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Four eras of San Francisco tech culture

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Smith, N. (2026, September 25). Four eras of San Francisco tech culture. Noahpinion. https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/four-eras-of-san-francisco-tech-culture

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Noahpinion · collected 2026-09-25 · by Noah Smith commentary

Quick Summary

The article discusses four eras of San Francisco's tech culture from personal observations over 25 years. It highlights how tech subcultures, once disregarded, have now become subjects of political scrutiny, with President Trump's allies targeting figures like Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei for his involvement in the effective altruism movement and AI safety discussions. The piece emphasizes how these niche interests have risen to national prominence, exemplified by recent memos circulated within the White House that paint these movements as out-of-touch fringe groups.
Written by AI on 2026-09-25, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Noah Smith, who has lived in the Bay Area for over 25 years, discusses the evolution of San Francisco's tech culture on Noahpinion. He notes that in the early 2000s, San Francisco was a minor player in the tech ecosystem, and few people paid attention to what tech workers were doing there. However, by the late 2020s, this had dramatically changed; for instance, then-President Trump's team was gathering opposition research on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, targeting him as a figurehead of AI "doomerism" and effective altruism. This shift highlights how San Francisco has become a central hub in the tech industry, influencing broader cultural and political discussions. Smith recommends several resources for understanding this transformation, including Annalee Saxenian's book *Regional Advantage* and the documentary *General Magic*.

Written for “San Francisco Tech Culture” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 San Francisco Tech Culture
Technology · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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Claims extracted
71
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
4%
3 of 71 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
expected in commentary, which argues a position · beta estimate
Publisher signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections; Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
1
Technology
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

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Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Noahpinion · 49 article(s) · 0 correction(s) detected
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Who wrote this

Noah Smith
39 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 At an estimated $1.5 to $2 trillion, it will be one of the biggest IPOs of all time, rivaling SpaceX, and possibly the biggest.
2026-11-02 · mixed framing · Anthropic’s moat is Claude
🔮 The original “Kirk and Spock” series, which aired in the 1960s, was more of a technological vision — the idea that one day we would zip around the cosmos getting into adventures, as easily as we’d zip around the world in a boat today.
2026-10-31 · assertive framing · Farewell, my Captain
🔮 It’s far too early to tell how much AI will eventually speed up the growth of total factor productivity.
2026-10-29 · assertive framing · A golden age of science is coming
🔮 “No man could bind him, no, not with chains…neither could any man tame him” — Mark 5:3—4 When I was 14 or 15 — I don’t quite remember — I first got access to the World Wide Web.
2026-10-25 · assertive framing · The internet breaks
🔮 But unlike some countries whose rates have also risen, investors have serious doubts that France’s government will take the necessary steps to pay back what it owes.
2026-10-22 · assertive framing · France and the limits of liberalism
🔮 No scripted scene in Game of Thrones could have approached the raw, atavistic horror of that real-life execution.
2026-10-18 · assertive framing · Why are we ruled by barbarians?
🔮 Somehow I never got around to writing that post, and now I never will.
2026-10-13 · assertive framing · A Nobel for New Keynesian macro, at last!
🔮 The trick will probably fail, just as Trump’s promise to give every American $5000 for voting Republican backfired.
2026-10-11 · assertive framing · Why Donald Trump won in 2024
🔮 Right now I can’t even think of what an appropriate comparison would be.
2026-10-09 · assertive framing · Maybe the Rapture is already here
🔮 In 1998 he famously wrote: The growth of the Internet will slow drastically, as the flaw in ‘Metcalfe’s law’—which states that the number of potential connections in a network is proportional to the square of the number of participants—becomes apparent: most people have nothing to say to each other!
2026-10-05 · assertive framing · What the AI boom is doing for Americans
Also by Noah Smith
Anthropic’s moat is Claude
2026-11-02 · Noahpinion
Farewell, my Captain
2026-10-31 · Noahpinion
A golden age of science is coming
2026-10-29 · Noahpinion
The internet breaks
2026-10-25 · Noahpinion
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 39 articles by Noah Smith →

Topics

Anthropic Axios San Francisco the United States the White House

Subjects

San Francisco GPE · 3× Trump PERSON · 3× the White House ORG · 3× Amodei ORG · 2× Axios ORG · 2× Rationalists NORP · 2× America GPE · 1× Anthropic ORG · 1× Dario Amodei PERSON · 1× the United States GPE · 1×

Narrative

a few good resources to learn about both the economics and the culture are: The book Regional Advantage, by Annalee Saxenian, which documents how and why Silicon Valley became America’s top tech cluster The documentary General Magic, which chronicles a failed but highly influential smartphone startup in the 90s The movie Office Space and the book Microserfs, which both satirize the stultifying experience of working for a big tech company in the 90s The book From Counterculture to Cyberculture, which chronicles the techno-hippie movement that grew up around the emerging computer industry San Francisco began as a marginal bit player in the whole tech ecosystem.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 Back in the early 2000s, as far as I could tell, pretty much nobody in the world cared about what some dorky hoodie-wearing computer programmers were up to on a Saturday night in SF.
2026-09-25 · Noahpinion
Four eras of San Francisco tech culture · assertive framing

Claims (71 extracted, 3 hedged)

The other day I went on the Monitoring the Situation livestream, and we talked about the history of San Francisco tech culture: asserted
we → go → culture
I’ve never actually worked in the tech industry, but I’ve lived on and off in the Bay Area for a quarter of a century now — including the last 10 years in San Francisco itself — and I’ve spent a lot of that time hanging out with people who work in or around the tech industry. asserted
who → work → industry
Throughout much of that time, I was also reading some the same source materials that inspired lots of tech people — science fiction, futurist websites and books, nerdy forums and blogs, and so on. asserted
that → read → people
Over that time, I’ve watched more and more people start to care about all this. asserted
people → watch → this
Back in the early 2000s, as far as I could tell, pretty much nobody in the world cared about what some dorky hoodie-wearing computer programmers were up to on a Saturday night in SF. uncertain
programmers → tell → SF
Fast forward 25 years, and the President of the United States is gathering opposition research on SF techie subcultures: asserted
President → gather → subcultures
President Trump's allies are targeting Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei as the face of AI "doomerism" and a founding father of the effective altruism movement that's come under increasing political fire… asserted
that → target → fire
Trump surrogates see Amodei as an easy foil because of his politics and focus on AI safety, sources told Axios… asserted
sources → see → Axios
A memo began circulating within the White House this week that seeks to paint effective altruism as a fringe, cultish collective out of touch with mainstream America. asserted
that → begin → America
The memo, obtained by Axios, places Amodei at the foundation of the movement… asserted
memo → obtain → movement
Effective altruism “built the AI-doom pipeline,” states the memo, which was penned by a Trump political adviser… asserted
which → build → adviser
Critics of the movement, which has ties to the AI research community, have called out its obsession with AI safety, animal welfare (including musings on shrimp consciousness) and other values they deem far from the U.S. mainstream… asserted
they → have → mainstream
The document lists a veritable parade of horribles for the average conservative mind: abortion, veganism, devaluing human life by overvaluing animals or granting "digital minds" civil rights-like protections. asserted
document → list → protections
If you could go back in time and tell the 2001 version of me that the President’s allies are talking on national news about shrimp consciousness, I would have laughed out loud. uncertain
I → go → consciousness
(Until you told me who the President was, of course.) asserted
President → tell → course
Not only that, but you have the New York Post talking about Effective Altruists’ sex lives, and op-eds debating EA philosophy in top blogs and the Washington Post. asserted
Post → have → blogs
Ladies and gentlemen, it really happened. asserted
it → happen → ?
The nerds took over the world. asserted
nerds → take → world
We have arrived. asserted
We → arrive → ?
I’ve never been an Effective Altruist,1 of course, and I’ve only hung out a little bit in those circles. asserted
I → hang → circles
But in fact, EA is only one corner of the tech culture, and its influence on the AI safety discussion is probably a lot less than people think. asserted
people → think → discussion
In fact, the people talking about EA in the White House and in the news aren’t even really identifying the right group of people — the AI safety obsessives that the White House is taking aim at are the Rationalists, who are descended from a group of 1990s futurists called the Extropians. asserted
who → talk → futurists
EA is a largely separate philosophical movement that appeals to some of the Rationalists, has some overlapping social circles, and jumped into the AI safety discussion later on after the basic ideas were all in place. asserted
ideas → appeal → place
But anyway, that whole intellectual history is a story for another day (or you can just go ask AI). asserted
you → go → AI
Today what I wanted to do is to give a brief anthropological history of the tech culture in San Francisco since the turn of the century, from my own quasi-outsider’s perspective. asserted
wanted → want → perspective
There have been four distinct eras over that time period: The Rebel Era (2001-2012) The Corporate Era (2012-2019) The Interregnum (2020-2022) The AI Era (2022-present) But let’s start with some background. The 20th century: asserted
’s → let → background
It’s a branch off of the tree of computer science culture, which is closely intermingled with electrical engineering culture, and which are both branches off of the great broad trunk of science and technology culture more generally. asserted
which → ’ → culture
But it’s important to realize that what became SF tech culture didn’t start in San Francisco — it started down on the peninsula to the south. asserted
it → ’ → south
The modern tech industry began in the suburban towns around Stanford University — Menlo Park, Palo Alto, Cupertino, Sunnyvale, and so on. asserted
industry → begin → University
This had been a hub of the old electric equipment industry from World War 2 onward, and so William Shockley chose Mountain View to start the first semiconductor company in 1955. asserted
Shockley → choose → 1955
Fairchild broke off from Shockley, and Intel broke off from Fairchild. asserted
Intel → break → Fairchild
The whole area became a hub of semiconductor manufacturing in the 60s and 70s, then computer companies (Apple was founded in 1976 in Cupertino), then software companies like Oracle and Adobe. asserted
Apple → become → Oracle
Today we use “Silicon Valley” to refer to the IT industry in general, but originally it meant the area around Menlo Park and Palo Alto. asserted
it → use → Park
I wasn’t there to see this era, asserted
I → see → era
a few good resources to learn about both the economics and the culture are: The book Regional Advantage, by Annalee Saxenian, which documents how and why Silicon Valley became America’s top tech cluster The documentary General Magic, which chronicles a failed but highly influential smartphone startup in the 90s The movie Office Space and the book Microserfs, which both satirize the stultifying experience of working for a big tech company in the 90s The book From Counterculture to Cyberculture, which chronicles the techno-hippie movement that grew up around the emerging computer industry San Francisco began as a marginal bit player in the whole tech ecosystem. asserted
Francisco → learn → ecosystem
It was a place that some tech people would come up to party and network, especially during the dotcom era when a lot of money (at least, for those days) was splashing around. asserted
lot → come → days
But it did have a media industry, and in the 1990s, some people who worked in publishing, advertising, and other media started trying to get in on the internet gold rush. asserted
who → have → rush
A few engineers and entrepreneurs who didn’t want to live in the boring suburban environment of Silicon Valley moved to SF to make tech media and web startups. asserted
who → want → media
Tony Hsieh’s autobiography, Delivering Happiness, tells the story of how he founded LinkExchange in San Francisco, while getting involved in the rave scene. asserted
he → deliver → scene
At the same time, SF became a locus of tech media — Wired was founded there in 1993. asserted
Wired → become → 1993
…and 31 more, not listed.
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