The Aporia · Jaguars vs. Bengals prediction: Bhayshul Tuten explodes in shootout in Cincinnati

Jaguars vs. Bengals prediction: Bhayshul Tuten explodes in shootout in Cincinnati

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APA MLA Chicago

Richter, E. (2026, October 4). Jaguars vs. Bengals prediction: Bhayshul Tuten explodes in shootout in Cincinnati. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/04/betting/jaguars-vs-bengals-prediction-nfl-week-4-player-props-picks-best-bets/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Quick Summary

The article predicts an upcoming NFL game between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Cincinnati Bengals, where despite being ranked lower by DVOA metrics, the Bengals are slight favorites due to home field advantage. The piece highlights a potential breakout performance for Jaguars running back Bhayshul Tuten in what is expected to be a high-scoring shootout, recommending bets on him exceeding 54.5 rushing yards and even predicting he could surpass 120 rushing yards at long odds.

Written by AI on 2026-10-04, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

On Sunday, the Jacksonville Jaguars defeated the Cincinnati Bengals in an NFL matchup by a score of 22-17. Joe Burrow passed for 428 yards, but the loss was compounded when All-Pro wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase suffered a concussion early in the second quarter and did not return to play. The incident occurred after Chase caught a pass, with cornerback Jarrian Jones grabbing his facemask and linebacker Ventrell Miller delivering a hard tackle, leading to a significant blow to Chase's head on the turf. With this setback, the Bengals struggled to maintain their offensive momentum despite Burrow’s efforts. This game marked Trevor Lawrence's first win over the Bengals in four attempts, further solidifying his record against Joe Burrow and extending Cincinnati's losing streak after starting the season with two wins.

Written for “Bengals vs Jaguars Matchup” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 5 other(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 14% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.

Trevor Lawrence finally gets 1st win over Bengals as Jaguars hold on for 22-17 victory Same event

Toronto Star

Hedges 0 of 24 claims Outlet record 64/100

Burrow seeks to stay unbeaten vs Lawrence as Bengals host Jaguars in matchup of 2-1 teams Same event

Toronto Star

Hedges 1 of 40 claims Outlet record 64/100

Raiders v Chiefs, Broncos v 49ers and more: NFL – live Different event

The Guardian

Hedges 0 of 9 claims Outlet record 66/100

“Article A predicts and discusses the Jaguars vs. Bengals game, while Article B reports on the final scores of multiple games including the Jaguars vs. Bengals but covers additional events.”

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted

sentences that state something as happening or true

Uncertain

14%

2 of 14 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

Leaning

not political

takes no side on a contested political question

Publisher signals

66/100

New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.

Outlets on this story

Sports

Same framing elsewhere

articles that frame the event the way this one does

Who wrote this

Erich Richter

80 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 The next best time to use the Bengals will be Week 18 against a solid Browns team.

2026-10-27 · assertive framing · NFL Week 8 Survivor picks: Strategy, analysis, model picks

🔮 I projected the Giants would move to +8 from +10 when McCarthy was announced starter, though that did not happen as John Harbaugh’s group won outright.

2026-10-26 · assertive framing · NFL Week 8 early predictions: Falcons vs. Buccaneers, Bears vs. Seahawks best bets

🔮 Mahomes gives a sort of eye-roll mixed with clear frustration after he couldn’t lead Kansas City on a touchdown drive in the marquee Week 7 game against the Super Bowl champions.

2026-10-26 · assertive framing · Cris Collinsworth has never seen Patrick Mahomes like this as Chiefs get throttled

🔮 They’re both rated pretty much even in terms of DVOA, coming in at No. 17 in DVOA (No. 11 on offense, No. 25 on defense), while the Packers are No. 18 (No. 23 on offense and No. 4 on defense). So no, Micah Parsons is not active, but that really isn’t stopping them. Had Josh Jacobs not returned for the Packers, I’d be all in on the Over, and likely would have had some bets targeting the Over on both Christian Watson and Matthew Golden’s receiving yards. I’m still bullish on them overall, but Jacobs’ return allows Green Bay the option to run the ball much more.

2026-10-25 · assertive framing · Packers vs. Lions prediction, picks: Green Bay rides rushing attack in critical Week 7 clash

🔮 NFL fans have were stuck watching the Falcons in three straight primetime games — and maybe, just maybe, there’s a reason for it.

2026-10-23 · assertive framing · Mike Florio floats wild NFL conspiracy theory about bizarre primetime schedule quirk

🔮 As he is set for free agency, everyone is guessing who will take Aikman’s place, with many adding that Greg Olson could head to ESPN after being demoted to Fox’s No. 2 booth and some are even projecting that current NFL coaches will leave their respective positions to sit next to Buck.

2026-10-22 · assertive framing · JJ Watt lands long-term CBS deal after replacing Tony Romo following OWI arrest

🔮 Aikman is set to be a free agent at the end of this season and appears poised to split with the network.

2026-10-20 · assertive framing · Mike Wilbon calls out ESPN on network: ‘Nobody calls a game better than Troy Aikman’

🔮 Game 6 of the ALCS heads back to St. Petersburg on Monday where the home team Rays will send prized trade deadline acquisition Freddy Peralta to the mound.

2026-10-19 · assertive framing · Guardians vs. Rays prediction: ALCS Game 6 odds, picks, best bets

🔮 As a result of the multiple blood clots that have been found in his lungs, Hurts will be out till mid-January as he requires more significant care than previously known.

2026-10-19 · assertive framing · Jalen Hurts lost for the season as blood clots worse than Eagles feared

🔮 This is one of those few times when I have actually been “waiting all day for Sunday night,” as Carrie Underwood would put it.

2026-10-18 · assertive framing · Cowboys vs. Packers prediction: Why we’re betting on a historic shootout on ‘Sunday Night Football’

Also by Erich Richter

NFL Week 8 Survivor picks: Strategy, analysis, model picks

2026-10-27 · New York Post

NFL Week 8 early predictions: Falcons vs. Buccaneers, Bears vs. Seahawks best bets

2026-10-26 · New York Post

Cris Collinsworth has never seen Patrick Mahomes like this as Chiefs get throttled

2026-10-26 · New York Post

Packers vs. Lions prediction, picks: Green Bay rides rushing attack in critical Week 7 clash

2026-10-25 · New York Post

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 80 articles by Erich Richter →

Claims (14 extracted, 2 hedged)

One of the best games on Sunday’s slate: the No. 2 team in total DVOA heads to Cincinnati to face the No. 7 team in total DVOA. asserted

team → head → DVOA

Perhaps surprisingly, the better team by DVOA is the underdog, as Jacksonville has opened as three-point underdogs and sat at that number throughout the week. asserted

Jacksonville → open → week

Cincinnati has shown legitimate defensive improvement with the trade of Dexter Lawrence and a new linebacking core. asserted

Cincinnati → show → Lawrence

But the Jaguars are very well-rounded: No. 2 in overall DVOA, No. 6 in offensive DVOA, and No. 2 in defensive DVOA. asserted

No → round → DVOA

In a quarterback matchup between Trevor Lawrence and Joe Burrow, this game has every bit of intrigue going into Sunday. asserted

game → have → Sunday

Even on the road, I think the Jaguars should be a pick ‘em here, so give me the field goal against the spread. asserted

Jaguars → think → spread

My model even has the Jaguars as slight favorites, 24.96 to 24.20. asserted

model → have → favorites

As for a player prop, Bhayushul Tuten has been the story of the Jaguars week with coach Liam Coen constantly gushing over their star running back. asserted

Coen → gush → back

In a game that I expect could feature tons of points, back Tuten to be unleashed this weekend by a high-profile offense. uncertain

Tuten → expect → offense

Back Tuten to go over his rushing total of 54.5, and he could even blow past it. uncertain

he → back → it

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code For my long shot bettors out there, Tuten to go over 120 rushing yards comes in at 15/1 and is one of my favorite bets of the weekend. asserted

go → read → weekend

THE PLAY: Jaguars +3 | Bhayshul Tuten over 54.5 rushing yards (-101, Prophetx) | Tuten over 119.5 rushing yards (15/1, DraftKings) Why Trust New York Post Betting Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. asserted

he → trust → betting

During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. asserted

he → showcase → market

While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022. asserted

return → bet → 2022

Jaguars vs. Bengals prediction: Bhayshul Tuten explodes in shootout in Cincinnati

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Claims (14 extracted, 2 hedged)