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Padres vs. Brewers NLDS prediction, best bets: Jacob Misiorowski quiets hot bats in Game 1

Read the original at New York Post ↗
Cite

Smith, M. (2026, October 3). Padres vs. Brewers NLDS prediction, best bets: Jacob Misiorowski quiets hot bats in Game 1. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/03/betting/padres-vs-brewers-prediction-mlb-playoff-odds-pick-best-bet-game-1-nlds/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

New York Post · collected 2026-10-03 · by Malik Smith

Quick Summary

Jacob Misiorowski, who is projected to start Game 1 of the NLDS between the Brewers and Padres, had an outstanding regular season leading the majors with a 1.80 ERA and 252 strikeouts. The article predicts that despite the Padres' recent hot streak, Misiorowski's dominance will shine through, suggesting he'll surpass 7.5 strikeouts in this game at odds of -140.
Written by AI on 2026-10-03, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

It appears you are interested in information regarding the MLB postseason game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Diego Padres, specifically about unusual events during Game 1 of their NLDS series. One notable incident was when Ty France hit what seemed like a potential home run that struck a cable on the roof before being caught by left fielder Jackson Chourio for an out.

From your query, it seems you are also interested in details regarding the upcoming games between these teams but with a focus on the Brewers' home ground where the series started. However, there is no information suggesting future game dates or tickets for sale from your provided text.

If you're looking to find when and if Game 2 or subsequent games will be played at the same venue (or another), or how to get tickets, I would suggest visiting MLB's official website or contacting the Milwaukee Brewers directly through their ticket office. As of now, Game 1 is completed with the Brewers winning 3-2.

For any specific future game dates and ticket information for the remainder of this series, including if it progresses beyond the NLDS round, you'll want to check updated schedules once they are released by MLB or announced by either team's management.

Written for “Brewers Vs Padres NLDS Openers” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 9 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Brewers Vs Padres NLDS Openers
Sports · 10 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 7% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Toronto Star
Hedges 3 of 39 claims Outlet record 64/100
Toronto Star
Hedges 3 of 50 claims Outlet record 64/100
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 13 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different games of the NLDS series between Padres and Brewers, not the same specific game.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 2 of 32 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different playoff series matches between the Padres and two different teams (Cubs in Wild Card Series vs. Brewers in NL Division Series).”
New York Post
Hedges 3 of 12 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different events: one about Joe Musgrove being added to the Padres' roster for a wild-card series and another making predictions for a game in the NL Division Series against the Brewers.”
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 11 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A discusses Joe Musgrove's return to the Padres' roster for their Wild Card Series nearly two years after his last game. Article B provides a prediction and analysis of the NLDS match between the Padres and Brewers, focusing on Game 1 with Jacob Misiorowski pitching.”
New York Post
Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different matchups: one focuses on the Cubs vs. Padres wild-card series and its potential impact on the Dodgers' playoff opener, while the other discusses the Brewers vs. Padres NLDS matchup.”
New York Post
Hedges 2 of 35 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles describe different games between the Padres and Cubs (wild-card series) versus Brewers (NL Division Series).”
Toronto Star
Hedges 0 of 24 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different games between the Padres and two different teams (Cubs and Brewers) on separate dates.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
15
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
7%
1 of 15 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
10
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-03 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

New York Post · 16647 article(s) · 36 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 36 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Malik Smith
86 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Malik Smith
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 86 articles by Malik Smith →

Topics

Brewers Chase Game 1 Milwaukee Padres

Subjects

Padres ORG · 7× Misiorowski PERSON · 6× Brewers ORG · 5× Milwaukee GPE · 2× NBA ORG · 2× Jacob Misiorowski PERSON · 1× San Diego GPE · 1× The Brew Crew ORG · 1× Whiff PERSON · 1× the National League ORG · 1×

Narrative

Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting - Read about the Best Baseball Betting Sites - Learn all about How to Bet on Baseball Misiorowski hasn’t thrown more than five innings since Sept. 8, so his arm should be well rested, but the Padres will be looking to jump on the Brewers’ ace. The Padres are riding high off the vibes in San Diego in their thrashing of the Cubs, but I think the shift to Milwaukee will bring their temperature down.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-03
🔮 The Padres finished with the 10th-highest Chase percentage in the league, and the last time they faced Misiorowski in May, he rung them up for 10 strikeouts.

Claims (15 extracted, 1 hedged)

The path to glory is laid out for the Brewers. asserted
path → lay → Brewers
Coming off their best season in franchise history with 103 wins, the road to the World Series in the National League goes through Milwaukee. asserted
road → come → Milwaukee
They host the red-hot Padres in Game 1 of the NL Division Series with likely NL Cy Young winner Jacob Misiorowski on the mound in his 2026 postseason debut to kick off the series. asserted
They → host → series
The Padres have been the hottest team in baseball since September, with 20 wins in their past 25 games, and they won the regular-season series with the Brewers, 4-2. asserted
they → win → Brewers
The Brew Crew is favored on the moneyline, priced at -218 odds, with the Over/Under listed at 7 total runs. asserted
Crew → favor → runs
Misiorowski was unreal this year, leading the majors in ERA (1.80), strikeouts (252) and WHIP (0.802) in just his second season. asserted
Misiorowski → lead → season
With a 4-seam fastball that averaged 100.6 mph as his go-to pitch, Misiorowski ranked in the 99th percentile in Whiff percentage and 88th percentile in Chase percentage. asserted
Misiorowski → average → percentage
The Padres finished with the 10th-highest Chase percentage in the league, and the last time they faced Misiorowski in May, he rung them up for 10 strikeouts. uncertain
he → finish → strikeouts
The Padres do look like a different team these days. asserted
Padres → look → team
They led baseball in wOBA for the last 25 games of the season and their 139 runs trailed only the Brewers for the most over that stretch. asserted
runs → lead → stretch
Learn all you need to know about MLB Betting - Read about the Best Baseball Betting Sites - Learn all about How to Bet on Baseball Misiorowski hasn’t thrown more than five innings since Sept. 8, so his arm should be well rested, but the Padres will be looking to jump on the Brewers’ ace. The Padres are riding high off the vibes in San Diego in their thrashing of the Cubs, but I think the shift to Milwaukee will bring their temperature down. asserted
shift → learn → temperature
I’ll back Misiorowski to put some Ks on the board in Game 1. asserted
Misiorowski → back → Game
The Pick: Misiorowski Over 7.5 strikeouts (-140, Caesars) Why Trust New York Post Betting Malik Smith has been immersed in the sports betting industry since 2017. asserted
Smith → trust → 2017
He’s a data nerd with a particular focus on the NBA and combat sports. asserted
He → ’ → NBA
He spends his weeknights in the winter looking for edges on plus-money NBA player props. asserted
He → spend → props
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