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Labour forced to ditch 'bat s**t crazy' wealth tax plan after Treasury officials warn Chancellor it would backfire and cost the government billions

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Groves, J. (2026, October 13). Labour forced to ditch 'bat s**t crazy' wealth tax plan after Treasury officials warn Chancellor it would backfire and cost the government billions. Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-16205639/Labour-forced-ditch-bat-s-t-crazy-wealth-tax-plan-Treasury-officials-warn-Chancellor-backfire-cost-government-billions.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=1490

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Daily Mail · collected 2026-10-13 · by Jason Groves

Quick Summary

John Healey has scrapped plans for a significant increase in capital gains tax (CGT) after Treasury officials warned that it would backfire and result in billions of pounds lost in revenue. The proposed hike to 45% from the current 24% for top rate taxpayers was intended to raise funds by taxing the wealthy more heavily, but officials cited HM Revenue and Customs estimates showing a 10-point CGT increase could lead to an annual loss of over £3.5 billion due to tax avoidance measures by investors.
Written by AI on 2026-10-13, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

John Healey, the Chancellor, has abandoned plans for a 'wealth tax' on investments due to warnings from Treasury officials that such a move would backfire. The proposed plan aimed to raise rates of capital gains tax (CGT) to match income tax levels, nearly doubling CGT for top-rate taxpayers from 24% to 45%. Cabinet ministers and union leaders supported the idea as a way to raise billions by targeting wealthy individuals. However, Treasury officials cautioned that a significant rise in CGT could lead investors to avoid paying the tax altogether, resulting in an estimated loss of more than £3.5 billion annually according to HM Revenue and Customs figures. Officials also warned that increasing CGT might trigger a downturn in investments.

Written for “Labour Wealth Tax Plan Ditched” on 2026-11-04, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Labour Wealth Tax Plan Ditched
Politics · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads leans strongly right and hedges 21% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Guardian
Hedges 2 of 23 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of John Healey's budget planning and concerns raised by financial experts, but they do not describe the same specific incident or occurrence.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 6 of 30 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles describe different policy decisions regarding taxation by the Chancellor, one about an impending 'stealth tax' due to inflation and threshold freezes, and another about abandoning a proposed wealth tax.”
Daily Mail
⚖️ Leans right further left than this Hedges 12 of 72 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of financial policy changes under Chancellor John Healey, not the same specific incident or announcement.”
New York Post
Hedges 6 of 36 claims Outlet record 66/100
“The articles discuss different policy proposals and reactions in distinct political contexts involving wealth taxes, one in California (Proposition 40) and another seemingly in the UK's Labour party.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 23 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different aspects of the Chancellor's upcoming Budget decisions, with Article A focusing on a meeting with retail bosses and no tax hikes, while Article B discusses the abandonment of a wealth tax plan.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 0 of 16 claims Outlet record 64/100
“Article A discusses general budget tests urged by the Conservatives, while Article B specifically addresses the Chancellor's decision to abandon a proposed wealth tax after warnings from Treasury officials.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 4 of 25 claims Outlet record 69/100
“While both articles discuss John Healey's tax plans and warnings about their potential impact, they describe different aspects of the situation at distinct points in time.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 1 of 16 claims Outlet record 64/100
“The articles describe different aspects of proposed tax changes by Labour, one focusing on the abandonment of a wealth tax plan due to warnings from Treasury officials, and the other urging Chancellor John Healey to implement specific taxes on banks.”
Evening Standard
Hedges 0 of 10 claims Outlet record 64/100
“While both articles discuss Labour's budget plans and concerns over taxation, they describe different aspects of the issue. Article A focuses on Conservative urging for no new taxes in an upcoming Budget with five specific tests, whereas Article B specifically reports on Labour ditching a wealth tax plan due to warnings from Treasury officials.”
Daily Mail
Hedges 2 of 24 claims Outlet record 69/100
“The articles discuss different warnings about John Healey's budget plans but do not describe the exact same incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
24
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
21%
5 of 24 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
Leans strongly right
of the writing, not the subject · beta estimate
Publisher signals
69/100
Daily Mail's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Politics
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-13 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

Daily Mail · 9101 article(s) · 22 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 22 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Jason Groves
51 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
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Also by Jason Groves
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 51 articles by Jason Groves →

Topics

Budget Defence HM Revenue and Customs Labour Treasury

Subjects

Treasury ORG · 7× Healey PERSON · 3× John Healey PERSON · 3× Labour ORG · 3× HMRC ORG · 2× Budget ORG · 1× Defence ORG · 1× HM Revenue and Customs ORG · 1× Wes Streeting PERSON · 1× the Daily Mail ORG · 1×

Narrative

‘Whilst u-turns on individual measures such as CGT hikes are welcome, with the tax burden at a record high the Chancellor needs to rule out any tax increases and instead get a grip on the out-of-control welfare bill.
framing: mixed · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-13
🔮 John Healey has ditched Budget plans for a ‘wealth tax’ on investments after officials warned it would backfire.

Claims (24 extracted, 5 hedged)

John Healey has ditched Budget plans for a ‘wealth tax’ on investments after officials warned it would backfire. asserted
it → ditch → investments
The Chancellor has been examining Labour demands to raise rates of capital gains tax (CGT) to the same level as income tax. asserted
Chancellor → examine → tax
The move would have seen CGT for top rate taxpayers almost double from 24 per cent to 45 per cent. asserted
CGT → see → cent
Supporters of the idea, including cabinet ministers and union chiefs, claimed the plan was a painless way to raise billions by soaking the rich. asserted
plan → include → rich
Defence secretary Wes Streeting described the idea as a ‘wealth tax that works’. asserted
that → describe → tax
But Treasury officials warned Mr Healey that a sharp rise in CGT would backfire disastrously. asserted
rise → warn → CGT
They pointed to official figures showing that a big rise in the headline rate would cost the Treasury billions as investors took action to avoid paying the tax altogether. asserted
investors → point → tax
According to HM Revenue and Customs estimates, a 10-point hike in the higher rate of CGT would lead to a loss in revenue of more than £3.5 billion a year. uncertain
hike → accord → billion
John Healey was forced to back down after officials warned that Labour demands to hike capital gains tax would backfire Officials also raised concerns that a big increase in CGT could trigger a slump in investment at the very time ministers are trying to encourage it. One Treasury insider told the Daily Mail: ‘Superficially it sounds like an easy win. uncertain
it → force → win
But the reason Rachel (Reeves) never touched it is because the numbers just don’t add up.’ asserted
numbers → touch → it
Another Treasury source told the Financial Times the idea was ‘bat s**t crazy’. asserted
idea → tell → Times
The decision to drop the plan follows another climbdown over the Mansion Tax, where Mr Healey has backed away from cutting the threshold from £2 million to £1.5 million. asserted
Healey → drop → million
Shadow chancellor Andrew Griffith said: ‘John Healey is in headlong retreat. asserted
Healey → say → retreat
But his Treasury kite flying has damaging consequences for economic confidence impacting ordinary people’s jobs. asserted
flying → have → jobs
‘Whilst u-turns on individual measures such as CGT hikes are welcome, with the tax burden at a record high the Chancellor needs to rule out any tax increases and instead get a grip on the out-of-control welfare bill. asserted
Chancellor → need → bill
Capital gains tax is paid on the profits from selling assets like property, shares and possessions. asserted
tax → pay → property
Basic rate taxpayers pay CGT at 18 per cent, while higher rate taxpayers pay 24 per cent. asserted
taxpayers → pay → cent
Left-wingers have long complained it is unfair that wealth is taxed more lightly than work. asserted
wealth → complain → work
Louise Haigh, who is effectively Andy Burnham’s deputy, said this summer that income tax and CGT rates should be ‘brought closer’, adding: ‘This reform is central to restoring confidence that the system does not favour those able to structure their income over those earning through work.’ Unite union chief Sharon Graham backed the measure last month, alongside a one per cent ‘wealth tax’ on assets. Former Labour leader Neil Kinnock also called on the Chancellor to act, saying a ‘fair change’ on CGT could raise as much as £12 billion. But experts have repeatedly questioned how much, if anything, a big rise in CGT would generate. HMRC warned that ‘very large tax rate rises can reduce exchequer yield due to taxpayer behavioural impacts’. uncertain
rises → say → impacts
It warned that even a 5p rise in the top rate of CGT could cost the Treasury £870 million a year. uncertain
rise → warn → million
Mr Healey could still impose a more modest rise in CGT rates next month. uncertain
Healey → impose → rates
But HMRC figures suggest that even a one per cent rise would cost the Treasury £30 million in lost revenue. asserted
rise → suggest → revenue
Former Tory chancellor Sir Jeremy Hunt said there was little scope for raising additional revenue. asserted
Hunt → say → revenue
He said equalising the rate was ‘always a non-starter’, telling the FT: ‘Every chancellor is briefed that the revenue-maximising rate of CGT is 24 per cent after which you start losing money’. asserted
you → say → money
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