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WNBA playoffs 2026 predictions for every first-round series

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Cite

Kenney, M. (2026, September 27). WNBA playoffs 2026 predictions for every first-round series. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/09/27/sports/wnba-playoffs-2026-predictions-for-every-first-round-series/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-09-27 · by Madeline Kenney

Quick Summary

The article provides predictions for the WNBA playoffs first-round matchups, noting that this year's parity among teams is unprecedented with a smaller gap between the first and eighth seeds compared to previous years. The matchups include Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty, Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings, Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever, and Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mystics. Each series analysis highlights key players and potential turning points, with predictions ranging from a three-game sweep to a closely contested series.
Written by AI on 2026-09-27, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The 2026 WNBA playoffs are set to begin with a smaller gap between top and bottom teams compared to previous years, suggesting more parity and potential upsets. The first-round series pits Minnesota Lynx, the No. 1 seed, against the New York Liberty, the No. 8 seed. Game 1 takes place on Sunday at 2 p.m. ET in Minnesota, followed by Game 2 on Tuesday at 8:30 p.m. ET in New York, and a possible Game 3 back in Minnesota on Thursday.

A key matchup to watch is how New York Liberty plans to handle the rookie star Olivia Miles, who had success against them earlier in the season. Despite this, the prediction favors the Lynx winning in three games.

The second series features the defending champion Golden State Valkyries, with their league-best defense designed to stifle stars like Paige Bueckers of the Dallas Wings, playing at home on Sunday and traveling to Dallas for Game 2. The third game, if needed, would be back in Golden State.

Written for “WNBA Playoffs Predictions” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 WNBA Playoffs Predictions
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 9% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses a regular-season game between Lynx and Fever on September 26th, while Article B covers the first-round playoff matchups starting on October 1st.”
The Guardian
Hedges 1 of 21 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A reports on a specific game where the Lynx lost to the Fever, while Article B provides general predictions and analysis for the upcoming WNBA playoffs series.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 12 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A reports on a specific game that determined Atlanta's playoff seed, while Article B provides predictions and information about the upcoming WNBA playoffs.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 24 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A describes a specific game and playoff matchup between Las Vegas Aces and Indiana Fever, while Article B provides general predictions for all first-round series in the WNBA playoffs.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 1 of 50 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the WNBA playoffs without focusing on the exact same match or outcome.”
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 7 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses a past rivalry game between Liberty and Lynx, while Article B provides predictions for the upcoming playoff series including their matchup.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 1 of 37 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A discusses players' postseason debuts and upcoming matches, while Article B provides predictions and analysis for all first-round WNBA playoff series.”
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 45 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A focuses on breaking down the Liberty-Lynx WNBA playoff matchup and providing a prediction, while Article B provides general predictions for every first-round series in the playoffs.”
The Guardian
Hedges 0 of 29 claims Outlet record 66/100
“Article A discusses predictions for the upcoming WNBA playoffs series, while Article B reports on an actual game that has already taken place in the playoff series.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 18 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different games in the WNBA playoffs, with Article A predicting and outlining the series between Minnesota Lynx and New York Liberty, while Article B reports on a game between Indiana Fever and Las Vegas Aces.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
11
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
1 of 11 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-27 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 16438 article(s) · 35 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 35 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Madeline Kenney
53 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Jazzy Davidson, the reigning Freshman of the Year, is expected to take a leap, and USC also welcomes the nation’s top recruiting class, headlined by Saniyah Hall.
🔮 Regardless of what happens Saturday, a first-time champion will be crowned.
🔮 But they will have to do it without Jaedyn Shaw and Rose Lavelle, two of the club’s leading scorers.
🔮 A 27-point blowout prompted Gabby Williams to immediately deliver an impassioned message to her teammates in a huddle on the floor.
🔮 This unfamiliar position has forced the U.S. to confront a new reality in which reclaiming the top spot will require measuring itself against the team that holds it.
🔮 Entering Friday, with New York on the brink of elimination, all Stewart could think about was extending the Liberty’s season.
🔮 The Liberty would like to think they could be the first and vowed to chip away at the mountain one game at a time. “The mentality is just that it’s not over,” Ionescu said.
🔮 When the Women’s Champions Classic returns to Barclays Center later this year, the spotlight will shine on some of the biggest stars in women’s college basketball.
🔮 The Liberty, now trailing 2-0 in the best-of-five semifinals, learned after the game they had a reset timeout after all and could’ve advanced the ball on the final possession.
🔮 NOW“I would probably say that too if I didn’t want to admit that we got beat by somebody else,” Dream wing Rhyne Howard said Tuesday.
Also by Madeline Kenney
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 53 articles by Madeline Kenney →

Topics

ABC Golden State Minnesota New York Valkyries

Subjects

Valkyries ORG · 3× ABC ORG · 2× Aces ORG · 2× Amazon ORG · 2× Atlanta GPE · 2× ESPN ORG · 2× Golden State GPE · 2× Las Vegas GPE · 2× Minnesota GPE · 2× New York GPE · 2×

Narrative

The Valkyries have the league’s best defense, which is designed to stifle the league’s biggest stars, including Paige Bueckers.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-27
🔮 Will the league’s best team for the entire season win it all?
2026-09-27 · New York Post
WNBA playoffs 2026 predictions for every first-round series · assertive framing

Claims (11 extracted, 1 hedged)

Eleven games separated the first and eighth seeds in the 2025 WNBA playoffs. asserted
games → separate → playoffs
Will the league’s best team for the entire season win it all? asserted
team → win → it
Or will a franchise capture its first title? asserted
franchise → capture → title
Maybe a sleeper team makes a run. asserted
team → make → run
It all starts Sunday. asserted
It → start → ?
Here’s a look at the matchups for the best-of-three first round: asserted
look → ’ → round
The Liberty had success slowing Olivia Miles in their last meeting by throwing the kitchen sink at the rookie. asserted
Liberty → have → rookie
But did New York show its hand too soon? asserted
York → show → hand
The Valkyries have the league’s best defense, which is designed to stifle the league’s biggest stars, including Paige Bueckers. asserted
which → have → Bueckers
The injury-plagued Wings might not have the juice to survive this series. uncertain
Wings → plague → series
The Fever’s historically potent offense is going up against the Aces’ top-five defense. asserted
offense → go → defense
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