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Public debt surges 76pc to Rs86.7tr in four years

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Kiani, K. (2026, September 30). Public debt surges 76pc to Rs86.7tr in four years. Dawn. https://www.dawn.com/news/2033657/public-debt-surges-76pc-to-rs867tr-in-four-years

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Dawn · collected 2026-09-30 · by Khaleeq Kiani

Quick Summary

The Ministry of Finance in Islamabad announced that total public debt surged 76% to Rs86.7 trillion by the end of June 2026 from Rs49.3 trillion at the end of June 2022. For fiscal year 2027, the government plans to borrow an additional Rs6.86 trillion to cover a budget deficit projected at Rs7.020 trillion. The plan includes reducing reliance on short-term treasury bills and increasing medium- to long-term borrowing through instruments like Pakistan Investment Bonds and sukuk issuance.
Written by AI on 2026-09-30, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In June 2026, the total public debt in Pakistan surged to Rs86.7 trillion, a 76% increase from Rs49.3 trillion at the end of June 2022, according to the Ministry of Finance's Annual Borrowing Plan for 2027. The current fiscal year's gross financing needs are projected to reach Rs28.65 trillion, with an additional Rs6.86 trillion planned for borrowing to finance the budget deficit. Domestic borrowing will account for Rs6.046 trillion and external borrowing for Rs813 billion. The total federal fiscal deficit is forecasted at Rs7.020 trillion. To optimize the debt profile, the government intends to reduce reliance on short-term treasury bills by replacing them with medium- to longer-term instruments like Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs), aiming for fixed-rate PIBs to exceed 50% of new issuances.

Written for “Public Debt Surge” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Public Debt Surge
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Reason
Hedges 6 of 40 claims Outlet record 67/100
“The articles discuss different time frames and specific details about public debt increases; Article A specifies Rs86.7tr in public debt by June 2026, while Article B is more general and does not specify the same figures or timeframe.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
25
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 25 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
72/100
Dawn's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-09-30 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Dawn · 2491 article(s) · 3 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 3 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Khaleeq Kiani
35 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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🔮 DAAB would monitor project implementation and help prevent or resolve disputes as they arise, while CAP proposed applying the mechanism to projects valued at Rs20bn and above.
🔮 “The project will continue to focus on timely implementation, effective contract management, and compliance with applicable environmental and social requirements.”
🔮 The NEC also approved the inclusion of the Pakistan Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (PVARA) in Schedule IV of the AMLA, meaning that the crypto body would also have regulatory powers over virtual and digital assets to meet AML-CFT requirements, like the SBP, Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan and Federal Board of Revenue, among others.
🔮 Mohammad Ali Haider, vice chairman of the LPG Marketing Association, representing over 200 companies, said prices rose by Rs100 per kilogram over the weekend following withdrawal of the trade exemption and could climb further without immediate intervention.
2026-10-19 · assertive framing · LPG stakeholders seek daily pricing amid soaring rates
🔮 It said a transparent mechanism for disposing of locally produced LPG through a competitive process remained a government priority, as it would ensure a level playing field for the industry and address existing market concentration, where locally produced LPG was concentrated among a few market players.
2026-10-18 · assertive framing · Govt moves to curb LPG hoarding ahead of winter
🔮 Under the Competitive Trading Bilateral Contract Market (CTBCM), open-access consumers participating in the upcoming 400MW auction will have to pay Rs6.23 to Rs19.62 per unit to use the national grid for transporting electricity from the supplier to the consumer.
🔮 The World Trade Organisation on Thursday sharply raised its global trade growth forecast for 2026 — with merchandise trade riding the AI boom — and concluded that some nations, including Pakistan, were actually benefiting from trade disruptions amid the ongoing Middle East conflict in some ways.
🔮 Upon approval, Pakistan will have access to about $1bn (SDR 760 million) under the EFF and about $210 million (SDR 154 million) under the RSF, bringing total disbursements under the two arrangements to about $5.7bn, it said The two sides also concluded Article IV consultations, the IMF announced from Washington headquarters.
Also by Khaleeq Kiani
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 35 articles by Khaleeq Kiani →

Topics

Govt ISLAMABAD National Savings Schemes the Ministry of Finance treasury

Subjects

Govt ORG · 1× ISLAMABAD GPE · 1× NSS ORG · 1× National Savings Schemes ORG · 1× Naya Pakistan Certificates ORG · 1× the Ministry of Finance ORG · 1× treasury ORG · 1×

Narrative

The zero-coupon bonds have attracted strong interest from both commercial banks and non-bank institutional investors, and the plan is to continue using these instruments to optimise the overall debt profile, it said, adding that the government would remain committed to prudent debt management through continued buyback and debt switch operations.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-09-30
🔮 The net additional debt this year would comprise Rs6.046tr of domestic borrowing and Rs813bn in external borrowing.
2026-09-30 · Dawn
Public debt surges 76pc to Rs86.7tr in four years · assertive framing

Claims (25 extracted, 0 hedged)

With total public debt surging 76 per cent since June 2022 and gross financing needs (GFNs) reaching Rs28.65 trillion for the current fiscal year, the government on Tuesday announced plans to borrow an additional Rs6.86tr to finance the budget deficit. asserted
government → surge → deficit
“Total public debt was recorded at Rs86.7tr at the end of June 2026 from Rs49.3tr at the end of June 2022, a 76pc increase over four years,” the Ministry of Finance said in its Annual Borrowing Plan 2027. asserted
Ministry → record → Plan
It said the total public debt comprised Rs59.4tr in domestic debt and Rs27.3tr equivalent in external debt. asserted
debt → say → debt
The net additional debt this year would comprise Rs6.046tr of domestic borrowing and Rs813bn in external borrowing. asserted
debt → comprise → borrowing
The total federal fiscal deficit is projected at Rs7.020tr, and after adding domestic and external maturities, total GFNs are projected at Rs28.647tr, approximately 20pc of GDP for FY27, it added. asserted
it → project → FY27
The ministry said it will reduce reliance on short-term treasury bills on a net issuance basis, replacing T-bill maturities with medium- to longer-term tenor instruments, with higher net issuances of Rs4.58tr of Pakistan Investment Bonds (PIBs), with fixed-rate PIBs targeted to exceed 50pc of new issuances. asserted
PIBs → say → issuances
Importantly, floating-rate exposure would be limited to the 10-year sukuk on a variable rate of return only. asserted
exposure → float → return
Govt plans additional borrowing of Rs6.86tr in FY27 The government also planned Ijara sukuk/Bai Muajjal to the extent of Rs3.785tr, supported by the new hybrid sukuk and short-term sukuk (3-6 months) structures. asserted
government → plan → structures
Gross annual sukuk issuances are targeted at about Rs6.6tr. asserted
issuances → target → Rs6.6tr
To attract institutional investors, the government will continue to use 2- and 15-year zero-coupon bonds and, where required, introduce new long-dated instruments after consulting all stakeholders. asserted
government → attract → stakeholders
In addition, liability management operations (buybacks/exchanges) will continue, subject to available fiscal space and suitable market conditions. asserted
operations → continue → space
Moreover, National Savings Schemes (NSS) restructuring is underway to improve products, introduce market-driven pricing and digitalisation, and deepen retail investor participation. asserted
restructuring → improve → participation
“Net external financing is projected at Rs813bn, equivalent to $2.804bn,” it said, adding that the external financing plan will focus on $1.58bn net inflows from multilateral lenders as the primary external source. asserted
plan → project → source
In addition, the government plans higher international capital market issuances in FY27, aiming for over $2bn in Eurobonds or International sukuk, subject to market conditions. asserted
government → plan → conditions
These issuances will also enable the government to replace short-term debt with longer-dated, market-based financing. asserted
issuances → enable → financing
The government has already raised $3bn in Eurobonds last month. asserted
government → raise → Eurobonds
Foreign commercial bank financing would also be refinanced alongside new facilities to help meet external funding requirements, subject to suitable market conditions. asserted
financing → refinance → conditions
In addition, non-resident investment via Naya Pakistan Certificates and government securities would be facilitated with a Rs1.122tr target. asserted
investment → facilitate → target
To support market access, the government would maintain active engagement with sovereign credit rating agencies. asserted
government → support → agencies
Overall, for domestic debt, primary emphasis will be on increasing the share of fixed-rate instruments and diversifying the debt portfolio by developing Shariah-compliant sukuk markets, retail instruments and long-term bonds for institutional investors. asserted
emphasis → increase → investors
In external financing, priority will be given to increased international capital market issuances subject to a suitable international macro-environment. asserted
priority → give → environment
It said the demand from long-term institutional investors was expected to support the new issuance of zero-coupon bonds. asserted
demand → say → bonds
The zero-coupon bonds have attracted strong interest from both commercial banks and non-bank institutional investors, and the plan is to continue using these instruments to optimise the overall debt profile, it said, adding that the government would remain committed to prudent debt management through continued buyback and debt switch operations. asserted
government → attract → operations
The ministry noted that over the past ten fiscal years (FY17 to FY26), an average of 81pc of the fiscal deficit was financed through domestic sources, while external financing accounted for the remaining 19pc. asserted
financing → note → 19pc
FY26 saw 25pc of the federal deficit financed through external sources, a level last reached in FY20. asserted
25pc → see → FY20
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