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Bombshell Newspoll data shows One Nation charging ahead of Labor in Queensland and going strong in NSW

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Cite

Nickel, A. (2026, September 27). Bombshell Newspoll data shows One Nation charging ahead of Labor in Queensland and going strong in NSW. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16164251/poll-Labor-One-Nation-Hanson-Albanese.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Daily Mail · collected 2026-09-27 · by Ashley Nickel

Quick Summary

The article reports on recent Newspoll data indicating significant gains for the One Nation party led by Pauline Hanson, particularly in Queensland where they lead with 36% of the primary vote compared to Labor’s 25%. The poll also shows strong support for Hanson over Labor leader Anthony Albanese as preferred prime minister in Queensland. In New South Wales, One Nation has a primary vote of 31%, narrowly ahead of Labor at 30%. National polls show One Nation with 30% support overall, just above Labor’s 29%, highlighting the party's growing influence across Australia.
Written by AI on 2026-09-27, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Pauline Hanson's One Nation party is surging in Queensland, with 36% of voters choosing it as their top pick compared to 25% for Labor and 19% for the Coalition. In a preference vote between Hanson and Labor leader Anthony Albanese, 52% of Queenslanders preferred Hanson over Albanese. Nationally, One Nation also leads with 30%, surpassing both major parties. The party's support is particularly strong in NSW, where it holds 31% compared to 30% for Labor and 17% for the Coalition. A senior Coalition source warns that One Nation could pose a threat to several traditionally safe seats in upcoming elections in Victoria and NSW scheduled for November and March, respectively.

Written for “One Nation Surging In Polls” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 One Nation Surging In Polls
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 1 of 22 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different polls and their findings for different political parties in Australia.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 3 of 41 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of Pauline Hanson's activities and do not describe the same specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
22
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
1 of 22 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-27 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8973 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Ashley Nickel
88 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The airline arranged accommodation for stranded passengers and customers were booked on the next available flight on Monday morning. Engineers will inspect the plane before it returns to service.
🔮 Southeast Queenslanders are warned about damaging winds, heavy rainfall, and possibly very large hailstones. While Sydneysiders have been told to expect heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding, as other wider areas of NSW have been warned about large hailstones.
🔮 Former The Bachelor star Sam Wood is set to appeal a court decision to refuse him bail after he was accused domestic violence offences.
🔮 Financial punters are betting there will be another on Melbourne Cup Day.
🔮 Fennell (above) fronted a bail court on Sunday on six domestic violence charges His case will return to Waverley Court on November 12.
🔮 Officers armed with military-style assault weapons are set to be a normal sight on Sydney streets.
🔮 'We heard this almighty crash, we looked back and all the seats collapsed,' she told the Gold Coast Bulletin.
🔮 The upgrade to minor party status would increase One Nation's staff from four to nine and increase salaries to allow the party to hire more experienced workers.
🔮 The airport advised its western runway was closed for repair following the lightning strike at 4.11pm AEDT on Tuesday and would remain closed overnight. As of 8.30pm AEDT on Tuesday, 34 flights were delayed or cancelled, the majority of those domestic arrivals.
🔮 However, if she were to dispute the debt now she would need to find her payslips from 2014.
Also by Ashley Nickel
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 88 articles by Ashley Nickel →

Topics

Coalition Labor One Nation Queensland Victoria

Subjects

Hanson PERSON · 11× Albanese PERSON · 10× Queensland GPE · 8× Coalition ORG · 6× Labor ORG · 5× NSW GPE · 5× One Nation ORG · 5× Victoria GPE · 4× Taylor PERSON · 3× Queenslanders NORP · 2×

Narrative

Coalition leader Angus Taylor (above) beat Albanese as preferred prime minister with 44 per cent of voters preferring him compared to 35 per cent backing Albanese A senior Coalition source said One Nation poses a threat to several traditionally safe seats in Victoria and NSW, set to go to election in November and March respectively.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-27
🔮 When asked if they would prefer Hanson or Labor leader Anthony Albanese as prime minister, 52 per cent of Queenslanders chose Hanson.

Claims (22 extracted, 1 hedged)

- See more Daily Mail on Google - save us as a Preferred Source One Nation leader Pauline Hanson appears to be pulling ahead in her home state of Queensland, with the latest poll data indicating her right-wing party also remains a major threat in other states with the exception of Victoria. asserted
party → see → Victoria
A quarterly analysis of Newspoll data for The Australian on Sunday night found Hanson's party was the top choice for 36 per cent of Queensland voters. asserted
party → find → voters
Labor was Queenslanders' second-best choice at 25 per cent, followed by the Coalition at 19 per cent. asserted
Labor → follow → cent
When asked if they would prefer Hanson or Labor leader Anthony Albanese as prime minister, 52 per cent of Queenslanders chose Hanson. asserted
cent → ask → Hanson
One Nation's primary vote was also stronger than the two major parties' in NSW at 31 per cent, beating Labor's 30 per cent and the Coalition's 17 per cent. asserted
vote → beat → cent
Hanson's party also had the highest primary support Australia-wide at 30 per cent, followed by Labor at 29 per cent and the Coalition at 19 per cent. asserted
party → have → cent
The Greens took 13 per cent of the primary vote while 9 per cent of voters backed other minor parties and independents. asserted
cent → take → parties
One Nation recorded an incredible jump in support this quarter, from July 13 to September 18, compared to the same period last year. asserted
Nation → record → period
Pauline Hanson's (above) One Nation Party is on the rise in Queensland where more voters back her as prime minister than Anthony Albanese Albanese (above) was the favoured prime minister in every other state and cleared Hanson among national voters at 56 per cent to Hanson's 44 per cent Its asserted
Albanese → back → cent
Labor's primary vote in Queensland dropped 30 per cent in that same timeframe to 25 per cent. asserted
vote → drop → cent
Between Hanson and Albanese, Queensland was the only state to prefer Hanson as prime minister. asserted
Queensland → prefer → minister
Albanese won the Australia-wide vote 56 per cent to Hanson's 44 per cent. asserted
Albanese → win → cent
When the question was opened to include Coalition leader Angus Taylor, 46 per cent of Australian voters backed Albanese, followed by 31 per cent to Hanson and 23 per cent to Taylor. asserted
cent → open → Taylor
Hanson was most unpopular in Victoria where only 39 per cent chose her as prime minister over Albanese. asserted
cent → choose → Albanese
Between Taylor and Albanese, Taylor beat Albanese as preferred prime minister with 44 per cent of voters preferring him compared to 35 per cent backing Albanese. asserted
cent → beat → Albanese
Albanese's net approval rating was down 21 per cent compared to last year at -22 with 59 per cent of voters dissatisfied with his performance, 37 per cent satisfied and 4 per cent uncommitted. asserted
cent → compare → performance
Coalition leader Angus Taylor (above) beat Albanese as preferred prime minister with 44 per cent of voters preferring him compared to 35 per cent backing Albanese A senior Coalition source said One Nation poses a threat to several traditionally safe seats in Victoria and NSW, set to go to election in November and March respectively. asserted
Nation → beat → November
Performance in those elections will be key ahead of the Queensland state election in October 2028, where One Nation has seen the biggest rise in support. asserted
Nation → see → support
'Everyone will be watching the Victorian and NSW state elections to see how the Nationals go,' the source said. asserted
source → watch → elections
'There is serious worry the NSW Nationals will be wiped off the map in March. asserted
Nationals → be → March
'Defending those traditionally safe federal seats in Queensland will be tough for Matt Canavan. asserted
Defending → defend → Canavan
If the One Nation vote holds up, they could lose the lot.' uncertain
they → hold → lot
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