Republicans are pouring campaign money into Senate battleground states as new polls show them struggling in red territory — with warning lights flashing in both the House and Senate.
asserted
lights → pour → House
The National Republican Senatorial Committee is hoping its latest $46 million spend — including $9 million in Iowa, $11 million in Ohio, $2 million in Alaska, and $8 million in North Carolina — can hold back a potential Democratic tsunami.
asserted
spend → hop → tsunami
“You’ve got Republicans scrambling everywhere,” Sen. Jim Justice (R-W.Va.) fretted to The Post.
asserted
Justice → get → Post
“When – my lord of living, all we had to do was really be in touch with the people four or five months ago …
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we → have → people
We’ve done all kinds of great stuff.
asserted
We → do → stuff
You know, but we’re tone deaf in a lot of ways.”
asserted
we → know → ways
The Senate Leadership Fund, affiliated with Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-SD), has put $100 million behind Republican state AG Ken Paxton in Texas, a source told The Post, with plans to keep spending until Election Day.
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source → affiliate → Day
“It’s red wall kind of thing …
asserted
It → ’ → thing
We only spend money where we think we can make a difference.”
asserted
we → spend → difference
The party’s vulnerability is on display in red state polling – plus some eye-catching policy shifts by vulnerable Republicans who usually stay close to President Trump, whose own popularity rating is underwater.
asserted
rating → catch → Trump
The latest polls out of Iowa show Democrat Josh Turek tied with Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa), who Republicans have long considered a top-tier candidate in a state Trump won with 56% of the vote.
asserted
Trump → show → vote
Republicans control the Senate 53-47, meaning a loss of four seats would make Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY) majority leader.
asserted
Schumer → control → seats
Former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) has grabbed a 4-point lead over appointed Republican Sen. Jon Husted (R-Ohio) in a state Trump carried by 13 percentage points over former VP Kamala Harris in 2024.
asserted
Trump → grab → 2024
Hinson and Michigan Republican candidate former Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.), who is battling radical leftist Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, both put out statements this week critical of the Iran war, seeking political distance.
Husted said the war “needs to come to an end as quickly as possible,” but didn’t vote for a War Powers resolution Thursday seeking to halt military action.
asserted
war → battle → action
At a meeting with Republicans Wednesday, NRSC Chair Sen. Tim Scott “was very direct,” saying Republican candidates in “red states need to be aggressive and run like they’re behind because the fight for the Senate has a record number of tossup races,” said one Republican source.
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source → say → races
Prognosticator Larry Sabato moved Iowa to the “toss-up” category and Kansas to “leans Republican.”
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Kansas → move → category
Ohio and Iowa “look especially dire for Republicans” due to high fuel prices and tariffs said Erin Covey of the Cook political report, which on Friday moved 15 House seats in the direction of Democrats.
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which → look → Democrats
“What’s worse environmentally for them compared to 2018 is the economy,” she said, mentioning a cycle when Dems lost 40 seats and gained control of the House, although there may be fewer House seats in play this year.
uncertain
Dems → ’ → play
Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kans.) cautioned Thursday that “when ICE operates in Kansas, it needs to coordinate with our local law enforcement” as agents carried out a series of immigration sweeps in the southwest part of the state, in a brushback on a signature White House issue.
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agents → caution → issue
The economy is now Trump’s “anvil” wrote Amy Walter of the Cook political report.
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Walter → write → report
The weight makes it harder for Trump to appear in competitive states, where he might drive up Democratic turnout.
uncertain
he → make → turnout
Next week he has plans to hold rallies in deep red Oklahoma and Alabama – not exactly tossup territory.
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he → have → Oklahoma
An Economist / YouGov tracking poll has Trump underwater in every state save three: Idaho, Wyoming, and West Virginia.
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Trump → have → three
The Republican source was optimistic, in part because the big money and TV ads have yet to hit, and in part because the election is so fluid – plus fractures among Democrats over socialism.
“A lot of our races are being nationalized,” the source admitted.
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source → have → races
“But Iowa, New Hampshire, Maine – those places are still very siloed” with unique circumstances, providing protection.
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places → provide → protection
The Aporia
