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One Nation surges past Anthony Albanese in fresh polling as Labor vote drops to lowest level

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Powell, C. (2026, October 5). One Nation surges past Anthony Albanese in fresh polling as Labor vote drops to lowest level. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16185329/one-nation-labor-poll-albanese-ratings-hanson-voters-economy.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-05 · by Caitlin Powell

Quick Summary

A recent poll by RedBridge Group and Accent Research for the Australian Financial Review shows Pauline Hanson's One Nation party overtaking Labor on primary votes, with 29% compared to Labor’s 28%. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s approval ratings have hit a low of -27%, marking his lowest favorability since becoming prime minister. Despite this, when preferences are allocated, Labor remains ahead of One Nation, 52% to 48%. The poll highlights voter concerns about economic management and declining trust in Treasurer Jim Chalmers.
Written by AI on 2026-10-05, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In recent polling by RedBridge Group and Accent Research for the Australian Financial Review, Pauline Hanson's One Nation surged ahead of Labor, with 29% of primary votes compared to Labor’s 28%. This marks the sixth lead change in six months. The poll also showed that Anthony Albanese's approval rating dropped 10 points to a net favorability of -27%, the lowest since he became Prime Minister, matching former Opposition Leader Peter Dutton’s rating before the 2025 federal election. Despite this, Albanese remains the preferred Prime Minister by just a smaller margin, with a preference rate of 31%, while Hanson's rating rose to 26% and Angus Taylor remained at 15%. The Treasurer Jim Chalmers also saw his favorability ratings decline significantly, falling nine points in a month to minus 23%.

Written for “Australian Election Polling” on 2026-11-02, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Australian Election Polling
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 17% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 6 of 42 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of political polling and support for parties in Australia but do not describe the same specific election incident.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 19 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A describes Pauline Hanson's campaign launch event with a police presence and protesters, while Article B discusses polling results showing One Nation surpassing Labor in popularity.”
The Sydney Morning Herald
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 1 of 31 claims Outlet record 61/100
“Article A describes a campaign launch event with a specific candidate's statement, while Article B reports on polling data and approval ratings.”
ABC News (AU)
⚖️ Leans strongly right Hedges 0 of 35 claims Outlet record 68/100
“The articles describe different aspects of One Nation's political activities: a campaign launch in Victoria with policy announcements versus polling results comparing One Nation to Labor nationally.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 20 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses One Nation moving into a new office space, while Article B reports on polling data showing One Nation surpassing Labor in voter support.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 18 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe polling data with different primary vote percentages and are conducted for different purposes.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 17 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles report on different polls and changes in support for political parties over time, but do not describe the same specific polling incident or moment.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
24
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
17%
4 of 24 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-05 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 8805 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Caitlin Powell
45 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Caitlin Powell
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 45 articles by Caitlin Powell →

Topics

AFR Accent Research Labor One Nation RedBridge Group

Subjects

Labor ORG · 10× One Nation ORG · 5× Albanese PERSON · 4× Jim Chalmers PERSON · 3× AFR ORG · 2× Anthony Albanese's PERSON · 2× Coalition ORG · 2× Greens ORG · 2× Hanson PERSON · 2× Pauline Hanson's PERSON · 1×

Narrative

The poll also showed deteriorating voter sentiment towards Treasurer Jim Chalmers whose net favourability rating fell nine points in a month to minus 23 per cent 'No, Jim Chalmers is doing an extraordinary job in very difficult global circumstances,' he told the AFR.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-05
🔮 Anthony Albanese's approval ratings have fallen sharply in new polling data One Nation moved ahead of Labor on 29 per cent of the primary vote compared with Labor's 28 per cent, according to a new poll When the 1,000 respondents were asked how they would direct their preference on a two-party basis, Labor was in front of One Nation 52 per cent to 48, no different to September.

Claims (24 extracted, 4 hedged)

Pauline Hanson's One Nation has pulled ahead of Labor in fresh polling data while Anthony Albanese's approval ratings have dropped to a significant low. asserted
ratings → pull → low
One Nation moved ahead of Labor on 29 per cent of the primary vote compared with Labor's 28 per cent, according to a RedBridge Group and Accent Research poll for the Australian Financial Review. uncertain
Nation → move → Review
The data, published on Sunday, marks the sixth lead change in as many months and comes as the Prime Minister's net favourability rating has fallen sharply. asserted
rating → publish → months
The metric, which is Albanese's favourability rating minus unfavourability, decreased by 10 points over one month to -27 per cent. asserted
which → decrease → cent
It is the lowest rating of Albanese's prime ministership and matches the figure recorded by former Opposition Leader Peter Dutton on the eve of the 2025 federal election. asserted
It → match → election
Nonetheless, Albanese remains the preferred Prime Minister, just by a smaller margin. asserted
Albanese → remain → margin
While the preference for him remained 31 per cent, Hanson's rating increased to 26 per cent in the latest data. asserted
rating → remain → data
Opposition Leader Angus Taylor remained at 15 per cent. asserted
Taylor → remain → cent
After a change in Greens leadership last week after Larissa Waters resigned due to ill health, the party fell one point to 11 per cent. asserted
party → resign → cent
Anthony Albanese's approval ratings have fallen sharply in new polling data One Nation moved ahead of Labor on 29 per cent of the primary vote compared with Labor's 28 per cent, according to a new poll When the 1,000 respondents were asked how they would direct their preference on a two-party basis, Labor was in front of One Nation 52 per cent to 48, no different to September. uncertain
Labor → fall → September
But RedBridge director Tony Barry said the broader data suggested Albanese and his government continued to face significant political challenges. ' uncertain
Albanese → say → challenges
Labor's vote share is back to its lowest recorded level,' he told the AFR. asserted
he → record → AFR
'The current political challenge for Labor is that the cash register never lies and voters will rarely reward a government when they are feeling poorer.' asserted
they → lie → government
The poll also showed deteriorating voter sentiment towards Treasurer Jim Chalmers. His net favourability rating fell nine points in a month to its worst level in the poll's history, dropping to minus 23 per cent. asserted
rating → show → cent
Taylor's net rating also fell three points to -6 per cent while Hanson's increased by two points to -10 per cent. asserted
Hanson → fall → cent
Chalmers was defended by Cabinet Secretary Andrew Charlton, who insisted the Treasurer would not be replaced in a reshuffle. asserted
Treasurer → defend → reshuffle
The poll also showed deteriorating voter sentiment towards Treasurer Jim Chalmers whose net favourability rating fell nine points in a month to minus 23 per cent 'No, Jim Chalmers is doing an extraordinary job in very difficult global circumstances,' he told the AFR. asserted
he → show → AFR
According to the figures, concern about economic management as a key issue among voters increased from 14 per cent to 21 per cent in a month. uncertain
concern → accord → month
But when asked which party would be most trusted in managing the economy, Labor dropped to 20 per cent of the vote while the Coalition rose to 29 per cent. asserted
Coalition → ask → cent
One Nation took 16 per cent of the vote. asserted
Nation → take → vote
Financial issues were the dominant concern among Australian voters in the poll, with the cost of living topping the list at 73 per cent. asserted
cost → top → cent
This was followed by concerns about healthcare (36 per cent), housing affordability (33 per cent), the rate of immigration (29 per cent) and crime and public safety (24 per cent). asserted
This → follow → immigration
The more conservative parties, One Nation and the Coalition, led Labor and the Greens on all of the issues surveyed. asserted
parties → lead → issues
They led by 43 per cent to 26 per cent on cost of living, 37 per cent to 34 per cent on healthcare, 39 per cent to 26 per cent on housing, 56 per cent to 25 per cent on immigration and 44 per cent to 22 per cent on crime. asserted
They → lead → crime
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