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Overcrowding in UK’s A&E departments ‘increases risk of death’

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Cite

Kirby, J. (2026, September 25). Overcrowding in UK’s A&E departments ‘increases risk of death’. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/health/wales-northern-ireland-nhs-england-a-e-b1298325.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Evening Standard · collected 2026-09-25 · by Jane Kirby

Quick Summary

A new study links overcrowding in UK A&E departments to hundreds of deaths weekly. Dr Ryan McHenry from the University of Glasgow found that a 10% increase in emergency department occupancy correlates with a 1% rise in mortality over 28 days. The research, which covered about 70% of emergency departments across England, Wales, and Northern Ireland during two weeks in March 2025, estimates between 33 to 1,083 excess deaths weekly due to overcrowding, with an average occupancy rate at 175%. Dr McHenry also noted that "corridor care," where patients receive treatment in non-clinical spaces like hallways, similarly increases patient mortality risk.
Written by AI on 2026-09-25, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

A new study from Dr Ryan McHenry at the University of Glasgow links overcrowding in A&E departments to hundreds of deaths every week across England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. The research, covering a two-week period in March 2025 and reflecting around 70% of emergency departments in these regions, found that for each 10% increase in occupancy, the chance of dying within 28 days rises by 1%. Dr McHenry stated that reducing overcrowding could potentially save lives. Additionally, Dr Felix Lorang, a member of the emergency medicine congress abstract selection committee, noted that many departments operate beyond capacity and that an 'exit block'—where patients are stuck due to a lack of inpatient beds—further exacerbates the issue. Dr McHenry estimated that around 550 deaths per week may be caused by overcrowding in these departments.

Written for “UK A&E Overcrowding Risk” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 UK A&E Overcrowding Risk
Health · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 8% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
Hedges 2 of 24 claims Outlet record 65/100
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 2 of 44 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles describe different situations: one about overcrowding in UK A&E departments generally and its link to increased mortality, while the other reports on a new hospital in Melbourne facing staffing issues and closed beds.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
24
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
8%
2 of 24 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
65/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Health
Same framing elsewhere
2
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 7934 article(s) · 65 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 65 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jane Kirby
14 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 There is currently no confirmed timeline for when this might happen.”
🔮 A new clinical trial could dramatically speed up the discovery of treatments for Alzheimer’s disease.
🔮 The Royal Marsden Centre for Cancer Genomics is the first of its kind to deliver a new generation of cancer diagnostics known as composite biomarker testing and will work with doctors and patients across the UK.
🔮 The parents of a 12-year-old girl who died from an allergic reaction after drinking a contaminated milkshake have said she “will never be forgotten” as an inquest into her death concluded.
🔮 “Staff are already seeing the ominous early signs of pressure, with more patients coming to A&E with flu and other respiratory viruses than usual for this time of year, and unfortunately many people are still waiting longer than we would like them to.
🔮 He said around 550 deaths every week across all of England, Wales and Northern Ireland may be caused by overcrowding in emergency departments.
🔮 He said around 550 deaths every week across all of England, Wales and Northern Ireland may be caused by overcrowding in emergency departments.
🔮 “We are concerned that the NHS rollout remains extremely slow and community pharmacy is ready to support a wider rollout, which will help eligible patients access treatment safely and help mitigate the impact of obesity on the NHS.”
🔮 A board meeting of the trust next week will decide whether the review should be extended to review thousands more cases dating back to 2015.
🔮 A board meeting of the trust next week will decide whether the review should be extended to review thousands more cases dating back to 2015.
Also by Jane Kirby
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 14 articles by Jane Kirby →

Topics

England Northern Ireland Scotland Wales the University of Glasgow

Subjects

England GPE · 2× McHenry PERSON · 2× NHS ORG · 2× Northern Ireland GPE · 2× RCEM ORG · 2× Wales GPE · 2× Ryan McHenry PERSON · 1× Scotland GPE · 1× the Press Association ORG · 1× the University of Glasgow ORG · 1×

Narrative

Dr Felix Lorang, a member of the emergency medicine congress abstract selection committee, said: “Many emergency departments are operating far beyond capacity, and the ‘exit block’ — when patients are stuck in the emergency department because no inpatient ward beds are available – places an even greater burden on these emergency departments.
framing: assertive · carried by 2 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 He said around 550 deaths every week across all of England, Wales and Northern Ireland may be caused by overcrowding in emergency departments.
2026-09-25 · Evening Standard
Overcrowding in UK’s A&E departments ‘increases risk of death’ · assertive framing
2026-09-25 · Evening Standard
Overcrowding in UK’s A&E departments ‘increases risk of death’ · assertive framing

Claims (24 extracted, 2 hedged)

Overcrowding in A&E departments and corridor care is linked to hundreds of deaths every week in the UK, according to a new study. uncertain
Overcrowding → link → study
A review of more than 19,000 adult patients found that, for every 10% increase in emergency department occupancy, the chance of dying in the following 28 days rose by 1%. asserted
chance → find → %
Dr Ryan McHenry, from the University of Glasgow, and an emergency medicine doctor in the west of Scotland, presented the study, which took place across a two-week period in March 2025 and reflects around 70% of emergency departments in Wales, Northern Ireland and England. asserted
which → present → Wales
He said: “We found that increased crowding in emergency departments is associated with increased mortality for patients admitted to hospital. asserted
crowding → say → hospital
“This is important because we know that emergency departments are now often very crowded, and reducing that crowding has the real potential to save lives.” asserted
reducing → know → lives
Dr McHenry told the Press Association how hundreds of deaths were linked to busy A&E departments every week. asserted
hundreds → tell → departments
He said around 550 deaths every week across all of England, Wales and Northern Ireland may be caused by overcrowding in emergency departments. uncertain
deaths → say → departments
“Although we cover the majority of the emergency departments in the UK, this was still a relatively small study, and the possible range of expected deaths is therefore large; we estimate anywhere between 33 and 1,083 excess deaths are plausible,” he said. asserted
he → cover → deaths
For the research, occupancy was calculated by how many spaces, such as cubicles, the A&E department had compared with how many patients were being treated. asserted
patients → calculate → cubicles
Results indicated that, on average, emergency departments were operating at 175% occupancy, a marker of overcrowding. asserted
departments → indicate → overcrowding
Dr McHenry and his colleagues also looked at the impact of “corridor care” where patients receive treatment in non-standard clinical spaces such as corridors. asserted
patients → look → corridors
This was also linked to an increase in the risk of deaths at a similar rate as overcrowding, although the team said occupancy rate was much easier to measure and record. asserted
rate → link → overcrowding
Dr Felix Lorang, a member of the emergency medicine congress abstract selection committee, said: “Many emergency departments are operating far beyond capacity, and the ‘exit block’ — when patients are stuck in the emergency department because no inpatient ward beds are available – places an even greater burden on these emergency departments. asserted
beds → say → departments
“This makes it harder for doctors and nurses to deliver the treatment patients need, or even the minimum treatment required to prevent further harm. asserted
patients → make → harm
“This research makes it unmistakably clear to all of us – patients, medical professionals, and hospital managers alike – that overcrowding and corridor care mean many emergency patients will not survive.” asserted
patients → make → us
Dr Ian Higginson, president of the Royal College of Emergency Medicine (RCEM), said: “People are dying in association with overcrowding in emergency departments. asserted
People → say → departments
“This should be cause for alarm among policymakers, and yet we are not seeing any urgency.” asserted
we → see → urgency
He said the findings “add yet more evidence about this utterly normalised and unacceptable state of affairs”. asserted
findings → say → affairs
Dr Higginson added: “RCEM continues to call for the governments of the four UK nations to act to address the catastrophic effect overcrowding and long waits in our emergency departments on our patients – who are suffering harm and will continue to do so because of a failure to act. asserted
who → add → failure
“They must also recognise the impact that working in such conditions have on staff, who we risk losing in droves should the problem persist.” asserted
problem → recognise → droves
A Department of Health and Social Care spokesperson said: “The NHS faced the busiest summer in its history this year, but thanks to the incredible work of NHS staff, 75% of people in A&E were seen in four hours in August. asserted
% → say → August
“Overcrowding can have a serious impact on patients’ experience and safety, which is why we are taking urgent action to reduce pressure on emergency departments and end corridor care. asserted
we → have → care
“We know there is much more to do to reduce pressures on A&E departments, which is why we’re going further and faster to improve emergency care, deploying expert teams into the most challenged trusts and investing more than £1.5 billion in hospital buildings and facilities to help them withstand year-round pressure. asserted
them → know → pressure
“And by shifting more care into the community, we are helping people to get the care they need closer to home.” asserted
they → shift → home
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