disrupt it, before the defendant carried out his intention to kill, in his words, maybe 30 to 60 people."
Also by Paul Steinhauser
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 31 articles by Paul Steinhauser →

Topics

Democrats GOP New York State Republicans Siena

Subjects

Hochul PERSON · 13× Blakeman PERSON · 8× Republicans NORP · 5× Siena ORG · 4× Democrats NORP · 3× GOP ORG · 3× New York GPE · 3× Greenberg PERSON · 2× New York State GPE · 2× Republican NORP · 2×

Narrative

"All polls continue to show Kathy Hochul's downward spiral and me closing the gap as New Yorkers learn more about my plan to cut income taxes by historic margins and slash electric bills in half," Blakeman argued in a statement after the release of the Siena poll. But the new poll indicates that two-thirds of New York State voters, including 37% of Republicans, think Hochul will win re-election.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-23
🔮 "All polls continue to show Kathy Hochul's downward spiral and me closing the gap as New Yorkers learn more about my plan to cut income taxes by historic margins and slash electric bills in half," Blakeman argued in a statement after the release of the Siena poll. But the new poll indicates that two-thirds of New York State voters, including 37% of Republicans, think Hochul will win re-election.

Claims (20 extracted, 2 hedged)

Democrats outnumber Republicans by a roughly two-to-one margin in blue-leaning New York State, but a new poll indicates Republican gubernatorial nominee Bruce Blakeman has cut his deficit to Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul to single digits with just six weeks to go until Election Day. asserted
Blakeman → outnumber → Day
Hochul, who is running for a second full four-year term steering the nation's fourth most populous state, stands at 50% support among likely voters in New York, with Blakeman at 41%, according to a Siena College poll conducted Sept. 11-17 and released on Wednesday. uncertain
Blakeman → run → Wednesday
Blakeman, the Nassau County executive on New York's Long Island, trailed Hochul by 10 points in Siena's August survey. asserted
Blakeman → trail → survey
The one-point movement by Blakeman, who is aiming to become the first Republican in nearly a quarter century to win an election for governor in New York, is within the survey's margin of error. asserted
who → aim → error
"With six weeks until election day, voters offer good news to both Hochul and Blakeman. asserted
voters → offer → Hochul
She now has the support of 50% of voters and saw her favorability and job approval ratings edge into positive territory. asserted
ratings → have → territory
He now trails by single digits – well, nine points – in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans by more than two-to-one," Siena pollster Steven Greenberg said. asserted
Greenberg → trail → one
Greenberg noted that at this point four years ago, Hochul held a 17-point lead over then-Rep. Lee Zeldin, the GOP nominee. asserted
Hochul → note → Zeldin
But Zeldin closed the gap and ended up losing to Hochul by only six points in the 2022 election. asserted
Zeldin → close → election
"Currently, Blakeman is doing a better job with Republicans, leading 88-8%, than Hochul is with Democrats, leading 81-11%," Greenberg added. asserted
Greenberg → do → %
The GOP nominee is also edging Hochul 44%-39% among independent voters. asserted
nominee → edge → voters
"All polls continue to show Kathy Hochul's downward spiral and me closing the gap as New Yorkers learn more about my plan to cut income taxes by historic margins and slash electric bills in half," Blakeman argued in a statement after the release of the Siena poll. But the new poll indicates that two-thirds of New York State voters, including 37% of Republicans, think Hochul will win re-election. asserted
Hochul → continue → election
Blakeman is a strong supporter of President Donald Trump, who in February endorsed his bid for governor. asserted
who → endorse → governor
But Trump's support may be doing Blakeman no favors, with half of likely voters, including a quarter of Republicans, saying it's a negative for the GOP nominee's campaign. uncertain
it → do → campaign
Hochul was endorsed earlier this year by New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani, the first socialist mayor of the nation's most populous city, reciprocating her backing during his own historic mayoral run last year. asserted
Hochul → endorse → run
By a 50%-30% margin, voters said Mamdani's support for Hochul is a plus for the governor's bid for re-election. asserted
support → say → election
Then-Lt. Gov. Hochul was sworn in as New York’s first female governor in August 2021 after Gov. Andrew Cuomo, in the middle of his third term, resigned amid multiple scandals. asserted
Cuomo → swear → scandals
Hochul has seen her political standing rise over the past year and a half as she's increased her resistance to Trump's unprecedented second-term agenda. asserted
she → see → agenda
Fox News reached out to the Hochul campaign for reaction to the Siena poll but didn't receive a response at the time this story was published. asserted
story → reach → time
The poll, which was conducted by telephone and text-to-web collection, surveyed 1,144 likely voters in New York, with an overall margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percentage points for core questions. asserted
which → conduct → questions
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