The Aporia · German President Steinmeier targets China trip as Berlin sharpens trade stance

Dewey Sim

15 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 ExclusiveAustralian PM to visit Beijing after China-hosted Apec summit as tensions simmer Despite efforts to stabilise relations, Canberra’s ties with Beijing continue to be tested by a range of issues 2-MIN READ2-MIN Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is expected to travel to Beijing next month as Canberra seeks to deepen a relationship which stabilised after years of trade disputes but has been recently complicated by geopolitical tensions. Sources told the South China Morning Post that Albanese would first attend the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) leaders’ summit in Shenzhen, which runs from November 18 to 19, before travelling to the Chinese capital.

2026-10-30 · assertive framing · Australian PM to visit Beijing after China-hosted Apec summit as tensions simmer

🔮 Will Xi, Trump, Putin meet at Apec?

2026-10-20 · mixed framing · Will Xi, Trump, Putin meet at Apec? First, they must agree on an agenda

🔮 Tokyo is hoping for a visit by the US president that would signal the strength of the relationship between the two allies The US president spent three days in Japan ahead of last year’s Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit, and his meeting with Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi was hailed as a sign of a “new golden age” in the countries’ relationship. But since then Trump’s growing rapport with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping has caused concern in Japan, which has seen its own relationship with Beijing deteriorate sharply following controversial comments by Takaichi about Taiwan.

2026-10-16 · mixed framing · Why Japanese PM Takaichi is still keen to roll out the welcome mat for Trump

🔮 Beijing is “willing to continue” fast-tracking licenses for rare earth mineral exports to Europe, while the sides will continue negotiations on reducing tariffs and creating minimum price deals that would allow Chinese electric vehicles to enter the EU market at a lower duty rate, according to the statement.

2026-10-09 · assertive framing · China and EU reach ‘understanding’ on hybrid vehicles after crunch trade talks

🔮 ExclusiveGerman President Steinmeier targets China trip as Berlin sharpens trade stance Trip coincides with Merz’s Asia tour as Berlin and Paris advocate new EU mechanism to exclude rule-breaking trade partners It will mark the first official visit to China since 2018 for Steinmeier, a former foreign minister whose decade-long tenure as president ends in March 2027.

2026-10-08 · assertive framing · German President Steinmeier targets China trip as Berlin sharpens trade stance

🔮 Trump may also be accompanied by his wife, Melania, who has not travelled to Asia with her husband since 2020, sources say If the trip happens, Trump’s appearance at the Association of Southeast Asian Nations meeting, expected to run from November 16-18 in Manila, will be his second consecutive appearance at the gathering during this term.

2026-10-02 · mixed framing · Donald Trump is planning trip to the Philippines for Asean summit

🔮 Scott Kennedy on China’s ‘slow tech dragon’ and 2 more Xi-Trump meetings American adviser on Chinese business and economics highlights different phases of US-China relations over the past 50 years How would you characterise the outcomes of the China-US summit compared to expectations going in?

2026-09-27 · assertive framing · Scott Kennedy on China’s ‘slow tech dragon’ and 2 more Xi-Trump meetings

🔮 ExclusiveUS weighs delaying Taiwan arms sales until after Apec and G20 summits Sources say the decision is expected to be a compromise between Donald Trump, Washington’s China hawks and Taipei’s lobbyists One source said Trump was considering various options to postpone the signing of Taiwan arms sales, but the final outcome would be a “compromise between him, the China hawks and Taiwan’s lobbyists”. “President Trump has considered delaying the [Taiwan] arms sales decision till end 2028 or January 2029, that is, towards the end of his current term.

2026-09-19 · assertive framing · US weighs delaying Taiwan arms sales until after Apec and G20 summits

🔮 The call is expected to have locked down final details of Xi’s closely watched visit and expected summit with US President Donald Trump.

2026-09-17 · assertive framing · China’s Wang Yi holds phone call with Rubio days before Xi visits US

🔮 ExclusiveChina, US may unveil measures to boost military ties when Xi visits Washington Two sides have been discussing ways to improve communication channels, according to sources familiar with the talks Another item that is being discussed, and a possible deliverable, is restarting the arms-control talks that were suspended in 2024 over US weapons sales to Taiwan, with the dialogue potentially including military personnel.

2026-09-17 · mixed framing · China, US may unveil measures to boost military ties when Xi visits Washington

Also by Dewey Sim

Australian PM to visit Beijing after China-hosted Apec summit as tensions simmer

2026-10-30 · South China Morning Post

Will Xi, Trump, Putin meet at Apec? First, they must agree on an agenda

2026-10-20 · South China Morning Post

China moves to cement ties with Uzbekistan amid tussle with US for Central Asian influence

2026-10-18 · South China Morning Post

Why Japanese PM Takaichi is still keen to roll out the welcome mat for Trump

2026-10-16 · South China Morning Post

Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

All 15 articles by Dewey Sim →

Finbarr Bermingham

11 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction

🔮 ExclusiveEU plans high-level China currency talks as fears of new trade shock mount Top officials will visit the Chinese capital in the coming months in a bid to persuade Beijing to revalue the yuan, according to sources Plans are in the works, meanwhile, for a heavyweight trio – from the European Central Bank, Eurogroup and European Commission – to follow them there around the turn of the year, though no final date has been set, according to multiple people familiar with the planning.

2026-10-28 · speculative framing · EU plans high-level China currency talks as fears of new trade shock mount

🔮 France ‘certain’ united front with Germany pushed China into hybrid car deal French Trade Minister Nicolas Forissier urges the bloc to stay the course, despite China warning that it would retaliate

2026-10-23 · assertive framing · France ‘certain’ united front with Germany pushed China into hybrid car deal

🔮 In exchange, Beijing has pledged that the company will refrain from shipping banned items to Russian military-linked buyers.

2026-10-22 · assertive framing · EU mulls sanctions reprieve for Chinese fabric-maker accused of aiding Russia

🔮 Latest flare-up suggests danger of trade war between two of the world’s three biggest economies has far from de-escalated 3-MIN READ3-MIN Listen Beijing warned Brussels not to “fantasise” that taking a hard line will force it into concessions, as the bloc confirmed plans for a gung-ho new kill switch that will allow Brussels to “immediately” kick China out of the single market. Exactly a week after the two sides struck a surprise deal to restrict the volume of hybrid cars China ships to Europe, the flare-up suggests the threat of a trade war between two of the world’s three biggest economies has far from subsided.

2026-10-16 · mixed framing · China warns EU not to ‘fantasise’ on trade approach as Brussels confirms new ‘kill switch’

🔮 Intensive dialogue is seen to have yielded results and will continue.

2026-10-15 · assertive framing · Emboldened by hybrid car deal, Europe coalesces around tougher China stance

🔮 EU officials spoke of a ‘paradigm shift’ in wake of surprise trade deal, saying the ‘nature of the rebalancing exercise has changed’ Weeks of high-wire negotiations between China and the EU culminated in a surprise trade deal that will, among other measures, impose strict quotas on Chinese hybrid car exports to the bloc and slash Chinese tariffs on a variety of European goods.

2026-10-12 · assertive framing · How China and the EU pressed pause on trade war – and what it took to get there

2026-10-09 · assertive framing · China and EU reach ‘understanding’ on hybrid vehicles after crunch trade talks

2026-10-08 · assertive framing · German President Steinmeier targets China trip as Berlin sharpens trade stance

🔮 Last chance saloon: EU presses China for a sign to prove trade talks can work Brussels hopes Chinese commerce ministry will agree to modest ‘proof-of-concept’ arrangement at top-level meetings in Beijing

2026-10-07 · assertive framing · Last chance saloon: EU presses China for a sign to prove trade talks can work

🔮 EU retools Trump trade war tripwire into China shipments surge alarm Bloc’s trade enforcement chief says the system is already picking up what may be worrying trends in a range of product categories The bloc was concerned that Chinese shipments bound for the United States would be diverted to Europe at lower prices, imperilling local manufacturers.

2026-10-01 · speculative framing · EU retools Trump trade war tripwire into China shipments surge alarm

Also by Finbarr Bermingham