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Republicans Are Running Out of Gas on Trump’s Iran War

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Cite

Perticone, J. (2026, September 24). Republicans Are Running Out of Gas on Trump’s Iran War. The Bulwark. https://www.thebulwark.com/p/republicans-are-running-out-of-gas

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The Bulwark · collected 2026-09-24 · by Joe Perticone commentary

Quick Summary

GOP lawmakers are increasingly distancing themselves from President Trump on the Iran war due to rising fuel prices, which have reached $4.48 per gallon for gasoline and over $6.50 for diesel in many states. In response to public pressure, the Trump administration is exploring a 90-day ban on U.S. diesel exports, though Republican senators are skeptical about its viability as a solution.
Written by AI on 2026-09-24, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In recent months, gasoline and diesel prices have surged in the United States due to tensions with Iran, which has affected many Republican lawmakers' support for President Donald Trump's policies. As of Thursday, the national average price of gasoline is $4.48 per gallon, while diesel costs have climbed above $6.50 per gallon, reaching as high as $7 and $8 in certain states. This spike in fuel prices has become a significant issue in battleground races for both the House and Senate, with more Republicans citing rising gas costs as their reason to distance themselves from Trump's Iran policies. Despite attempts by the administration to address this through domestic measures like discount gas stations, these efforts have been largely ineffective in reducing fuel prices. The continued conflict in Iran and its impact on global oil markets, particularly through the contested Strait of Hormuz, contribute to the ongoing economic strain felt across the country.

Written for “Iran Policy Debate” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Iran Policy Debate
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans left and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star
⚖️ Leans strongly left further left than this Hedges 5 of 64 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the impact of rising gas prices due to the Iran war, but they describe distinct occurrences and perspectives.”
Washington Examiner
Hedges 3 of 13 claims Outlet record 70/100
“While both articles discuss Republican members breaking with President Trump over issues related to Iran, they refer to different aspects of this trend and are not describing the exact same incident.”
Washington Examiner
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 27 claims Outlet record 70/100
“While both articles discuss Republican politicians advocating for a diesel export ban due to high fuel prices caused by the Iran war, they describe different aspects of the issue and do not clearly refer to the same specific incident or time.”
ABC News (US)
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 34 claims Outlet record 70/100
“While both articles discuss Republicans calling for an end to the Iran war due to high gas prices, they describe different sets of events happening at slightly different times.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 8 of 36 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Trump's policy changes related to oil exports and gasoline prices, not the same specific incident.”
The Independent
Hedges 8 of 48 claims Outlet record 59/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of rising gas prices and oil costs related to the Iran war but describe distinct events with separate focuses.”
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss related topics but describe different events: Article A focuses on GOP lawmakers distancing themselves from Trump's Iran war due to high gas prices, while Article B discusses how high inflation and gas prices are affecting Trump's approval ratings.”
The Bulwark
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 7 claims
“While both articles discuss Republican lawmakers changing their stance on the Iran war due to public pressure and high gas prices, they describe different aspects of this trend at potentially different times.”
ABC News (US)
Hedges 0 of 1 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles discuss similar themes regarding rising gas prices due to the Iran war but describe different aspects and time frames.”
Zeteo
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 16 claims
“While both articles discuss Republicans' changing stance on Trump's Iran War due to public disapproval and rising gas prices, they describe different points in time with distinct details.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
expected in commentary, which argues a position · beta estimate
Publisher signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections; Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
110
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-24 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Bulwark · 560 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
No corrections detected for this publisher. That may mean careful reporting, or simply that nothing has been checked.

Who wrote this

Joe Perticone
8 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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🔮 “Starting on Day One of my new administration, we will end inflation, and we will make America affordable again,” Donald Trump said in 2024.
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🔮 When you take a look at how much of the legislation that got out of the House actually got through the Senate as well and onto the president’s desk to be signed into law, the successes of the 119th Congress start to look a bit different from the story Johnson would have you believe.
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Also by Joe Perticone
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 8 articles by Joe Perticone →

Topics

GOP House Iran Senate the United States

Subjects

Trump PERSON · 3× Catherine Rampell PERSON · 2× Iran GPE · 2× the United States GPE · 2× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× GOP ORG · 1× Gasolina PERSON · 1× House ORG · 1× Republicans NORP · 1× Senate ORG · 1×

Narrative

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Claims (19 extracted, 1 hedged)

It’s no secret the price of gasoline has been way up since the start of the Iran war. asserted
price → ’ → war
But it sometimes feels as though GOP lawmakers have been trying to keep it a secret from themselves. asserted
lawmakers → feel → themselves
Their willful ignorance is starting to fade. asserted
ignorance → start → ?
In battleground races for the House and Senate, more and more Republicans are breaking away from President Donald Trump on the war, citing high costs at the pump as a primary reason. asserted
Republicans → break → reason
The average for diesel has climbed above $6.50, even reaching $7 and $8 per gallon in some states. asserted
average → climb → states
With the war in Iran continuing, the Strait of Hormuz remaining contested, and the conflict causing greater instability in other parts of the region, the Trump administration has tried to respond to the problem using a few flimsy tools of domestic policy. asserted
administration → continue → policy
But it’s not easy getting fuel prices lower. asserted
prices → ’ → ?
Trump-backed discount gas stations have started popping up, but these initiatives are a PR product. asserted
initiatives → back → ?
Record-shattering diesel prices exist on an entirely different economic scale and political reality. asserted
prices → shatter → scale
Once again improvising policy on the fly, Trump now seems to be entertaining a short-term fix meant to artificially boost domestic diesel supply through the end of the year. asserted
Trump → improvise → year
Politico reported Wednesday that the administration has started considering a 90-day ban on diesel exports from the United States. asserted
administration → report → States
As a matter of policy this won’t work. asserted
this → work → policy
My colleague, Catherine Rampell, will have a lot more on that in her newsletter tonight. asserted
colleague → have → newsletter
Politically, meanwhile, this seems like a nonstarter. asserted
this → seem → nonstarter
A lot of senators I spoke with claimed they were withholding judgment until they could get a closer look at the proposal (presumably because they don’t think it could be as simple as a 90-day ban on diesel exports from the United States). uncertain
it → speak → States
Of the Republican senators who understood what such a proposal would mean, none I spoke with regarded it as viable. asserted
I → understand → it
Join Bulwark+ to unlock the rest Become a paying member of The Bulwark to get access to this post and other subscriber-only content. asserted
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A subscription gets you: - Unlimited access to articles and newsletters including The Triad by JVL and Receipts by Catherine Rampell. - Ad-free editions of our shows (with transcripts) and member-only shows like The Secret Podcast. - Plus community chats and commenting features. asserted
subscription → get → chats
Your support helps keep our work sustainable and available to those who cannot afford a membership. asserted
who → help → membership
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