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2026-27 Calder Trophy picks, odds: Fade favorites Gavin McKenna, Porter Martone

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Cite

Leboff, M. (2026, September 25). 2026-27 Calder Trophy picks, odds: Fade favorites Gavin McKenna, Porter Martone. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/25/betting/2026-27-calder-trophy-picks-odds-fade-favorites-gavin-mckenna-porter-martone/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-09-25 · by Michael Leboff

Quick Summary

The article discusses predictions for the Calder Trophy winners among the top rookie players joining the National Hockey League (NHL) in the 2026-27 season. Philadelphia's Porter Martone is listed as a +270 favorite, while Toronto's Gavin McKenna, the first overall pick, is at +300 odds. However, the author suggests that betting on these favorites may not be wise due to their high volatility and uncertainty regarding McKenna’s durability. The piece recommends considering Viggo Bjorck of the Winnipeg Jets (40/1) and Albert Smits of the New York Rangers (150/1) as better value picks, noting their strong potential and opportunities for significant playing time.
Written by AI on 2026-09-25, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In the 2026-27 season, the NHL is expected to see a strong rookie class competing for the Calder Trophy, which is awarded to the league's top rookie. Among the favorites are Toronto Maple Leafs' Gavin McKenna and Philadelphia Flyers' Porter Martone, according to bet365 Sportsbook odds. Martone impressed last spring with 10 points in nine regular-season games and five more in ten playoff games, indicating he is ready for a top-six role this season. Despite high expectations, experts suggest it will be difficult for any rookie to match the performance of recent standout Matthew Schaefer from the previous season. The upcoming class is still anticipated to be one of the deepest in recent memory, making the race for rookie-of-the-year honors highly competitive.

Written for “Hockey Player Awards Odds” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Hockey Player Awards Odds
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
26
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
12%
3 of 26 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

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Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 15868 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Michael Leboff
125 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Michael Leboff
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 125 articles by Michael Leboff →

Topics

NHL Philadelphia Toronto bet365 Sportsbook the Maple Leafs

Subjects

NHL ORG · 8× Martone PERSON · 3× Murashov PERSON · 3× Albert Smits PERSON · 2× Bjorck PERSON · 2× Fanatics ORG · 2× McKenna PERSON · 2× Philadelphia ORG · 2× Viggo Bjorck PERSON · 2× Connor Bedard PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The 2026-27 debutantes have big skates to fill, and it’s unlikely any player in this group will match what we saw from Schaefer last season, but there is reason to believe that this year’s crop of rookies will be the deepest we’ve seen in a long time.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 The 2026-27 debutantes have big skates to fill, and it’s unlikely any player in this group will match what we saw from Schaefer last season, but there is reason to believe that this year’s crop of rookies will be the deepest we’ve seen in a long time.

Claims (26 extracted, 3 hedged)

Every year, it seems like the NHL’s rookie class gets better and better. asserted
class → seem → ?
In 2023, we saw the arrival of Connor Bedard and Leo Carlsson; the next year, we got introduced to Macklin Celebrini, Lane Hutson, and Cutter Gauthier; and last season was the coming-out party for Matthew Schaefer and Ivan Demidov. asserted
season → see → Schaefer
The 2026-27 debutantes have big skates to fill, and it’s unlikely any player in this group will match what we saw from Schaefer last season, but there is reason to believe that this year’s crop of rookies will be the deepest we’ve seen in a long time. asserted
we → have → time
That means the race for the Calder Trophy will be wide open. asserted
race → mean → Trophy
The bookmakers at bet365 Sportsbook believe that there are two clear favorites to win the Calder: Philadelphia’s Porter Martone and Toronto’s Gavin McKenna. asserted
bookmakers → believe → Calder
It should surprise nobody that these two wunderkinds top the board. asserted
wunderkinds → surprise → board
Martone turned plenty of heads last spring when he posted 10 points (4G, 6A) in nine contests in the regular season and then added five more in 10 playoff games. asserted
he → turn → games
The No. 6 overall pick will almost certainly land a top-six role with Philadelphia out of the gate, and he’s already proven he’s up to NHL speed. asserted
he → land → speed
With 19 games of high-stakes NHL action already under his belt, it’s sensible that the market has pegged Martone as a +270 favorite. asserted
market → ’ → favorite
The price is too short for my liking in an award that is extremely volatile, but I can’t argue with the logic of putting Martone in the catbird seat. asserted
I → argue → seat
It’s much more of a guessing game with McKenna. asserted
It → ’ → McKenna
Selected No. 1 overall this June by the Maple Leafs, McKenna certainly has the skill to be an impact rookie, but his size is a concern. asserted
size → select → skill
Generously listed at 170 pounds, the Whitehorse, Northwest Territories native will have to prove he can handle the rigors of an 84-game NHL season. asserted
he → list → season
All of that uncertainty makes his +300 price quite unappealing. asserted
price → make → uncertainty
The good news about having two players priced this short in a volatile market is that it means you will be able to grab some lofty numbers on other rookies with a real shot at being on the ballot: asserted
you → have → ballot
2026-27 Calder Trophy picks, best bets Viggo Bjorck, Winnipeg Jets (40/1, Fanatics) I’m having a hard time seeing why Viggo Bjorck isn’t listed among the favorites to win this award. asserted
Bjorck → have → award
The Jets have made it pretty clear that the 18-year-old Swede will get every chance to be the team’s No. 2 center, which gives him a massive edge over plenty of other rookies who are toss-ups to even make their club’s Opening Night roster. asserted
who → make → roster
Getting the opportunity is one thing, but Bjorck also seems poised to take it and run with it. asserted
Bjorck → get → it
The No. 8 overall pick from the 2026 Draft has not looked out of place in preseason play, and has the potential to become one of the stories of the league this season. Albert Smits, New York Rangers (150/1, Caesars) Like Bjorck, Albert Smits seems like he will get every chance to claim a regular role for the Rangers. uncertain
he → look → Rangers
The 18-year-old was touted as the most NHL-ready defenseman in this year’s draft, and he’s backed up that claim with a strong start in camp and in his first preseason game. uncertain
he → tout → game
That shouldn’t be a surprise, as he was a standout for Latvia at the Olympics, so he’s already proven he can hold his own against the best players in the world. Smits may not produce the offensive numbers needed to make noise in this market, but that’s baked into this generous price. uncertain
that → prove → price
The Russian netminder posted a .919 save percentage in 39 games in the AHL last season, and he didn’t look out of place during a five-game stint with the big club. asserted
he → post → club
- Check out the best NHL betting sites - Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NHL With only Arturs Silovs standing in his way for playing time, the door is wide open for Murashov to take over the blue paint in Pittsburgh. asserted
Murashov → check → Pittsburgh
If you’re wondering why Murashov’s odds are so high, the reason is simple: The last goaltender to win the Calder Trophy was Steve Mason of the Columbus Blue Jackets in 2008-09. asserted
goaltender → wonder → 2008
Why Trust New York Post Betting Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. asserted
Leboff → trust → industry
He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports. asserted
punters → use → sports
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