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ASX eyes gains after wild night on markets; Oil prices climb

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Cite

Choe, S. (2026, October 1). ASX eyes gains after wild night on markets; Oil prices climb. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/asx-eyes-gains-after-wild-night-on-markets-oil-prices-climb-20261002-p6127t.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-01 · by Stan Choe

Quick Summary

Global markets experienced volatility due to fluctuations in bond yields, with stock indexes dropping sharply in Europe but recovering slightly on Wall Street by mid-afternoon trade. In Australia, the ASX futures pointed towards a 0.5% rise after losing 2% on Thursday. Oil prices climbed 4.3%, reaching $102.24 per barrel for Brent crude, exacerbating inflation concerns amid ongoing uncertainty about the Iran war's impact on oil supply stability.
Written by AI on 2026-10-01, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On November morning, global financial markets saw significant volatility with bond yields rising due to concerns over high inflation and oil prices. The Australian stock market, as indicated by futures trading at 5:01 AM AEST, is expected to open higher by about 40 points or 0.5% after a previous loss of 2%. In Europe, major indexes fell more sharply, with declines in London (-1.7%), Paris (-1.6%), and Frankfurt (-1%). Oil prices increased by around 5%, reaching $103 US dollars per barrel, following a Wall Street Journal report about additional U.S. military deployments to the Middle East amid tensions with Iran. The Australian dollar held steady at 69.24 US cents, while bond yields in both the U.S. and Australia remained near multi-decade highs at 5.24% and 5.4%, respectively.

Written for “Market Trends ASX Opening” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Market Trends ASX Opening
Economy/Business · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 6% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 2 of 29 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles describe different trading days and market conditions for the ASX, indicating separate events.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 4 of 39 claims Outlet record 61/100
“The articles describe different market conditions and time periods for the ASX, with Article A referring to a flat start before the RBA's rate decision on Tuesday, while Article B discusses potential gains after a wild night in markets.”
Global News
Hedges 1 of 29 claims Outlet record 63/100
“The articles describe market movements on different days and in different markets (U.S. vs Australian), indicating they cover distinct events.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 0 of 8 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different days of market activity with distinct dates and outcomes.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 3 of 24 claims Outlet record 68/100
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 0 of 12 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different dates and market conditions, indicating separate events.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 0 of 9 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different days and market conditions, indicating separate events.”
ABC News (AU)
Hedges 4 of 34 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different days and market conditions, with Article A referring to the day of and immediately after a RBA rate hike, while Article B discusses a later date with ASX futures pointing to gains.”
NBC News
Hedges 2 of 26 claims Outlet record 60/100
“The articles describe market movements and economic indicators over different days with distinct outcomes, not a single specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
34
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
6%
2 of 34 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-01 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 5927 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Stan Choe
22 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to jump, with futures pointing to a rise of 70 points, or 0.8 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to dip, with futures pointing to a slide of 4 points at the open.
🔮 The report underscored worries about whether all its huge investments in artificial-intelligence technology will pay off.
🔮 Wall Street is steady after the Federal Reserve announced it will keep interest rates on hold.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to edge up, with futures pointing to a rise of 11 points, or 0.1 per cent, at the open.
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to advance, with futures at 4.57am AEDT pointing to a rise of 34 points, or 0.4 per cent, at the open.,
2026-10-20 · assertive framing · ASX set to climb as Wall Street rises; $A over US70c
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to advance, with futures at 4.57am AEDT pointing to a rise of 34 points, or 0.4 per cent, at the open.,
2026-10-20 · assertive framing · ASX set to climb as Wal Street rises; $A over US70c
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to retreat, with futures at 5.01am AEDT pointing to a loss of 74 points or 0.8 per cent, at the open.
2026-10-19 · assertive framing · ASX set to fall, AI stocks rebound on Wall Street
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to retreat, with futures pointing to a fall of 40 points, or 0.5 per cent, at the open.
2026-10-13 · assertive framing · ASX set to slide as Wall Street slips
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set for gains after a positive session on Wall Street, while eyes will be on oil markets this morning after developments over the weekend.
Also by Stan Choe
Fed keeps rates on hold; ASX set to rise, Wall Street steady
2026-10-28 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 22 articles by Stan Choe →

Topics

Australian Iran London Nasdaq Paris

Subjects

Australian NORP · 2× Iran GPE · 2× Micron ORG · 2× Frankfurt GPE · 1× French NORP · 1× London GPE · 1× Nasdaq ORG · 1× Paris GPE · 1× US Treasury ORG · 1× the Institute for Supply Management ORG · 1×

Narrative

Yields are on the rise for a range of reasons, including worries about high inflation and oil prices, signals that the US economy remains solid and governments’ insistence to continue to spend much more money than they bring in.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-01
🔮 The Australian sharemarket is set to climb, with futures at 5.01am AEST pointing to a rise of 40 points or 0.5 per cent, at the open.
2026-10-01 · The Sydney Morning Herald
ASX eyes gains after wild night on markets; Oil prices climb · assertive framing

Claims (34 extracted, 2 hedged)

More swings in the bond market are rattling stock markets around the world. asserted
swings → rattle → world
On Wall Street, the moves were relatively modest after US bond yields cranked higher but then gave back the gains later in the day. asserted
yields → crank → day
The S&P 500 rose 0.3 per cent and was on track to break a three-day losing streak. asserted
S&P → rise → streak
The Australian sharemarket is set to climb, with futures at 5.01am AEST pointing to a rise of 40 points or 0.5 per cent, at the open. asserted
sharemarket → set → open
The ASX lost 2 per cent on Thursday. asserted
ASX → lose → Thursday
The Australian dollar was trading at US69.24¢. The moves were more dramatic in Europe, where stock indexes tumbled 1.7 per cent in London, 1.6 per cent in Paris and 1 per cent in Frankfurt. asserted
indexes → trade → Frankfurt
They were hurt by sharp moves for bond yields on that side of the Atlantic. asserted
They → hurt → Atlantic
The yield on the 10-year French government bond, for example, shot to nearly 4.95 per cent and then veered toward 4.80 per cent and back up to 4.90 per cent. asserted
yield → shoot → cent
That is a punishing swing for the bond market, where moves get measured in hundredths of a percentage point. asserted
moves → punish → point
High yields slow the economy by making it more expensive for everyone to borrow money, while undercutting prices for stocks and other investments. asserted
everyone → slow → stocks
Yields are on the rise for a range of reasons, including worries about high inflation and oil prices, signals that the US economy remains solid and governments’ insistence to continue to spend much more money than they bring in. asserted
they → include → money
Those worries don’t look to be going away anytime soon, and oil prices climbed again Thursday to keep the pressure up on inflation. asserted
prices → look → inflation
The price for a barrel of Brent crude leaped 4.3 per cent to $US102.24 for its latest yo-yo move on uncertainty about when the war with Iran will allow the global oil industry to return to normal. asserted
industry → leap → normal
Further reports also signalled the US economy is powering through its many challenges. asserted
economy → signal → challenges
Fewer US workers applied for unemployment benefits last week, which could mean companies are laying off fewer workers. uncertain
companies → apply → workers
A separate report on Thursday said growth for US manufacturing also continued in September. asserted
growth → say → September
Potentially more concerning in that report from the Institute for Supply Management was that increases in prices accelerated, which could mean further pressure on inflation. uncertain
which → accelerate → inflation
It all sent the yield on the 10-year US Treasury briefly toward 5.34 per cent and its highest level since 2002. asserted
It → send → 2002
But the 10-year yield relented later in the day and pulled back to 5.23 per cent from 5.29 per cent late Wednesday. asserted
yield → relent → cent
That helped stocks on Wall Street recover their losses and turn higher. asserted
stocks → help → losses
Still, the 10-year yield remains much higher than it was last week, when it was below 5 per cent, and from before the war with Iran began, when it was below 4 per cent. asserted
it → remain → cent
High yields can hurt real-estate owners in particular. asserted
yields → hurt → owners
Not only do they raise the cost of borrowing, they can also make investors looking for income leave real-estate stocks and their dividends for bonds. asserted
investors → raise → bonds
BXP, which owns office buildings around the country, sank 1.6 per cent. asserted
which → own → country
Alexandria Real Estate Equities, which owns campuses for life sciences companies, fell 2.2 per cent. asserted
which → own → companies
Helping to counteract such losses were gains for stocks benefiting from the boom around artificial-intelligence technology. asserted
gains → help → technology
Optimism rose after Micron Technology delivered a stronger profit report for the latest quarter than analysts expected. asserted
analysts → rise → quarter
Micron also said growth is strengthening, and it gave forecasts for upcoming profit and revenue that topped analysts’ estimates because of the AI boom. asserted
that → say → boom
Micron’s stock rose 1.7 per cent to bring its stellar gain for the year so far to nearly 280 per cent. asserted
stock → rise → cent
Elsewhere in AI, Nvidia added 1.6 per cent and was the single strongest force lifting the S&P 500, while Applied Materials rose 3.8 per cent. asserted
Materials → add → S&P
Outside of tech, Accenture leaped 17 per cent after the consulting and services company reported stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. asserted
analysts → leap → quarter
It saw growth around the world, from the Americas to Asia. asserted
It → see → Asia
In stock markets abroad, Asian indexes did better than the rest of the world thanks to optimism around AI following Micron’s profit report. asserted
indexes → do → report
Japan’s Nikkei 225 jumped 3.3 per cent, and South Korea’s Kospi climbed 1.9 per cent. asserted
Kospi → jump → ?
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