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Should we just stop breathing? Spanberger’s backdoor carbon tax

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Follett, A. (2026, October 5). Should we just stop breathing? Spanberger’s backdoor carbon tax. Washington Examiner. https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/op-eds/4752422/virginia-rggi-carbon-tax-power-bills/

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Washington Examiner · collected 2026-10-05 · by Andrew Follett

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Story summary

Abigail Spanberger, Virginia's current governor, reintroduced the state into the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) in recent months after former Governor Glenn Youngkin had withdrawn it in 2023. RGGI is a program that caps and gradually reduces carbon dioxide emissions by auctioning off allowances for companies to emit carbon; critics argue this creates an artificial market with unpredictable costs.

According to Republican Senator Glen Sturtevant, the cost of these carbon permits has quadrupled from $9.30 per ton in 2018 to $37.65 today, raising concerns about future price volatility and its impact on businesses and consumers in Virginia. The program aims for a 30% reduction in emissions by 2030 compared to 2020 levels through an annual cap decrease of 840,000 tons. This tightening supply drives up the cost of carbon allowances over time, making it challenging for industries dependent on emission-heavy activities to predict their financial burdens.

Written for “Carbon Tax Debate” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

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📰 Carbon Tax Debate
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

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This article reads unscored and hedges 3% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Washington Examiner
Hedges 1 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss Governor Spanberger's actions regarding the RGGI, Article A focuses on the immediate impact and economic concerns of rejoining RGGI, while Article B discusses her campaign promises versus actual policies. They describe related events but not the same specific incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted
30
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
3%
1 of 30 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
69/100
Washington Examiner's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
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Washington Examiner · 4049 article(s) · 8 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 8 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Andrew Follett
1 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Gov. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA) forced Virginia back into the secretive Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, a backdoor carbon tax that sells off legal permission to emit carbon dioxide and will spike the price of everything.
The only article under this byline in the corpus.

Topics

RGGI Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative Republican Virginia Virginians

Subjects

Virginia GPE · 7× RGGI ORG · 5× Spanberger PERSON · 5× Virginians NORP · 4× Washington GPE · 2× Abigail Spanberger PERSON · 1× Glen Sturtevant PERSON · 1× Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative ORG · 1× Republican NORP · 1× The Washington Examiner ORG · 1×

Narrative

RGGI is essentially a nonfungible token for anyone who emits carbon, or was until former Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin withdrew the state from RGGI in 2023. RGGI is naturally set up to sell fewer permits each year, with an intended 30% reduction from 2020 levels by 2030, as the cap will shrink by 840,000 tons per year.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-05
🔮 Gov. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA) forced Virginia back into the secretive Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, a backdoor carbon tax that sells off legal permission to emit carbon dioxide and will spike the price of everything.
2026-10-05 · Washington Examiner
Should we just stop breathing? Spanberger’s backdoor carbon tax · assertive framing

Claims (30 extracted, 1 hedged)

Gov. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA) forced Virginia back into the secretive Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, a backdoor carbon tax that sells off legal permission to emit carbon dioxide and will spike the price of everything. asserted
that → force → everything
Virginia recently rejoined the RGGI allowance auction tax program, an especially nasty carbon tax, as the fluctuating nature of this artificial market is inherently unpredictable and thus awful for business. asserted
nature → rejoin → business
Today it’s $37.65,” Glen Sturtevant, a Republican Virginia Senator told The Washington Examiner. asserted
Sturtevant → ’ → Examiner
And there is no guarantee it stops there. asserted
it → be → ?
This is exactly why the government should not be imposing an unpredictable carbon cost on the electricity Virginians depend on. asserted
Virginians → impose → electricity
RGGI is essentially a nonfungible token for anyone who emits carbon, or was until former Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin withdrew the state from RGGI in 2023. RGGI is naturally set up to sell fewer permits each year, with an intended 30% reduction from 2020 levels by 2030, as the cap will shrink by 840,000 tons per year. asserted
cap → emit → year
Since the supply of legal permission to emit will shrink, the price will only rise. asserted
price → emit → permission
Much like a minimum wage hike, basic economics teaches us that such costs get passed on to the consumer. asserted
costs → teach → consumer
When Virginia complied with RGGI between 2021 and 2023, it only reduced emissions by 2,984,325 tons annually, according to the absurdly optimistic figures of the Virginia Department of Environmental Quality. uncertain
it → comply → Quality
To put that number into perspective, since the average human breathes out about 2.3 pounds of CO2 on an average day, Virginians exhale 3,729,978 tons a year. asserted
Virginians → put → tons
A basic calculation shows that Virginians will soon be paying $140.4 million dollars a year in carbon taxes at current RGGI prices. asserted
Virginians → show → prices
Perhaps Spanberger thinks everyone in the state simply should take a year off exhaling? asserted
everyone → think → year
That’s just a portion of the $1.2 billion in costs being passed along directly to Virginia taxpayers. asserted
That → ’ → taxpayers
The average Virginian should expect to pay about $13 per month more. asserted
Virginian → expect → more
Those charges stack on top of other increases in Old Dominion power bills already hitting consumers. asserted
charges → stack → consumers
Dominion’s other 2026 rate adjustment alone was estimated at about $11 more per month for a typical residential customer. asserted
adjustment → estimate → customer
Even Spanberger’s own party finds her power price policy objectionable. asserted
policy → find → ?
Conflict between Spanberger and Democratic Senate Finance Chairwoman Louise Lucas nearly shut down the state government over a related inflated electricity price issue that some blame on data centers. asserted
some → shut → centers
She should be blaming RGGI. asserted
She → blame → RGGI
Reentering RGGIS is quite the contrast from Spanberger’s campaign pledges, which focused on making Virginia more affordable. asserted
Virginia → reentere → pledges
Taxpayers are being forced back into a failed program and policy that raises costs to households. asserted
that → force → households
Thirteen deep-blue U.S. states — California, Oregon, Washington, Connecticut, Delaware, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, and Vermont — have some form of carbon-pricing, credit, or tax in place. asserted
states → have → place
Pennsylvania’s participation in RGGI was blocked by the Commonwealth Court in 2023. asserted
participation → block → 2023
Carbon taxes are all pain with no gain as they devastate the economy and have a literally undetectable effect on slowing global warming. asserted
they → devastate → warming
They also disproportionately harm the poor. asserted
They → harm → poor
A study by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that a carbon tax would double the tax burden of the poorest households. asserted
tax → find → households
By tying herself so closely to this deeply unpopular policy, Spanberger is favoring a far-left extremist environmentalist fringe over everyday Virginians. asserted
Spanberger → tie → Virginians
All that’s left is for her political opponents to draw attention to the error. asserted
opponents → leave → error
Andrew Follett conducts research analysis for a nonprofit organization in the Washington, D.C., area. asserted
Follett → conduct → area
He previously worked as a space and science reporter for the Daily Caller News Foundation. asserted
He → work → Foundation
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