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NFL Week 4 betting recap: Playoff odds crater for Texans, Chargers

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Svoboda, D. (2026, October 6). NFL Week 4 betting recap: Playoff odds crater for Texans, Chargers. New York Post. https://nypost.com/2026/10/06/betting/nfl-week-4-betting-recap-playoff-odds-crater-for-texans-chargers/

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New York Post · collected 2026-10-06 · by Dylan Svoboda

Quick Summary

Week 4 of the NFL season saw significant changes in betting odds, with teams like the Texans and Chargers seeing their playoff chances diminish dramatically due to poor performances. Conversely, the Jaguars and Vikings experienced surging interest, with Jacksonville now favored heavily at -250 to win the AFC South after a strong start. Additionally, rookie receiver Carnell Tate's performance has significantly boosted his standing in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race, moving from +900 odds to around +450.
Written by AI on 2026-10-06, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

In NFL Week 4, playoff odds for the Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers significantly declined due to their poor starts. The Rams moved back to the top of the Super Bowl market at +650 odds following a comeback victory over the Eagles, with the Bills closely trailing despite losing to the Patriots. San Francisco, Baltimore, Kansas City, and Seattle are next in line around +850 odds. Jacksonville's improved record has shortened their odds to 15/1 from longer odds previously, while Philadelphia dropped to 24/1 after consecutive losses. Additionally, Titans rookie receiver Carnell Tate saw his Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY) market position tighten dramatically to +450 after accumulating 145 receiving yards in Week 4, making him a serious contender for that award.

Written for “NFL Betting Odds Recap” on 2026-11-05, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

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📰 NFL Betting Odds Recap
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Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 0% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
New York Post
Hedges 1 of 23 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different weeks of the NFL season and focus on distinct aspects (betting recap for Week 4 vs. player props picks for Week 5).”
New York Post
Hedges 0 of 17 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL teams' performance and futures markets over multiple weeks, rather than focusing on a single specific incident or game.”
New York Post
Hedges 6 of 61 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different weeks of NFL betting and predictions, indicating separate events.”
Fox News
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“The articles discuss different aspects of NFL betting and do not describe the same specific incident or time frame.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

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Claims extracted
16
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
0%
0 of 16 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
66/100
New York Post's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
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New York Post · 17316 article(s) · 36 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 36 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Dylan Svoboda
68 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 He would then join the Ravens but never appear in a game for the team before heading to Chicago and playing 10 games for the Bears.
🔮 It would be the most-watched WNBA game since the league’s first season in 1997 if those numbers hold.
🔮 Caleb Williams has also entered the MVP conversation, with his odds improving to +800 as the Bears sit at 6-2.
🔮 The Chiefs, who will come to town on Sunday for a huge divisional battle, have a plus-40 point differential, even after their 20-3 loss to the Seahawks last Sunday.
🔮 The Golden State Valkyries will have a chance to win their first WNBA championship Saturday when they host the Atlanta Dream in Game 7.
🔮 The injury adds to a growing list of setbacks for the Thunder, who are already facing the possibility of losing Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace for the remainder of the season.
🔮 After a stop as the quarterbacks coach at the University of Hawaii, Jones worked his way up through the NFL ranks, becoming the head coach of Atlanta from 1994-96. “We mourn the passing of former head coach June Jones,” the Falcons wrote on X. “A visionary in the passing game, Coach Jones will be remembered with gratitude for his contributions to our organization and the lasting impact he made on those he coached and mentored.”
2026-10-29 · assertive framing · College football coaching great June Jones dead at 73
🔮 Charania added that Haliburton will miss at least “about two weeks.”
🔮 The Colts couldn’t even beat the previously winless Titans at home Sunday, blowing a 13-point halftime lead in an embarrassing 26-20 defeat that caused the franchise to make some drastic moves.
2026-10-25 · assertive framing · Colts vs. Vikings prediction: NFL Week 7 picks, odds
🔮 His status for Sunday remains uncertain, although it wouldn’t be surprising if Evans sat out with a bye looming in Week 8, and the 49ers are already dealing with several injuries at wide receiver.
2026-10-25 · assertive framing · 49ers vs. Falcons prediction: NFL Week 7 picks, odds
Also by Dylan Svoboda
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 68 articles by Dylan Svoboda →

Topics

49ers Chargers Houston NFL Super Bowl

Subjects

NFL ORG · 5× Houston GPE · 3× 49ers ORG · 2× Carnell Tate PERSON · 2× Chargers ORG · 2× Jacksonville ORG · 2× Jaguars ORG · 2× Kansas City GPE · 2× Minnesota GPE · 2× San Francisco GPE · 2×

Narrative

- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Super Bowl board reshuffles The Rams moved back to the top of the Super Bowl market after rallying past the Eagles, sitting at +650, with the Bills close behind despite their first loss of the season against the Patriots. Baltimore and San Francisco are around +850, followed by Kansas City and Seattle. The Jags have made one of the most notable jumps, shortening to 15/1 after improving to 3-1 on the season, while Philadelphia has drifted to 24/1 following back-to-back losses. Houston has dropped all the way to 45/1, and the Chargers have essentially fallen off the contender board altogether after their 0-4 start. Why Trust New York Post Betting Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-06
2026-10-06 · New York Post
NFL Week 4 betting recap: Playoff odds crater for Texans, Chargers · assertive framing

Claims (16 extracted, 0 hedged)

Week 4 brought another major reshuffling to the NFL futures market, with a few preseason contenders already in serious trouble and several new names surging up the board. asserted
names → bring → board
The Texans and Chargers saw their playoff odds crater, the Super Bowl market shifted again, and a hyped wide receiver continued his rapid climb in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race. asserted
receiver → see → race
Carnell Tate surges in OROY market Carnell Tate has been one of the biggest movers in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race through four weeks. asserted
Tate → surge → weeks
The Titans receiver entered the season as more of a secondary contender, but his odds have tightened considerably after a breakout start that included 145 receiving yards in Week 4. asserted
that → enter → Week
Tate is now sitting around +450 in the market, behind only the top tier of favorites, after opening closer to +900. asserted
Tate → sit → +900
His combination of early production and a growing role in Tennessee’s offense has quickly made him one of the most serious challengers in what had looked like a much more settled rookie race. asserted
what → grow → race
Awards markets get shaken up Josh Allen remains the MVP favorite at roughly +250, but Brock Purdy has surged into second at +400 after throwing 11 touchdowns against one interception during the 49ers’ 4-0 start. asserted
Purdy → shake → start
Patrick Mahomes sits around +650, while Trevor Lawrence has climbed into the +800 to +900 range. asserted
Lawrence → sit → range
On defense, Giants linebacker Arvell Reese has climbed to roughly +230, just behind Dolphins rookie Jacob Rodriguez at around +180. asserted
Reese → climb → +180
Jaguars, Vikings become playoff-market darlings While Houston and Los Angeles cratered, Jacksonville and Minnesota have made some of the biggest moves in the opposite direction. asserted
Jacksonville → become → direction
The Jaguars’ playoff odds have jumped from +105 in the preseason to -490 at DraftKings Sportsbook after a 3-1 start. asserted
odds → jump → start
Minnesota is right behind, moving from +154 to -290 after beginning 4-0. asserted
Minnesota → move → -290
San Francisco and Kansas City have also surged, with the 49ers moving from -146 to -1000 and the Chiefs from -205 to -900 to make the playoffs. asserted
49ers → surge → playoffs
Jacksonville is also now -250 to win the AFC South at DraftKings, after entering the season at +245, a dramatic shift with Houston sitting winless. asserted
Houston → win → +245
- Read our expert guide on how to bet on the NFL - Check out the best NFL betting sites - Get the BetMGM Bonus Code Super Bowl board reshuffles The Rams moved back to the top of the Super Bowl market after rallying past the Eagles, sitting at +650, with the Bills close behind despite their first loss of the season against the Patriots. Baltimore and San Francisco are around +850, followed by Kansas City and Seattle. The Jags have made one of the most notable jumps, shortening to 15/1 after improving to 3-1 on the season, while Philadelphia has drifted to 24/1 following back-to-back losses. Houston has dropped all the way to 45/1, and the Chargers have essentially fallen off the contender board altogether after their 0-4 start. Why Trust New York Post Betting Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. asserted
Svoboda → read → sports
He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA. asserted
He → ’ → three
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