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Fact check: Claim on economic growth under Gordon Brown excludes financial crash

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Tutty, S. (2026, October 12). Fact check: Claim on economic growth under Gordon Brown excludes financial crash. Evening Standard. https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/gordon-brown-john-healey-gdp-b1300465.html

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Evening Standard · collected 2026-10-12 · by Sonja Tutty

Quick Summary

This article fact-checks claims about economic growth under former Chancellor Gordon Brown by analyzing GDP data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The comparison shows that during his time as chancellor, annual GDP per capita grew at an average of 2.3% compared to 0.9% over subsequent Conservative years, indicating almost triple the growth rate. However, including periods affected by the financial crisis and the start of the current Labour government reduces this advantage to a factor of 1.6 times. The article also evaluates real GDP changes across longer periods, showing growth rates under Brown slightly outpacing those during Conservative rule but not doubling it.
Written by AI on 2026-10-12, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

The Press Association reported on a statement by John Healey, former Labour MP, who claimed that economic growth during Gordon Brown's tenure as Chancellor was more than double that under the Conservative Party. HM Treasury clarified this claim using Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures focusing solely on GDP growth per capita during Brown’s time as chancellor and the Conservatives' 14 years in power. According to these figures, average annual GDP growth per capita was 2.3% during Brown's period compared to 0.9% under the Conservatives, indicating economic growth was nearly 2.6 times higher under Brown.

However, when including the impact of the 2008 financial crisis, which occurred after Brown became Prime Minister, the GDP measures show that while the economy still grew more under Brown overall, the difference is not as pronounced as "more than double." Thus, excluding this critical period skews the economic growth comparison unfairly in favor of Brown's record.

Written for “Economic Growth Under Gordon Brown” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Economic Growth Under Gordon Brown
Economy/Business · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 11% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 10 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of economic growth and do not refer to the same specific incident or time period.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 3 of 53 claims Outlet record 69/100
“Article A discusses plans and criticism of economic policies under a new chancellor, while Article B is about fact-checking historical economic growth claims during Gordon Brown's time as chancellor. They refer to different periods and distinct events.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
18
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
11%
2 of 18 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
64/100
Evening Standard's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Economy/Business
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-12 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Evening Standard · 8440 article(s) · 73 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 73 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Sonja Tutty
2 article(s) here · 0 carrying a prediction
🔮 Speaking of the Chancellor, Mr Jenrick said: “By his own figures he’s saying that living standards for people in this country will decline every single year for the next five years.”
Also by Sonja Tutty
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.

Topics

Conservatives HM Treasury ONS the Conservative Party the Press Association

Subjects

Brown PERSON · 11× Conservatives NORP · 7× Healey PERSON · 2× ONS ORG · 2× Conservative NORP · 1× HM Treasury ORG · 1× Labour Government ORG · 1× Office for National Statistics ORG · 1× the Conservative Party ORG · 1× the Press Association ORG · 1×

Narrative

The Government’s measure HM Treasury told the Press Association that Mr Healey’s comment is based on Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures for GDP growth per capita, focusing on the average during Mr Brown’s time as chancellor and during the Conservatives’ 14 years in power.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-12
2026-10-12 · Evening Standard
Fact check: Claim on economic growth under Gordon Brown excludes financial crash · assertive framing

Claims (18 extracted, 2 hedged)

The comparison of economic growth under Mr Brown is accurate only when focusing on his time as chancellor and measuring the average of year-on-year growth. asserted
comparison → focus → growth
This excludes the period he was prime minister and therefore removes the impact of the 2008 financial crisis. asserted
he → exclude → crisis
Including the period that Mr Brown was prime minister, gross domestic product (GDP) measures show the economy still grew more under him than the 14 subsequent years under the Conservative Party. asserted
economy → include → Party
The Government’s measure HM Treasury told the Press Association that Mr Healey’s comment is based on Office for National Statistics (ONS) figures for GDP growth per capita, focusing on the average during Mr Brown’s time as chancellor and during the Conservatives’ 14 years in power. asserted
comment → tell → power
It said that during Mr Brown’s time in No 11 Downing Street, average annual GDP growth per capita was 2.3%, compared with 0.9% over the Conservative years. asserted
growth → say → years
This comparison suggests economic growth during Mr Brown’s time as chancellor was 2.6 times that under the Conservatives. uncertain
growth → suggest → Conservatives
What Mr Healey excludes asserted
excludes → exclude → What
When including GDP per head growth in 2008, 2009, and 2010, the average increase under Mr Brown falls to 1.4%. asserted
increase → include → %
It should also be noted the figure for 2007 overlaps with Mr Brown’s time as prime minister, 2010 includes the start of the Conservative-led government, and 2024 includes the start of the current Labour Government. asserted
2024 → note → Government
While annual GDP per head growth measures short-term changes and takes into account population size, overall UK GDP in cash terms can be used to measure growth over several years. asserted
GDP → measure → years
The latter is available from the ONS in real terms (discounting for inflation) and broken down by quarter. asserted
latter → discount → quarter
Read More The first full quarter during Mr Brown’s period as chancellor is the three months to September 1997, while his final measure as prime minister is the three months to March 2010 – a period of almost 13 years. asserted
measure → read → years
Real GDP grew 27.3% between these quarters, reaching £573.4 billion in the final measure. asserted
GDP → grow → measure
Real GDP grew 24.3% across this period, reaching £726.1 billion. asserted
GDP → grow → billion
This approach includes the impact of the financial crisis as well as the Covid-19 pandemic, and suggests the economy under Mr Brown’s time as chancellor and prime minister did not grow at more than twice the rate under the Conservatives. uncertain
economy → include → Conservatives
It should be noted that Mr Brown’s time in Numbers 10 and 11 Downing Street was slightly shorter than the Conservatives’ time in power. asserted
time → note → power
These figures show GDP per head in 2024 terms rose 18.6% under Mr Brown, from £7,718 in the three months to September 1997 to £9,155 in the three months to March 2010. asserted
GDP → show → March
It was a larger increase than the 12.9% growth under the Conservatives – rising from £9,286 per head in the three months to September 2010 to £10,484 in the three months to June 2024. asserted
It → rise → June
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