Photo via Evening Standard

Scottish business confidence plummets, report finds

Read the original at Evening Standard ↗
Cite

Meighan, C. (2026, September 29). Scottish business confidence plummets, report finds. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/business/business-news/scottish-bank-of-scotland-middle-east-b1298929.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Evening Standard · collected 2026-09-29 · by Craig Meighan

Quick Summary

Business confidence in Scotland significantly decreased in September according to the Bank of Scotland's Business Barometer, dropping from 55% in August to 36%. Despite this drop, Scottish firms remain optimistic about future investments; 46% plan to hire more staff and 47% intend to introduce new products or services. The report highlights a strong focus on sustainability, with 39% of businesses targeting investment in it, the highest among UK regions. Martyn Kendrick from Bank of Scotland emphasizes that although confidence has waned, Scottish businesses continue strategic planning for long-term growth.
Written by AI on 2026-09-30, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

Business confidence among Scottish firms dropped sharply in September according to the latest Bank of Scotland Business Barometer. The survey, which polls 1,200 businesses monthly, showed a decline from 55% in August to 36%. Economic optimism also fell by 24 points to just 21%, indicating significant concerns despite plans for future investment. Notably, 47% of Scottish firms intend to launch new products or services and 45% plan workforce training over the next six months. Additionally, more than a third (39%) are focusing on sustainability investments, the highest rate among UK regions. Martyn Kendrick, Scotland director at Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking, highlighted that while current confidence is low, businesses remain focused on long-term growth strategies.

Written for “Scottish Business Confidence Drops” on 2026-11-01, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Scottish Business Confidence Drops
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

Nothing to compare against. No article is close enough to this one for the pipeline to have linked or judged the pair.
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
65/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-30 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 8048 article(s) · 68 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 68 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Craig Meighan
38 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Speaking during his keynote speech at the Scottish Green conference, the Greens said their plans would be paid for by a frequent flyer levy.
🔮 Speaking during his keynote speech at the Scottish Green conference, the Greens said their plans would be paid for by a frequent flyer levy.
🔮 He said the UK Government’s decision to approve Jackdaw would provide “certainty” to workers.
🔮 Mr Swinney has declined to give a timeline for the strategy, telling the Press Association on Wednesday it will be published “in due course”.
🔮 Read More Amanda Greer, Daniel’s mother, hopes the FAI will help protect other families from known offenders.
🔮 Gavin Birch-Williams, managing director of Glasgow Airport, said: “We are aware of an incident involving a light aircraft that departed from Glasgow Airport.
🔮 Speaking at the SNP conference in Aberdeen, the First Minister said buses would be brought under public control by 2031 through franchising and regulation, with a Bill tabled in Holyrood next year.
🔮 Gavin Birch-Williams, managing director of Glasgow Airport, said: “We are aware of an incident involving a light aircraft that departed from Glasgow Airport.
🔮 Gavin Birch-Williams, managing director of Glasgow Airport, said: “We are aware of an incident involving a light aircraft that departed from Glasgow Airport.
🔮 Gavin Birch-Williams, managing director of Glasgow Airport, said: “We are aware of an incident involving a light aircraft that departed from Glasgow Airport.
Also by Craig Meighan
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 38 articles by Craig Meighan →

Topics

Bank of Scotland Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking Scotland Scottish The Business Barometer

Subjects

Scotland GPE · 3× Scottish NORP · 3× Amanda Murphy PERSON · 1× Bank of Scotland ORG · 1× Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking ORG · 1× Lloyds Business and Commercial Banking ORG · 1× Martyn Kendrick PERSON · 1×

Narrative

Martyn Kendrick, Scotland director at Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking, said: “While confidence has softened, what stands out is that Scottish businesses are continuing to look ahead and invest in the things that will support their long-term growth. “Almost half are planning to increase staffing levels, while firms are also looking to develop new products and services and invest in their people.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-30
🔮 Martyn Kendrick, Scotland director at Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking, said: “While confidence has softened, what stands out is that Scottish businesses are continuing to look ahead and invest in the things that will support their long-term growth. “Almost half are planning to increase staffing levels, while firms are also looking to develop new products and services and invest in their people.
2026-09-30 · Evening Standard
Scottish business confidence plummets, report finds · assertive framing

Claims (19 extracted, 0 hedged)

Scottish business confidence plummets, report finds Business confidence in Scotland plummeted in September, the latest Business Barometer from Bank of Scotland has found. asserted
Barometer → plummet → Scotland
When taken alongside their economic optimism, down 24 points to 21%, firms recorded a headline confidence rate of 36%, a decrease from 55% in August. asserted
firms → take → August
Despite the confidence dip, a net balance of 46% of firms expect to increase staff levels over the next year, up two points from last month. asserted
balance → expect → month
Over the next six months, 47% of Scottish firms plan to introduce new products or services, while 45% intend to invest in their teams through training. asserted
% → plan → training
More than a third (39%) are targeting investment in sustainability, the highest proportion of any UK nation or region. asserted
third → target → nation
The Business Barometer, which surveys 1,200 businesses monthly and which has been running since 2002, shows business confidence is below the 12-month average of 46%, with its highest figure this year at 55% in August. asserted
confidence → survey → August
Martyn Kendrick, Scotland director at Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking, said: “While confidence has softened, what stands out is that Scottish businesses are continuing to look ahead and invest in the things that will support their long-term growth. “Almost half are planning to increase staffing levels, while firms are also looking to develop new products and services and invest in their people. asserted
firms → say → people
Scotland’s particularly strong focus on sustainability is another positive sign that businesses are thinking strategically about how they can build for the future. asserted
they → think → future
“Taken together, that shows a business community that, despite a more challenging backdrop, remains focused on creating opportunities and strengthening its capabilities for the years ahead.” asserted
that → take → years
Across the UK, business confidence fell 12 points to 41% in September – the lowest level since April 2025. asserted
confidence → fall → April
Read More This decline follows August’s reading of 53%, the second-highest recorded this year. asserted
decline → read → %
While confidence remained well above the survey’s long-term average of 30%, it was six points below the 12-month average of 47%. asserted
it → remain → %
The overall 12-point decline, which was comparable to the fall recorded earlier this year following the start of the Middle East conflict, was driven by a fall in economic optimism, as businesses responded to higher energy prices as a result of renewed tensions in the region. asserted
businesses → record → region
Business trading outlook declined eight points to 50%, compared to a 12-month average of 56%. asserted
outlook → decline → %
The majority of businesses (57%) expect an increase in output over the year ahead, while those expecting a decrease in activity reduced by one point to 7%. asserted
those → expect → %
Among firms expecting weaker activity, the main drivers were economic uncertainty, higher cost pressures and weaker customer demand. asserted
drivers → expect → activity
Amanda Murphy, chief executive of Lloyds Business and Commercial Banking, said: “While confidence among larger firms remains strong, smaller businesses have seen a fall in sentiment as they continue to navigate higher costs, inflationary pressures and global uncertainty. asserted
they → say → costs
“Overall confidence remains above its long-term average, and most businesses still expect activity to grow over the coming year, underlining the resilience of UK firms. asserted
activity → remain → firms
“Ensuring smaller firms can share in future growth will be crucial in the months ahead.” asserted
firms → ensure → months
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support