Photo via The Guardian

Labour byelection win shows party starting to win back voters on left

Read the original at The Guardian ↗
Cite

Gecsoyler, S., & Walker, P. (2026, October 9). Labour byelection win shows party starting to win back voters on left. The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/oct/09/labour-byelection-winning-back-voters-on-left-greens

Dated when The Aporia collected the article, usually within hours of publication. Check the original for its exact date and byline.

The Guardian · collected 2026-10-09 · by Sammy Gecsoyler, Peter Walker

Quick Summary

Labour won a London byelection in Holborn and St Pancras with Sagal Abdi-Wali securing 45% of the vote against low turnout of 38.7%. This victory is seen by Labour as a sign they are regaining support from left-leaning voters who were previously disillusioned under Keir Starmer's leadership. Lucy Powell, Labour’s deputy leader, claimed the result shows the party understands and addresses voter concerns, emphasizing unity around progressive values ahead of future elections.
Written by AI on 2026-10-09, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Holborn and St Pancras by-election took place on Thursday to replace former Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who had resigned from his seat in Parliament. The race is between Labour's Dani Arbid-supported candidate Fadila Halima, also known as Ms Abdi-Wali (the exact name varies across sources), and the Green Party leader Zack Polanski. This election is significant for Prime Minister Andy Burnham, who needs to restore faith in Labour among left-wing voters after its decline during the Gaza war.

The North London constituency has been a Labour stronghold since 1983, held by Frank Dobson for 32 years and Keir Starmer for 11. Polanski is hoping to break this streak and secure his seat in Parliament. However, it's noted that Polls indicate the contest between Labour’s Halima and Green Party leader Polanski is close.

Polanski has faced a difficult week after his party passed a controversial motion at its conference asserting “Zionism is racism,” though he abstained from voting on this resolution. He later stated his commitment to inclusivity, rejecting exclusion based on religious or communal affiliation.

The election also marks a critical moment for Polanski's leadership of the Green Party, which has seen significant growth, gaining over 440 councillors and control of five councils in recent local elections.

Polanski appeals to voters by arguing that a Green voice can push Labour on issues such as rent controls and putting Thames Water into public ownership. He also emphasizes the importance of voting against new drilling in the North Sea, an issue that Labour delayed addressing until after the election results.

Overall, while polls suggest a close race, it remains uncertain whether Polanski can upset the long-standing Labour dominance in this constituency.

Written for “Holborn By-election Campaigns” on 2026-10-31, grounded in this article and the 47 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Holborn By-election Campaigns
Politics · 48 article(s) covering the same event. Compare every outlet's account →

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 11% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 3 of 13 claims Outlet record 65/100
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 13 claims Outlet record 65/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 11 claims Outlet record 65/100
The Guardian
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 5 of 23 claims Outlet record 66/100
Evening Standard
Hedges 0 of 4 claims Outlet record 65/100
The Straits Times
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 0 of 10 claims Outlet record 66/100
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 25 claims Outlet record 65/100
Evening Standard
⚖️ Leans left Hedges 0 of 44 claims Outlet record 65/100
The Hindu
⚖️ Leans right Hedges 2 of 17 claims Outlet record 77/100
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
28
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
11%
3 of 28 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
withheld
no quote in the article backed the model's score
Publisher signals
66/100
The Guardian's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
48
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-09 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Guardian · 2740 article(s) · 6 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 6 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Sammy Gecsoyler
8 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The fund will be used to carry out a full feasibility study for a northern Games, which, if successful, would be held in the north of England in the 2040s.
🔮 The Metropolitan police posted on X saying: “The front of the procession has now entered Whitehall where a rally will take place.
🔮 While the result was broadly as predicted, Labour strategists were buoyed up by the party’s relatively straightforward route to victory in a diverse inner-city area of the sort the Greens have been targeting with recent success.
🔮 Labour’s victory will be a relief for Andy Burnham in his first big electoral test as prime minister, and reinforces polling that shows he has recovered some public support lost by Starmer, his predecessor in Downing Street.
🔮 They’ve said that recollections may vary.”
🔮 But now its benches, usually filled with haughtily dressed men, could soon resemble something more akin to “dress-down Friday”.
Also by Sammy Gecsoyler
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 8 articles by Sammy Gecsoyler →
Peter Walker
12 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 The prime minister said he hoped to have all four UK nations moving at the same pace on devolution, particularly on efforts outlined in Wednesday’s budget to give mayors in England more powers over tax revenues.
🔮 Healey’s opening remarks John Healey starts by saying that his budget is “delivered at a time when global uncertainties and pressures are swirling worldwide and hitting people here at home”. He says the administration will have a new approach to steer us through global economic storms and give people fresh hope for Britain’s future.
2026-10-28 · assertive framing · Budget 2026: key points at a glance
🔮 The UK government has approved the controversial Jackdaw gasfield in the North Sea, a widely expected move that will nonetheless dismay environmental campaigners and a number of Labour MPs.
2026-10-21 · assertive framing · UK approves Jackdaw gasfield in North Sea
🔮 While the result was broadly as predicted, Labour strategists were buoyed up by the party’s relatively straightforward route to victory in a diverse inner-city area of the sort the Greens have been targeting with recent success.
🔮 “Your viewers will know that sometimes you have a football team that’s disappointing,” the Tory leader told GB News.
🔮 Senior Labour party figures said it is very unlikely their party would cooperate with the Greens in the future after they adopted a policy treating Zionism as a form of racism.
🔮 The English and Welsh Greens are facing international ostracism after adopting a policy declaring Zionism as a form of racism, which has drawn dismay from the group representing European Greens.
🔮 The Greens have formally adopted a policy which equates Zionism with racism, a move that will dismay the bulk of the party’s MPs and has alarmed some Jewish members.
🔮 After Trump savaged the three-way plan as “a terrible deal” during a meeting with Andy Burnham at the UN general assembly, the prime minister said he was “confident” the UK would be able to find a solution to revive the idea.
🔮 When he addresses the faithful on the final day of the gathering in Brighton, the party leader will call for a global pause on super-intelligent AI, comparing it to a nuclear arms race that could result in technology that could “destroy us all”. Davey is expected to lay out plans in his speech on Tuesday for a new international AI safety agency – modelled on the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and headquartered in the UK, after numerous warnings from AI researchers that artificial intelligence could wipe out humanity within the decade.
Also by Peter Walker
Budget 2026: key points at a glance
2026-10-28 · The Guardian
UK approves Jackdaw gasfield in North Sea
2026-10-21 · The Guardian
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 12 articles by Peter Walker →

Topics

Greens Holborn Labour London St Pancras

Subjects

Greens ORG · 11× Labour ORG · 8× Polanski PERSON · 7× Burnham PERSON · 3× Jewish NORP · 3× Starmer PERSON · 3× Andy Burnham PERSON · 2× London GPE · 2× Palestinian NORP · 2× Zionism NORP · 2×

Narrative

In interviews after the byelection loss, Polanski said he would have voted against the motion had he attended, given that two amendments he supported, both saying any future structure of a Palestinian state should be decided by Palestinians rather than a one-state system being imposed, were voted down.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-09
🔮 While the result was broadly as predicted, Labour strategists were buoyed up by the party’s relatively straightforward route to victory in a diverse inner-city area of the sort the Greens have been targeting with recent success.
2026-10-09 · The Guardian
Labour byelection win shows party starting to win back voters on left · assertive framing

Claims (28 extracted, 3 hedged)

Labour is starting to win back voters on the left who became disillusioned under Keir Starmer’s leadership, the party’s deputy leader has claimed after it saw off Zack Polanski and the Greens to win the Holborn and St Pancras byelection. asserted
it → start → byelection
Labour’s Sagal Abdi-Wali took 45% of a relatively low turnout to keep Starmer’s old north London seat for the party, pushing Polanski, who had stood for the party he leads, into second place on 33%. asserted
he → take → %
While the result was broadly as predicted, Labour strategists were buoyed up by the party’s relatively straightforward route to victory in a diverse inner-city area of the sort the Greens have been targeting with recent success. asserted
Greens → predict → success
The result “sends a clear message to those voters who lost faith in Labour in recent years”, said Lucy Powell, who called last month for the party to unite progressive voters under Andy Burnham if it wants to win the next election. asserted
it → send → election
After the byelection win, she told the Guardian: “We hear you, we’ve listened and we know we needed to be clearer about what we stand for and what type of country we want to see, proudly putting our values centre stage. asserted
we → tell → values
We’re delighted so many of you are backing us once again.” asserted
many → ’re → us
The byelection came after the Green party voted at their conference last weekend to adopt a hugely controversial policy equating Zionism with racism, and saying Israel should be replaced with a single Palestinian state. asserted
Israel → come → state
Polanski has been criticised for showing minimal leadership on the most toxic internal debate the Greens have faced in living memory, with the chair of Jewish Greens saying he should resign. asserted
he → criticise → Greens
The byelection, called after Starmer resigned his Commons seat shortly after he was ousted by Burnham, saw a low turnout of 38.7%, possibly due to the widespread predictions that Labour was set to win, despite a major campaigning effort from the Greens. uncertain
Labour → call → Greens
The turnout also suggests Burnham could still face a battle to engage some voters in urban areas, particularly London, where the Greens took control of three councils in May’s local elections. uncertain
Greens → suggest → elections
In an emotional victory speech, Abdi-Wali, a former child refugee who came to the UK from Somalia in the 1990s, hit out at “those who seek to divide us”, in what appeared to be a response to Reform UK’s Zia Yusuf, who suggested she was not British shortly after the byelection was called. uncertain
byelection → come → Yusuf
“I hope this moment says something about who gets to belong,” she said. asserted
she → hope → something
“For people who look like me, I hope they see themselves reflected in this place and know that their path too belongs here. asserted
path → look → place
Responding to the defeat, Polanski, who leads the Greens in England and Wales, said that while the result showed his party remained a major threat to Labour, many voters had told him they wanted to “give Andy Burnham a chance”. asserted
they → respond → chance
It was the Greens’ second best-ever byelection result, more evidence of the party’s increased prominence and campaigning power since Polanski became leader 13 months ago. asserted
Polanski → increase → prominence
The best came in February, when the Greens took an equally safe Labour seat, Gorton and Denton in Greater Manchester, in a major upset that weakened Starmer’s position. asserted
that → come → position
Around the same time, the Greens peaked at 21% in national polling, above Labour. asserted
Greens → peak → Labour
Polanski’s position has come under scrutiny since the Zionism motion was passed, with critics accusing him of abdicating leadership after he missed the debate to campaign in the byelection, giving no clear message about whether or not he backed it. asserted
he → come → it
In interviews after the byelection loss, Polanski said he would have voted against the motion had he attended, given that two amendments he supported, both saying any future structure of a Palestinian state should be decided by Palestinians rather than a one-state system being imposed, were voted down. asserted
structure → say → Palestinians
On Friday, Vivien Lichtenstein, chair of Jewish Greens, said Polanski, who is Jewish, made a “big mistake” by avoiding the vote. asserted
who → say → vote
Asked if he should continue in his role, she told Times Radio: “No, I think he should resign.” asserted
he → ask → Radio
However, other members of Jewish Greens said Lichtenstein’s comments did not reflect the majority view in the group, and that a vote of no confidence in her had been tabled. asserted
vote → say → her
Speaking shortly before the byelection result was announced, Caroline Lucas, the Greens’ former leader and first MP, said Polanski “should have been there and he should have voted”. asserted
he → speak → ?
Speaking to Newsnight, she said: “I would have hoped that he would have really been a very strong critic of this motion, because the motion was flawed from top to bottom in my view. asserted
motion → speak → view
It’s dangerous, it’s divisive, it tries to have a singular definition of Zionism when we know that there are many.” asserted
we → ’ → Zionism
Asked if Polanski should stand down, Lucas did not definitively say he should remain as leader: “I think let’s just see what happens in the … coming days and weeks.” asserted
what → ask → days
However, they are re- asserted
they → re → ?
elected every two years, meaning Polanski, who took over in September 2025, will have to go before party members again in less than a year. asserted
who → elect → year
💬Give feedback
🕘History 🎫Support