The Aporia · Dolphins vs. Vikings odds, picks: Brian Flores to overwhelm Malik Willis in Week 4 blowout

Dolphins vs. Vikings odds, picks: Brian Flores to overwhelm Malik Willis in Week 4 blowout

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Ehalt, M. (2026, October 4). Dolphins vs. Vikings odds, picks: Brian Flores to overwhelm Malik Willis in Week 4 blowout. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/04/betting/dolphins-vs-vikings-odds-picks-week-4-nfl-best-bets-predictions/

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Quick Summary

Sports gambling editor Matt Ehalt predicts the Minnesota Vikings will defeat the Miami Dolphins by at least 10.5 points in Week 4 of the NFL season. The article emphasizes that the Dolphins have underperformed this year, especially after losing key player De’Von Achane for the season. Ehalt argues that the Dolphins' lack of offensive talent and Brian Flores’s aggressive defensive tactics against Malik Willis make it likely for Minnesota to win comfortably, maintaining their undefeated status while Miami continues to struggle.

Written by AI on 2026-10-04, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In Week 4 of NFL action, the Minnesota Vikings stayed undefeated with a close 15-10 victory over the struggling Miami Dolphins, maintaining their flawless record at 4-0. The Vikings' defense dominated, keeping Miami scoreless in every quarter except for the first. Dolphins quarterback Malik Willis struggled to connect with receivers against Minnesota’s blitzing strategy, and the team's offense managed only 85 passing yards, its lowest output since 2010.

T.J. Hockenson sealed the win by securing a critical third-down reception that allowed the Vikings to kneel out the clock, despite missing an opportunity for a touchdown when he slid short of the goal line. The result was somewhat bittersweet for bettors as Miami covered the 10.5-point spread, surprising those who had heavily favored Minnesota given the Dolphins' 0-4 record and league-worst scoring statistics entering the game.

This win further solidified Minnesota’s position atop the NFL standings, while Miami continues to face a difficult road ahead with star running back De’Von Achane lost for the season due to injury.

Written for “Dolphins Vs Vikings Game Highlights” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 4 other(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.

Unbeaten Vikings keep Dolphins winless with dominant defense, Reichard's kicks, Hockenson's catches Same event

Toronto Star

Hedges 1 of 28 claims Outlet record 64/100

A slide at the 1 flips Vikings bettors’ fate as Dolphins cover in 15-10 loss Same event

Toronto Star

Hedges 1 of 14 claims Outlet record 64/100

Unbeaten, defense-led Vikings head south to face the struggling Saints and QB Tyler Shough Different event

Toronto Star

Hedges 2 of 42 claims Outlet record 64/100

“The articles describe different NFL teams and scenarios involving distinct matchups between teams.”

Polymarket promo code NYPMAX1: Deposit $10, get $25 for Dolphins vs. Vikings Different event

New York Post

Hedges 0 of 15 claims Outlet record 66/100

“The articles discuss different aspects of the Dolphins vs. Vikings game, with Article A focusing on predictions and odds while Article B offers a promotional code for trading bonuses.”

Slow offensive start for the Miami Dolphins continues as the growing pains persist Different event

Toronto Star

Hedges 0 of 38 claims Outlet record 64/100

“The articles describe different stages of the Dolphins' season and focus on distinct aspects, with Article A predicting a future match outcome and Article B reporting on a recent loss.”

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted

sentences that state something as happening or true

Uncertain

0 of 14 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")

Leaning

not political

takes no side on a contested political question

Publisher signals

66/100

New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.

Outlets on this story

Sports

Same framing elsewhere

articles that frame the event the way this one does

Who wrote this

Matt Ehalt

50 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 Wisconsin police have released bodycam footage from Packers star Josh Jacobs’ May arrest on multiple charges of domestic abuse, strangulation and suffocation and intimidation of a victim.

2026-10-31 · mixed framing · Josh Jacobs’ arrest seen in new bodycam video as more disturbing abuse allegations emerge

🔮 At least three women contacted the Hobart-Lawrence Police Department in Wisconsin alleging physical abuse from Packers running back Josh Jacobs following the May 23 incident with his then-girlfriend that led to his arrest three days later, according to a redacted report from the department.

2026-10-31 · mixed framing · Multiple women accuse Josh Jacobs of abuse following May arrest: ‘I should kill you right now’

🔮 That Murphy said that team was “playing for yourself” is certainly an interesting wrinkle, especially since he would not have first-hand knowledge, and his comments in totality add to the notion that some in baseball do not view the Yankees in the highest standing.

2026-10-29 · assertive framing · Brewers manager uses World celebration to shade ‘horses—t’ Yankees to star player

🔮 The 2004 ALCS swung on a stolen base in Game 4 and if the Rays are going to join that Red Sox team in MLB history, perhaps it will be a caught stealing that swings the series.

2026-10-28 · assertive framing · Controversial overturned call helped keep Rays alive in World Series

🔮 “Daniel was part of the Port Adelaide football family, and he always will be, Port Adelaide chief executive Matthew Richardson said in a statement. “A sudden passing like this is devastating and our thoughts are with everyone who loved him, and with the teammates, coaches and staff who shared the journey with him here at Alberton.

2026-10-24 · mixed framing · Ex-AFL star Daniel Stewart dead at 37 following ‘unexpected medical episode’

🔮 The center certainly could enjoy the night and the interactions after he secured the upper hand, at least for one night, after he helped drop his former team to 0-2.

2026-10-24 · assertive framing · Mitchell Robinson posts bizarre fan interaction after beating Knicks in first game after exit

🔮 Malik Muhammad may want to use a sick day when the Bears have their video review of Thursday’s win over the Patriots.

2026-10-23 · assertive framing · Bears’ Malik Muhammad called out for shockingly running away during touchdown debacle: ‘Get this deleted’

🔮 I’m excited for this next chapter and the future memories that will come with that.”

2026-10-22 · assertive framing · Brady Tkachuk booed viciously by Senators fans in return after forcing trade

🔮 The NFL ruled that the Eagles handled Jalen Hurts’ developing medical situation involving blood clots “appropriately” that ended his season and will not punish the team, according to The Athletic.

2026-10-20 · assertive framing · NFL makes decision on Eagles after reviewing Jalen Hurts blood clot saga

🔮 The Mets acquired him hoping he could replicate that success, but he instead allowed more hits than innings pitched and saw his strikeouts per nine innings dip from 11.1 in 2025 to 8.9 with the team.

2026-10-20 · assertive framing · How the Rays fixed Freddy Peralta after Mets mess: ‘Everything changed’

Also by Matt Ehalt

Josh Jacobs’ arrest seen in new bodycam video as more disturbing abuse allegations emerge

2026-10-31 · New York Post

Multiple women accuse Josh Jacobs of abuse following May arrest: ‘I should kill you right now’

2026-10-31 · New York Post

Brewers manager uses World celebration to shade ‘horses—t’ Yankees to star player

2026-10-29 · New York Post

Controversial overturned call helped keep Rays alive in World Series

2026-10-28 · New York Post

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 50 articles by Matt Ehalt →

Claims (14 extracted, 0 hedged)

MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-10.5) over Miami Dolphins Get ready to hear these words come April 29: “With the first pick in the 2027 NFL Draft, the Miami Dolphins select…” asserted

Dolphins → hear → Draft

The Dolphins are a miserable excuse for a football team, and things are not going to get any easier now that do-it-all running back De’Von Achane is lost for the season with an ACL tear. asserted

Achane → go → tear

Miami will be the team you pick against each week in your Survivor Pool and for good reason. asserted

you → pick → reason

This team lacks talent on both sides, and Miami’s front office is clearly looking ahead to the 2027 season. asserted

office → lack → season

Now, we normally don’t like laying double-digit points since the NFL can be so wonky. asserted

NFL → like → points

We’ve seen some crazy upsets this year. asserted

We → see → upsets

We’re willing to do this week, though, since Miami has lost each game this year by at least 14 points and now faces a blitz-heavy Minnesota team that is firing on all cylinders defensively. asserted

that → ’re → cylinders

Brian Flores is going to blitz, blitz, blitz Malik Willis all game long, and Miami does not have the receivers that can exploit Minnesota’s secondary. asserted

that → go → secondary

Without Achane as the lead back and a dump-off option, there will be even fewer ways for the Dolphins to move the ball. asserted

Dolphins → move → ball

Minnesota does give some reason for concern with Kyle Murray looking terrible last week against a Tampa Bay defense, but Miami has allowed an average of 28.67 points per game, the fifth-worst mark in the sport. asserted

Miami → give → sport

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Miami also is the only team in the sport without a sack, so at least the Giants’ pricey defensive line can know there is another unit (somehow) playing worse than them. asserted

line → read → them

All the elements are there for a Minnesota blowout win that keeps them undefeated and extends Miami’s misery. asserted

that → keep → misery

2026 record: 1-2 Last week: Texans (L) Why Trust New York Post Betting Matt Ehalt has been picking against the spread since his childhood days when he entered his father’s newspaper pool and even took the top prize on more than one occasion. asserted

he → trust → occasion

He specializes in NFL wagers and is quite successful with NCAA brackets. asserted

He → specialize → brackets

Dolphins vs. Vikings odds, picks: Brian Flores to overwhelm Malik Willis in Week 4 blowout

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Claims (14 extracted, 0 hedged)