An exclusive poll for Global News shows the BC Conservatives are gaining support in the election race.
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Conservatives → show → race
The Ipsos poll shows that support for the BC Conservatives is at 42 per cent, up seven points, while the BC NDP support is at 40 per cent, which is down five points.
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which → show → cent
The poll found that there is a “significantly altered political landscape” following the resignation of BC Conservative Kerry-Lynne Findlay and interim leader Lorne Doerkson stepping into the role.
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Doerkson → find → role
The poll also shows a decline in NDP Leader David Eby’s personal impression ratings, making the BC NDP’s decision to call an early election looking risky.
“We did a poll just two weeks ago that was pretty shocking,” Kyle Braid, senior vice president of Ipsos, told Global News.
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Braid → show → News
“Some terrible numbers for the BC Conservatives showed them in decline and disarray and the NDP looking like they were headed to an easy majority government if they called an election.
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they → show → election
Things have changed since then.
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Things → change → ?
The Conservative leader left.
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leader → leave → ?
We have a new landscape and we’re entering an election and it would be very interesting to see how the numbers have changed and whether this was actually a good election call for David Eby and the NDP.”
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this → have → Eby
The poll shows that the NDP’s lead from two weeks ago has vanished with 42 per cent of those polled saying they now support the BC Conservatives, which puts them two points ahead of a statistical tie of the BC NDP at 40 per cent.
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which → show → cent
The BC Conservatives have gained seven points from the poll that was conducted on from Sept. 8 to 14, while the BC NDP have lost five points.
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NDP → gain → points
“It’s hard to imagine a worse start to a campaign for the NDP than what we see here,” Braid added.
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Braid → ’ → what
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“They’ve gone from a 10-point lead in our polling just two weeks ago to a two-point deficit to the Conservatives.
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They → get → Conservatives
David Eby’s personal favorability numbers have declined.
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numbers → decline → ?
We’ve got fewer people this election than last election saying the NDP deserves to be re-elected and they barely won the last election.
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they → get → election
And add to that, they say it’s an election about U.S. trade and tariffs.
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it → add → trade
It’s an issue that barely registers with voters and in fact has declined as an issue since the start of the campaign.
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that → ’ → campaign
“Top issues for British Columbians are exactly the same as they were last election, as they were just a few weeks ago,” Braid added.
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Braid → add → Columbians
The things that the parties have been talking about, issues like property rights and DRIPA on one side, U.S. trade and tariffs on the other side, are not top priority issues for voters.
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parties → talk → voters
The poll shows that the BC Greens have a 10 per cent show of support, followed by OneBC at three per cent, CentreBC at three per cent and other parties at two per cent.
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Greens → show → cent
These results exclude the 27 per cent of British Columbians who are undecided or express no preference.
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who → exclude → preference
The poll found that half of British Columbians say they disapprove of having an election now, while 32 per cent approve of the decision.
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cent → find → decision
Ipsos said that this is on par with the 46 per cent disapproval when John Horgan and the NDP called an early election during COVID in September 2020.
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Horgan → say → September
Disapproval is also much higher among older British Columbians (59 per cent among 55+ years) than among younger British Columbians (36 per cent among 18 to 34 years).
“What we do see is the premier’s own favorability numbers have declined, his unfavorable impressions have gone up seven points in the last two weeks, and what has he done other than call an election?” Braid added.
“So there is a backlash.
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Braid → see → election
It may just be for him personally and may not be for the party, but it’s not a great first set of numbers on the campaign.”
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it → ’ → campaign
These are the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted Sept. 25 to 29, 2026.
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These → conduct → 2026
For this survey, a sample of 1,001 adult British Columbians were surveyed online with sample sourced through the Ipsos panel.
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sample → survey → panel
Data was weighted by B.C. region, age, gender and education, in accordance with census proportions.
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Data → weight → proportions
The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval.
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precision → measure → interval
All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.
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surveys → include → error
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