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America has two possible futures in this novel. Neither is reassuring

Read the original at The Sydney Morning Herald ↗
Cite

Gray, M. (2026, September 25). America has two possible futures in this novel. Neither is reassuring. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/culture/books/america-has-two-possible-futures-in-this-novel-neither-is-reassuring-20260915-p60xjf.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-09-25 · by Madeleine Gray

Quick Summary

Emily St John Mandel’s novel "Exit Party" explores two dystopian futures for the United States. In one scenario, the country has collapsed into civil war with secessionist states and warring cartels; in another, it becomes a surveillance state where citizens live under constant monitoring by the government. The book delves into themes of cognitive dissonance and the fragility of national unity, reflecting current real-world tensions and uncertainties facing America today.
Written by AI on 2026-09-25, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Madeleine Gray, a writer for the Sydney Morning Herald, discusses Emily St John Mandel's latest novel, Exit Party, which envisions two possible futures for the United States. In one scenario set in 2031, the US has collapsed due to a coup and civil war; states have seceded, cartels are vying for power, and citizens navigate a dystopian landscape. The other world depicted is described as a surveillance state called "United State," where voting is no longer necessary, and the president will eventually be succeeded by his son. This alternate reality reflects growing concerns about authoritarianism and democratic erosion in the current political climate.

Written for “American Futures Concerns” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 American Futures Concerns
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
34
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
3 of 34 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 6022 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Madeleine Gray
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Without spoiling too much, the second world is again the US but not – in this universe, citizens live in the “United State”, a surveillance state in which “voting was no longer required and the president would one day be succeeded by his son”.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

Canadian Exit Party’s New York the United States the White House

Subjects

Ari PERSON · 2× Exit Party’s ORG · 2× Canadian NORP · 1× Donald Trump PERSON · 1× Emily St John Mandel PERSON · 1× New York GPE · 1× Trump PERSON · 1× the Green Lantern PERSON · 1× the United States GPE · 1× the White House ORG · 1×

Narrative

Reading Exit Party, I was reminded of Ukrainian-American poet Ilya Kaminsky’s 2009 poem We Lived Happily During the War, about continuing to live while your country crumbles around you: “I was/ in my bed, around my bed America/ was falling: invisible house by invisible house by invisible house./ I took a chair outside and watched the sun”.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 Without spoiling too much, the second world is again the US but not – in this universe, citizens live in the “United State”, a surveillance state in which “voting was no longer required and the president would one day be succeeded by his son”.
2026-09-25 · The Sydney Morning Herald
America has two possible futures in this novel. Neither is reassuring · assertive framing

Claims (34 extracted, 3 hedged)

A few days ago I awoke to see that the White House had posted an AI-generated video to X of Donald Trump – the 80-year-old president of the United States – in character as superhero the Green Lantern. asserted
House → awake → superhero
In the video, Trump appears to be conjuring a giant border wall, building a factory and summoning fighter jets, warplanes and military hardware. asserted
Trump → appear → jets
Emily St John Mandel is the Canadian author of seven novels including Station Eleven and The Glass Hotel. asserted
Mandel → include → Eleven
She lives in New York. asserted
She → live → York
Her latest is Exit Party, a dystopian sci-fi extravaganza in which we are asked to imagine life after the United States of America has collapsed. asserted
States → ask → America
I wonder what led her to examine this possibility! asserted
what → wonder → possibility
In one, it’s the spring of 2031 and the US has “come undone following a coup d’etat”. asserted
US → ’ → d’etat
There has been a civil war, some states have seceded either alone or in alliances, cartels fight for power, and ex-con Ari is headed to a party. asserted
Ari → secede → party
When she arrives, others note that “there is something wrong with the party”. asserted
others → arrive → party
Two guests double and one guest disappears. asserted
guest → disappear → ?
Where did they come from and where did he go? asserted
he → come → Where
Without spoiling too much, the second world is again the US but not – in this universe, citizens live in the “United State”, a surveillance state in which “voting was no longer required and the president would one day be succeeded by his son”. asserted
president → spoil → son
It’s very 1984: “Service” members secretly report on their friends and family, and critics of the state are “disappeared”. asserted
critics → ’ → state
As one character describes it, “There was a world where my homeland had fractured into disarray, and another where my homeland had closed like a fist”. asserted
homeland → describe → fist
In both worlds, there exists a common refrain: “No country lasts forever”. asserted
country → exist → worlds
Exit Party’s interest in alternate realities is prescient, to say the least. asserted
interest → say → least
On one level, it points to the actuality that at present, citizens of the US are living on a knife’s edge – life could look very different in five years than it does right now. uncertain
it → point → years
At the same time, life there already requires that citizens exist in a state of cognitive dissonance, their consciousnesses split into knowing and purposeful unknowing. asserted
consciousnesses → require → knowing
ICE “disappears” “enemy aliens” on suburban streets every day and records them on an extraterrestrial-themed website that includes a live arrest number and tracker map. asserted
that → disappear → number
In Exit Party’s United State, Ari’s doppelganger Ibari works for Service, but she also holds a cover job in which she works as an academic in urban planning. asserted
she → work → planning
“In a place like this,” she says, “reality splits into two [...] there is truth in both versions”. asserted
reality → say → versions
Reading Exit Party, I was reminded of Ukrainian-American poet Ilya Kaminsky’s 2009 poem We Lived Happily During the War, about continuing to live while your country crumbles around you: “I was/ in my bed, around my bed America/ was falling: invisible house by invisible house by invisible house./ I took a chair outside and watched the sun”. asserted
I → read → sun
The characters in Exit Party relate to the state in different ways, but all are trying to hold on to their humanity and to each other, despite the odds. asserted
all → relate → odds
This is not to say Exit Party is a totally sad, desultory read. asserted
Party → say → ?
Mandel resists didacticism and there is a lightness to her prose, a sporadic whimsy. asserted
Mandel → resist → prose
Characters still want to have fun, enjoy each other’s bodies, dance. asserted
Characters → want → bodies
The pacing is swift, and there are elements of the novel that function like a heist romp – one narrative thread about a stolen painting between worlds reads more like Donna Tartt’s The Goldfinch than anything by Orwell. asserted
thread → be → Orwell
The use of multiple perspectives within dual timelines mostly works, except towards the novel’s ending when the presence of one grounding protagonist might have given the denouement more heft. uncertain
presence → work → heft
Overall, Exit Party is a wonderful novel that distils the present while also positing, with genuine hope, that the future may be different from the past. uncertain
future → distil → past
And as we struggle toward a better future, there is still joy to be made and had. asserted
we → struggle → future
A poem by Edna St Vincent Millay is quoted in Exit Party, which illuminates the novel’s central thesis: “My candle burns at both ends;/ It will not last the night;/ But ah, my foes, and oh, my friends—/ It gives a lovely light!” asserted
It → quote → light
Exit Party by Emily St John Mandel is published by Picador ($35). asserted
Party → publish → Picador
What else is happening in the book world? asserted
What → happen → world
- This novel is the raw, moving reality check Australian fiction needs - Blood, lies and cartels: Five new crime books to read this month - ‘Landmark achievement’ wins $80,000 literature prize - A giant Mao looms over Hong Kong. asserted
Mao → need → Kong
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