Photo via Evening Standard

Lenders expect credit card defaults to increase in months ahead, survey finds

Read the original at Evening Standard ↗
Cite

Shaw, V. (2026, October 8). Lenders expect credit card defaults to increase in months ahead, survey finds. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/business/money/bank-of-england-bank-england-britain-kpmg-b1300011.html

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

Evening Standard · collected 2026-10-08 · by Vicky Shaw

Quick Summary

Banks and building societies predict an increase in credit card defaults through November as people struggle with essential bills alongside rising interest rates and inflation. The Bank of England's Credit Conditions Survey indicates that while mortgage default rates slightly decreased and are expected to remain stable, unsecured credit card defaults are on the rise. Financial experts warn that higher energy costs and inflation could exacerbate financial pressure on households in the coming months.
Written by AI on 2026-10-08, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Bank of England’s latest Credit Conditions Survey indicates lenders expect default rates on credit cards to rise in the three months ending November. While mortgage defaults slightly decreased and are expected to remain stable, unsecured credit card defaults are projected to increase due to financial strain caused by rising energy prices and interest rates. Debt help charity StepChange reports a 20% higher client support demand than anticipated this year, citing difficulties with essential bill payments alongside loan repayments. Nathan Emerson from Propertymark sees growing confidence in the housing market but acknowledges potential challenges ahead. Karim Haji from KPMG notes that while some households rely more on credit, they face increasing financial hardships.

Written for “Credit Card Defaults Increasingpredic…” on 2026-10-30, grounded in this article and the 1 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Credit Card Defaults Increasingpredic…
Economy/Business · 2 article(s) covering the same event. See how they differ ↓

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 19% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
Hedges 2 of 11 claims Outlet record 65/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
21
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
19%
4 of 21 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
65/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
2
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-08 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 7769 article(s) · 62 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 62 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Vicky Shaw
62 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 Here is a look at what will be available under the plans: – What is the Your First Home scheme? The scheme will provide 20% equity loans to first-time buyers.
🔮 The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) said that understanding geographical patterns could help identify where climate-related risks may have the greatest effect on consumers and mortgage lending if flooding becomes more frequent or severe.
🔮 The Government recently unveiled the Your First Home initiative, which will give first-time buyers the chance to buy a new build property with a 2.5% deposit, with the Government stepping in to lend them an extra 20% towards the cost.
🔮 Read More He added: “Those coming to the end of a current fixed (mortgage) deal will not only face higher rates but also a more volatile market where deals can come and go quickly.”
🔮 This would put someone on the full new state pension on course to receive £250.70 per week from next April – up from £241.30 per week currently.
🔮 Matt Smith, a mortgage expert at Rightmove, said: “It’s been a difficult few weeks for home buyers who have been watching mortgage rates rise quickly, particularly for those who had worked out what they could afford based on lower rates earlier in the year. “
🔮 Matt Smith, a mortgage expert at Rightmove, said: “It’s been a difficult few weeks for home buyers who have been watching mortgage rates rise quickly, particularly for those who had worked out what they could afford based on lower rates earlier in the year. “
🔮 The encouragement may have included signs saying a business accepts or prefers cash, or being asked directly if they can pay that way.
🔮 “Looking ahead, maintaining a healthy supply of rental homes will be key to easing competition and supporting long-term market stability.”
🔮 Some texts identified on O2’s network promise hundreds of pounds in return for working for an hour or so per day. But others did not contain the red flag warning sign of an “easy cash” promise, and may give the false impression of being simply a message from a recruitment agency.
Also by Vicky Shaw
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 62 articles by Vicky Shaw →

Topics

KPMG Propertymark StepChange The Bank of England the Bank (of England)’s

Subjects

Adam Butler PERSON · 1× KPMG ORG · 1× Karim Haji PERSON · 1× Nathan Emerson PERSON · 1× Propertymark ORG · 1× StepChange ORG · 1× The Bank of England ORG · 1× the Bank (of England)’s ORG · 1×

Narrative

“With further price shocks to come in the winter with energy price rises, interest rates trending upwards, and wider consumer prices continuing to rise above the Bank (of England)’s target, we expect this to feed through into our advice service with continuing increased demand for support, with the charity already supporting 20% more clients than expected this year.”
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-08
🔮 Lenders also said default rates on mortgages slightly decreased in the three months to August and are expected to be unchanged in the three months ahead.
2026-10-08 · Evening Standard
Lenders expect credit card defaults to increase in months ahead, survey finds · assertive framing

Claims (21 extracted, 4 hedged)

Defaults on credit cards are also expected by banks and building societies to increase in the three months to the end of November. asserted
Defaults → expect → November
Lenders also said default rates on mortgages slightly decreased in the three months to August and are expected to be unchanged in the three months ahead. asserted
rates → say → months
Meanwhile, default rates on loans to companies were unchanged in the three months to August and they are predicted by lenders to remain unchanged in the upcoming quarter. asserted
they → predict → quarter
Adam Butler, public policy manager at debt help charity StepChange, said: “Defaults on unsecured credit are rising as people struggle to make their regular repayments alongside essential bills. asserted
people → say → bills
“With further price shocks to come in the winter with energy price rises, interest rates trending upwards, and wider consumer prices continuing to rise above the Bank (of England)’s target, we expect this to feed through into our advice service with continuing increased demand for support, with the charity already supporting 20% more clients than expected this year.” asserted
charity → come → clients
Karim Haji, global and UK head of financial services at KPMG, said the figures “suggest that some households are continuing to lean on credit while simultaneously finding it harder to manage existing debts”. asserted
it → say → debts
He said: “That divergence is an important indicator of where financial pressure is most acute. “ asserted
pressure → say → ?
A dip in mortgage defaults offers some reassurance that most borrowers are continuing to absorb higher housing costs, but rising unsecured defaults underline the financial strain still facing more vulnerable households. asserted
defaults → offer → households
“Looking ahead, (the fourth quarter of the year) could bring renewed financial pressure on households, with higher energy bills and inflation coinciding with the seasonal increase in spending in the run-up to Christmas. uncertain
bills → look → Christmas
Read More “Higher borrowing costs will also add another headwind for consumers. asserted
costs → read → consumers
Lenders need to be thinking now about how these pressures could affect households later in the year.” uncertain
pressures → need → year
The Bank of England carries out the Credit Conditions Survey each quarter as part of its role to maintain financial stability. asserted
Bank → carry → stability
The latest survey was carried out between August 17 and September 4 and so any impact from more recent developments will not be captured. asserted
impact → carry → developments
Lenders were asked to report changes in the three months to the end of August relative to the previous quarter year between March and May. uncertain
Lenders → ask → March
They were also asked about their expectations for the three months to the end of November. asserted
They → ask → November
Lenders reported mortgage availability decreased in the three months to the end of August and it is expected to increase slightly over the three months to the end of November. asserted
it → report → November
Demand for mortgages for house purchase decreased in the three months to August, and is expected to increase slightly in the three months ahead. asserted
Demand → decrease → months
Remortgaging demand fell in the three months to August but it is also expected to increase in the period to the end of November. asserted
it → fall → November
Nathan Emerson, chief executive at property professionals’ body Propertymark, said: “It is encouraging to see growing confidence around the potential demand for secured lending for house purchases and remortgaging in the months ahead. asserted
It → say → months
“While the year has proved challenging for many consumers from an affordability perspective, improved access to finance could provide an important catalyst for greater confidence across the housing sector as we approach the end of the year and head into 2027. uncertain
we → prove → 2027
“Maintaining access to affordable lending will be important in helping the market build momentum and providing greater certainty for consumers.” asserted
market → maintain → consumers
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support