Claims extracted
23
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
9%
2 of 23 hedged
("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans left
expected in commentary, which argues a position · beta estimate
Publisher signals
not measured
these signals count newsroom corrections;
Commentary has none to count
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
110
articles that frame the event the way this one does
AS WE HEAD INTO THE HOME STRETCH before the midterms, things are looking so good for Democrats that candidates once thought to be in tough races—like Roy Cooper and Jon Ossoff—can probably put their feet up and sip some boba tea (not you, Troy Jackson!).
asserted
candidates → head → tea
So, as promised, I wanted to provide an update to my list of Democratic candidates whom readers should consider supporting—with your votes, by volunteering, and through donations, if you are so inclined—between now and November 3.
asserted
you → promise → November
Things were already looking good for Democrats when I put together the first list in June.
asserted
I → look → June
But the national environment has only gotten better for the party since.
asserted
environment → get → party
The average national gas price has gone up about 10 percent, mortgage rates are over 7 percent, and 20-year Treasury yields are over 5 percent.
asserted
yields → go → percent
We’re still at war in the Middle East, with no end in sight.
asserted
end → ’re → sight
Republicans have no message on these key issues, so the map keeps expanding.
asserted
map → have → issues
Hell, Bill Kristol said on the pod Monday that he thinks the Idaho Senate race is in play.
asserted
race → say → play
(Did you know the GOP nominee there is 83?
asserted
nominee → know → ?
Can you name both senators from Idaho?)
asserted
you → name → Idaho
I’m not quite sure the map is going to expand that far. But there are a bunch of races once considered “solid Republican” that are now winnable.
asserted
that → go → races
In case you missed it the first time around, here’s a brief recap of how I picked these candidates:
asserted
I → miss → candidates
They had to be running in districts rated at least R+5 according to Cook Political Report’s Partisan Voter Index (PVI)—a calculation of the 2020 and 2024 presidential candidates’ performance in a given state or district compared to the national average.
uncertain
They → have → average
They also had to be from places where Democrats have generally struggled to win in the recent past.
asserted
Democrats → have → past
(There are a few exceptions, which I’ll explain.)
asserted
I → be → which
The Democratic candidate had to be legit and either a) endorsed by someone I trust, or b) just caught Ansley’s and my attention because we like the cut of their jib.
asserted
we → have → jib
Bonus points if the Republican they’re running against is particularly disgusting.
asserted
they → run → ?
For the most part, these are stretch races that have either flown under the national radar or gotten attention so late that national Democrats with big checkbooks have not sent the resources that could make a difference.
uncertain
that → fly → difference
They’re also races where I see reasons for Democrats to be optimistic—not total fantasies.
asserted
Democrats → ’re → reasons
Let’s get to the list.
asserted
’s → let → list
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asserted
Join → join → post
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asserted
subscription → get → Podcast
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asserted
who → help → membership
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