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Fact check: Small boat crossings and viral Nato video

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Cite

Via, F. F. (2026, October 2). Fact check: Small boat crossings and viral Nato video. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/nato-liberal-democrat-government-channel-b1299324.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Evening Standard · collected 2026-10-02 · by Full Fact Via

Quick Summary

The article fact-checks claims made by Max Wilkinson, who stated that no small boats crossed the English Channel before the Brexit referendum in 2016. It reveals historical records showing that such crossings occurred as far back as 1967 and continued through 2014-2015. Additionally, the article addresses a viral social media post claiming a recent NATO video is new propaganda, clarifying that the video was originally posted in summer 2024 to commemorate NATO's 75th anniversary and has not been repurposed as new content recently.
Written by AI on 2026-10-02, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In April 2016, reports emerged that migrants were paying smugglers to cross the Channel in small boats. Border Force had been patrolling the area since at least August 2014 due to this concern. According to a 2020 report by the independent chief inspector of borders and immigration, the Home Office was aware of isolated cases before 2014/15, with nine confirmed incidents between July 2014 and May 2016 where migrants arrived in small vessels. The Liberal Democrat home affairs spokesperson claimed that no small boats had crossed the Channel before the Brexit referendum in June 2016, but this is inaccurate as evidence shows crossings occurred earlier. Official data from 2018 onwards indicates a significant increase in such crossings during the early 2020s, aligning with trends observed prior to that period. The International Organization for Migration records several drownings on the "Mainland Europe to the UK" route dating back to 2014, further corroborating earlier instances of dangerous small boat journeys.

Written for “Migration And Media Misinformation” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Migration And Media Misinformation
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 21% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A reports on a specific incident involving a capsized dinghy near Calais resulting in deaths and injuries, while Article B discusses historical context regarding small boat crossings before and after the Brexit referendum.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 17 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses the scrapping of a 'one in, one out' migrant deal between Britain and France after a year, while Article B fact-checks a claim about small boat crossings before and after Brexit.”
Al Jazeera
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 3 of 16 claims Outlet record 60/100
“Article A reports on a court sentencing for a specific deadly small-boat crossing incident, while Article B fact-checks claims about the history and prevalence of small boat crossings before and after Brexit.”
BBC News
Hedges 1 of 11 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different events: one is a fact check about small boat crossings and their history, while the other reports on a recent incident where protesters gathered as migrants were brought ashore in Gosport.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A discusses a fact-checking claim about small boat crossings, while Article B reports on a specific incident involving two deaths during a Channel crossing.”
BBC News
Hedges 3 of 16 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different events: one fact-checks a claim about small boat crossings over time, while the other reports on the seizure of boats at an airport destined for smugglers.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 0 of 22 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses small boat crossings in general, while Article B reports on a specific court case involving an Eritrean man who was jailed for piloting a small boat carrying 26 people across the Channel.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 0 of 42 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of small boat migration issues; one fact-checks claims about when such crossings began and another reports on tensions in a specific town regarding recent migrant landings.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
19
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
21%
4 of 19 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
64/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-02 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 8264 article(s) · 73 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 73 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Full Fact Via
6 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 When exactly will people stop paying gas standing charges?
2026-10-29 · assertive framing · Fact check: Four claims from the 2026 Budget speeches
🔮 The latest available estimate of the employment rate for 16-64 year olds, based on Labour Force Survey (LFS) data, is that it was 75.1% from May to July 2026.
🔮 This was the earliest version we could find online, posted to Instagram on September 20.
🔮 A 2020 report from the independent chief inspector of borders and immigration says the Home Office “was aware of isolated cases of migrants arriving in the UK clandestinely by small boats before 2014/15”, and mentions “nine confirmed incidents of migrants reaching the UK having crossed the Channel in a small vessel” between July 2014 and May 2016.
🔮 (Although the figure for 2020/21 may have been affected by the pandemic).
🔮 They estimated that of this, around 10,118 hectares (39 square miles) may have previously been arable or horticulture land.
Also by Full Fact Via
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 6 articles by Full Fact Via →

Topics

Border Force Liberal Democrat Nato The International Organisation for Migration’s the Home Office

Subjects

Nato ORG · 4× Border Force ORG · 1× Kent GPE · 1× Liberal Democrat NORP · 1× Max Wilkinson PERSON · 1× Pakistani NORP · 1× The International Organisation for Migration’s ORG · 1× the Home Affairs Committee ORG · 1× the Home Office ORG · 1× the Migration Observatory ORG · 1×

Narrative

In April 2016, it was reported that migrants were paying people smugglers to transport them across the Channel in small boats – and Border Force vessels had been patrolling the Channel for this reason since at least August 2014. The International Organisation for Migration’s missing migrants data also records several incidents of drowning on the “Mainland Europe to the UK” route in 2014, 2015 and early 2016.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-02
🔮 A 2020 report from the independent chief inspector of borders and immigration says the Home Office “was aware of isolated cases of migrants arriving in the UK clandestinely by small boats before 2014/15”, and mentions “nine confirmed incidents of migrants reaching the UK having crossed the Channel in a small vessel” between July 2014 and May 2016.
2026-10-02 · Evening Standard
Fact check: Small boat crossings and viral Nato video · mixed framing

Claims (19 extracted, 4 hedged)

Small boat crossings did not start after the Brexit referendum asserted
crossings → start → referendum
The Liberal Democrat home affairs spokesperson, Max Wilkinson, told his party conference last week: “Before the (Brexit) referendum, not a single small boat crossed the Channel.” asserted
boat → tell → Channel
The Government only publishes official data on small boat arrivals from 2018 onwards, and the number did rise substantially in the 2020s. asserted
number → publish → 2020s
But there is plenty of evidence of crossings taking place before then, and before the referendum in June 2016. asserted
crossings → be → June
A 2020 report from the independent chief inspector of borders and immigration says the Home Office “was aware of isolated cases of migrants arriving in the UK clandestinely by small boats before 2014/15”, and mentions “nine confirmed incidents of migrants reaching the UK having crossed the Channel in a small vessel” between July 2014 and May 2016. uncertain
migrants → say → July
In April 2016, it was reported that migrants were paying people smugglers to transport them across the Channel in small boats – and Border Force vessels had been patrolling the Channel for this reason since at least August 2014. The International Organisation for Migration’s missing migrants data also records several incidents of drowning on the “Mainland Europe to the UK” route in 2014, 2015 and early 2016. asserted
data → report → 2014
Indeed, the Migration Observatory has said reports of these types of Channel crossing “go back over 50 years”. asserted
reports → say → crossing
By way of example, we can see that politicians said asylum seekers had been trying to cross the Channel in rubber dinghies back in December 2001. asserted
seekers → see → December
And eight Pakistani men arrived in Sandwich Bay, Kent, in August 1967, which the home secretary at the time said was the second incident of its kind. asserted
secretary → arrive → kind
The evidence does suggest that small boat crossings became much more common after the Brexit referendum, and specifically after 2018. asserted
crossings → suggest → 2018
A report from the Home Affairs Committee says that until 2018, “irregular migration on a substantial scale focused heavily on ferry and rail routes, with only a handful crossing the Channel in small boats each year”. asserted
handful → say → boats
Full Fact contacted Mr Wilkinson for comment. asserted
Fact → contact → comment
A viral video featuring Nato soldiers is circulating online with the claim that it is “a new promotional clip” from the military alliance. uncertain
it → feature → alliance
Nato originally posted the video on its social media channels in summer 2024 to mark the alliance’s 75th anniversary. asserted
Nato → post → anniversary
The caption said the video was about “protecting our freedom, democracy and our way of life for over 75 years”. asserted
video → say → years
Several social media posts which we’ve seen sharing the video in recent days claim: “Nato just dropped this new promotional clip – to support all the other War Propaganda currently being fed for the masses, as Europe prepares for war with Russia.” uncertain
Europe → see → Russia
One of the posts, on X, has had over 1.4 million views. asserted
One → have → views
We have not found any evidence that Nato has shared the video recently. asserted
Nato → find → video
The claims come amid recent media coverage of the UK Government’s plan for a national resilience public awareness campaign to “inform the public of the small but important steps they can take to be prepared in case of emergencies and disruption”, which could arise from a range of threats including cyber attacks or severe weather events. uncertain
which → come → attacks
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