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BC Conservatives ahead of NDP after snap election call: poll

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Judd, A. (2026, September 25). BC Conservatives ahead of NDP after snap election call: poll. Global News. https://globalnews.ca/news/12073073/bc-conservatives-ahead-ndp-snap-election-poll/

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Global News · collected 2026-09-25 · by Amy Judd

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Story summary

In a recent poll conducted by Angus Reid, 43% of leaning and decided voters in British Columbia said they intend to vote for the BC Conservatives, marking an increase of 6 percentage points from just nine days prior. This shift has put the BC NDP at 35%, down from their previous advantage over the Conservatives, while the Green Party remains steady at 12%. The poll highlights voter dissatisfaction with NDP Leader David Eby, with 65% of respondents believing he prioritizes staying in power over the province's interests, a sentiment shared by 71% of BC Conservative voters and 52% of BC NDP supporters who feel the election timing is premature. Despite the Conservatives' lead, Shachi Kurl, president of Angus Reid, noted that about half of British Columbians are unsure if the Conservatives are ready to govern.

Written for “BC Election Polls” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 BC Election Polls
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 15% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
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Global News
Hedges 0 of 5 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the election campaign: one reports on poll results, while the other announces a policy announcement and first official campaign appearance by the BC Conservatives leader.”
Global News
Hedges 4 of 54 claims Outlet record 63/100
“Article A discusses Kerry-Lynne Findlay's resignation as leader of BC Conservatives, while Article B reports on a poll predicting support for the BC Conservatives in a snap election.”
Global News
Hedges 1 of 18 claims Outlet record 63/100
“Article A discusses the interim leader's statement about MLAs returning to the party, while Article B reports on a poll indicating changes in voter preferences ahead of an upcoming election.”
The Globe and Mail
Hedges 3 of 32 claims Outlet record 52/100
“Article A discusses the return of MLAs to the BC Conservatives after the leader's resignation, while Article B covers a poll predicting voter intentions ahead of an upcoming election.”
The Globe and Mail
Hedges 0 of 12 claims Outlet record 52/100
“The articles describe different phases related to an election, but do not refer to the same specific incident or outcome.”
The Globe and Mail
Hedges 1 of 8 claims Outlet record 52/100
“While both articles discuss B.C.'s snap election called by Premier David Eby, Article A describes the announcement and context of the call, whereas Article B reports on a poll conducted after the election was called, indicating different points in time.”
Global News
Hedges 2 of 45 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles refer to the general context of a snap election called by Premier David Eby but describe different aspects: one provides an overview of party leaders, while the other reports on a recent poll. They do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Global News
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 0 of 6 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles describe different aspects of the political situation around a snap election, not the same specific incident or outcome.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 2 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A reports on seven CentreBC MLAs rejoining the B.C. Conservatives, while Article B discusses a poll showing support for the BC Conservatives ahead of the NDP following Eby's call for an early election.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
20
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
15%
3 of 20 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
63/100
Global News's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-25 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Global News · 2575 article(s) · 11 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 11 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Amy Judd
95 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Amy Judd
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 95 articles by Amy Judd →

Topics

ARI BC Conservative Canada the BC Conservatives the BC NDP

Subjects

the BC Conservatives ORG · 4× the BC NDP ORG · 3× ARI ORG · 2× Angus Reid PERSON · 2× BC Conservative ORG · 2× Canada GPE · 2× Eby PERSON · 2× David Eby PERSON · 1× Greens ORG · 1× NDP ORG · 1×

Narrative

What’s really notable here is that despite the fact that the BC Conservatives have a not-insignificant lead over the BC NDP, you still have about half of British Columbians expressing concern that they’re not ready to govern,” she said.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-25
🔮 As the snap election gets underway, a new poll suggests the public could be souring on NDP Leader David Eby and the party.
2026-09-25 · Global News
BC Conservatives ahead of NDP after snap election call: poll · assertive framing

Claims (20 extracted, 3 hedged)

As the snap election gets underway, a new poll suggests the public could be souring on NDP Leader David Eby and the party. uncertain
public → get → Eby
Forty-three per cent of leaning and decided voters in the Angus Reid poll released Thursday said they intend to vote for the BC Conservatives, up six points in just nine days. asserted
they → lean → days
As recently as 10 days ago, a poll found that the BC NDP had a slim four-point advantage over the BC Conservatives. asserted
NDP → find → Conservatives
Sixty-five per cent of respondents say Eby is putting staying in power over the province’s interests while 21 per cent disagree. asserted
cent → say → interests
The timing of the snap election may be contributing to the backlash. uncertain
timing → contribute → backlash
Two-thirds of the province say it’s “too soon” to be going to the polls, including 71 per cent of BC Conservative voters while half of BC NDP voters, 52 per cent, say that as well. asserted
half → say → that
One-in-five people polled said they are still undecided about their vote choice and 35 per cent say they are “very certain” about which party they will support. asserted
they → poll → party
However, as Angus Reid president Shachi Kurl points out, not all of the data is good news for the BC Conservatives. asserted
all → point → Conservatives
- Trump ‘comfortable’ with pause in Canada trade talks, Greer says - asserted
Greer → say → talks
Canada’s foreign minister set to speak after German trade, security talks - Health spending helped push New Brunswick deficit to record $1.3B in last fiscal year - asserted
spending → set → year
Elenore Sturko’s roller-coaster political ride lands her as leader of CentreBC “ asserted
ride → land → CentreBC
What’s really notable here is that despite the fact that the BC Conservatives have a not-insignificant lead over the BC NDP, you still have about half of British Columbians expressing concern that they’re not ready to govern,” she said. asserted
she → ’ → concern
“And that includes about a fifth of their own party, their own base.” asserted
that → include → party
Thirty-three per cent of poll respondents said they had a favourable view of Eby, while 61 per cent have an unfavourable view. asserted
cent → say → view
Twenty-five per cent view interim BC Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson favourably, 36 per cent unfavourably and 40 per cent don’t know enough about him to have an opinion. asserted
cent → know → opinion
The Angus Reid Institute (ARI) conducted an online survey from Sept. 22 to 24, 2026, among a randomized sample of 801 British Columbian adults. asserted
Institute → conduct → adults
Respondents are drawn from the Angus Reid Forum. asserted
Respondents → draw → Forum
The sample was weighted to be representative of adults nationwide according to region, gender, age, household income, and education, based on the Canadian census. uncertain
sample → weight → census
For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/– 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. asserted
sample → carry → 20
The survey was self-commissioned and paid for by ARI. asserted
survey → commission → ARI
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