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Hurricane Nolo, a zig-zagging storm, threatens Hawaii with flooding rain

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Cite

Chappell, B. (2026, September 25). Hurricane Nolo, a zig-zagging storm, threatens Hawaii with flooding rain. NPR. https://www.npr.org/2026/09/25/nx-s1-5981082/hurricane-nolo-hawaii

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

NPR · collected 2026-09-25 · by Bill Chappell

Quick Summary

Hurricane Nolo is threatening Hawaii with heavy rainfall and potential flooding, currently moving over the Pacific Ocean toward the Hawaiian archipelago. As of Friday morning, the storm has maximum sustained winds of nearly 85 mph and is expected to strengthen to Category 4 status by Sunday, potentially bringing up to 3 feet of rain in some areas. The Big Island and Maui are under alerts for hurricane and tropical storm conditions respectively, with warnings about catastrophic flooding and mudslides, especially in steep terrain.
Written by AI on 2026-09-25, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Tropical Storm Nolo, which has since strengthened into a hurricane, threatens Hawaii, particularly the Big Island, with potentially catastrophic flooding and mudslides. Forecasters predict up to 35 inches of rain in some areas, causing life-threatening flash floods and severe damage. The storm's slow movement over warm ocean waters is expected to intensify it further before moving westward and skirting the islands on Saturday and Sunday, avoiding direct landfall but still causing heavy rainfall. Communities already recovering from earlier storms like Hurricane Lala in August remain vulnerable, with some residents displaced and rebuilding efforts at risk of being devastated again by Nolo's impact.

Written for “Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 12 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Hurricane Nolo Threatens Hawaii
Environment · 13 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 32% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 66/100
CBS News
Hedges 0 of 3 claims Outlet record 66/100
The Guardian
Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 66/100
Toronto Star
Hedges 2 of 31 claims Outlet record 64/100
NBC News
Hedges 6 of 36 claims Outlet record 60/100
CBS News
Hedges 1 of 2 claims Outlet record 66/100
CBC News
Hedges 5 of 48 claims Outlet record 60/100
Toronto Star
Hedges 8 of 39 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different hurricanes impacting different locations at distinct times: Hurricane Polo affecting Mexico's coast, and Hurricane Nolo threatening Hawaii.”
ABC News (US)
Hedges 2 of 32 claims Outlet record 70/100
“The articles describe Hurricane Nolo's progression over different days, with Article A predicting potential threats and Article B reporting on actual impacts and new volcanic hazards.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
32%
6 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
60/100
NPR's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
13
Environment
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

NPR · 1008 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Bill Chappell
4 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Kids file in, get dollops of food on their segmented trays, and maybe grab a chocolate milk.
🔮 By then, the storm will likely be a major hurricane, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
🔮 Instead, they can ponder the chances that last year's winner, the immense Bear 32 nicknamed "Chunk," might again be dubbed the fattest bear of them all.
🔮 "Under current U.S. law and practice, it is extremely rare that an extradition judge will release on bail a person sought in international extradition," according to the State Department.
Also by Bill Chappell
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Hawaii Hawaiian Hurricane Nolo NHC the National Hurricane Center

Subjects

NHC ORG · 3× Hawaii GPE · 2× Hawaiian NORP · 1× Maui GPE · 1× the National Hurricane Center ORG · 1×

Narrative

The cyclone is the latest in a busy hurricane season in the Pacific, where warm water is feeding a powerful El Niño phenomenon that's sparking storms and reshaping weather patterns around the world.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 By then, the storm will likely be a major hurricane, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

Claims (19 extracted, 6 hedged)

Hurricane Nolo, a zig-zagging storm, threatens Hawaii with flooding rain asserted
Nolo → zagge → rain
People on the Big Island of Hawaii are under a hurricane watch Friday morning, as Hurricane Nolo moves over the Pacific Ocean toward the Hawaiian archipelago. asserted
Nolo → move → archipelago
The alert means hurricane conditions are possible within 24 to 36 hours. asserted
conditions → mean → hours
By then, the storm will likely be a major hurricane, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). uncertain
storm → accord → Center
Nolo isn't expected to make landfall this weekend, but it has two dangerous qualities: slow movement and heavy rain. asserted
it → expect → qualities
Maximum rainfall amounts from the storm in some areas could reach nearly 3 feet, forecasters say, with totals of 15 to 30 inches expected more widely. uncertain
totals → reach → inches
"This rainfall could produce catastrophic life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain," the NHC said in its public advisory. uncertain
NHC → produce → advisory
As of Friday morning, Nolo's maximum sustained winds were at nearly 85 mph and it was moving at only 5 mph. asserted
it → move → mph
It's now moving north-northeast and is expected to slow to a crawl before turning toward the west and picking up forward speed on Saturday and Sunday. asserted
It → move → Saturday
But it will continue to build strength from warm ocean waters. asserted
it → continue → waters
Over the next 72 hours, Nolo's winds could top out at 140 mph, according to the forecast discussion, making it a Category 4 storm. uncertain
it → top → discussion
The heaviest rains will likely fall on the Big Island's eastern and southern areas, forecasters say. asserted
forecasters → fall → areas
Neighboring Maui is under a tropical storm watch and could see up to 15 inches of rain. uncertain
Maui → neighbor → rain
Earlier this week, it was heading west across open ocean when it took an abrupt right-hand turn, sending it north directly toward the Big Island. asserted
it → head → Island
The cyclone is the latest in a busy hurricane season in the Pacific, where warm water is feeding a powerful El Niño phenomenon that's sparking storms and reshaping weather patterns around the world. asserted
that → feed → world
The Pacific region has already seen three Category 5 hurricanes: Genevieve, Lowell and Polo. asserted
region → see → hurricanes
Nolo's growth represents a reversal: Last week, forecasters declared the system was dissipating and would not merit further updates unless it regenerated -- and that's precisely what it did. asserted
it → represent → what
Days ago, the NHC renewed issuing advisories of Tropical Depression Fifteen-E and warned that it could strengthen quickly. uncertain
it → renew → E
It then became Tropical Storm Nolo before intensifying into a hurricane. asserted
It → become → hurricane
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