President Donald Trump said Monday morning that Ukraine and Russia have both agreed not to strike targets that impact energy infrastructure.
asserted
that → say → infrastructure
"Ukraine has agreed not to hit Russian Energy targets.
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Ukraine → agree → targets
Russia has agreed to do, likewise!" he wrote in a post on Truth Social.
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he → agree → Social
Neither Russia nor Ukraine had publicly confirmed the agreement as of midday Monday.
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Russia → confirm → midday
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that he was willing to reciprocate if Russia would agree to the de-escalation, as well.
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Russia → say → escalation
But he added that such an agreement would also require assurances from "partners," likely referring to the U.S.
"If our partners are ready to ensure that Russia genuinely refrains from striking our electricity system, other energy facilities, critical infrastructure, and food supply routes, then, of course, we are ready to ensure a corresponding halt to our strikes," he wrote on X.com on Monday.
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he → add → Monday
However, he added: "Ukraine is not convinced that Russia is willing to abide by any agreement."
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Russia → add → agreement
Trump’s announcement broadened the demand he made a day earlier, when he called solely on Ukraine to halt its attacks on Russian energy facilities.
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he → broaden → facilities
On Sunday, Trump said that Zelenskyy should halt strikes on Russia's diesel fuel infrastructure and refineries, claiming the attacks are contributing to a fuel shortage.
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attacks → say → shortage
“Mr. Zelenskyy has to do one thing.
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Zelenskyy → have → thing
He has to stop knocking out diesel fuel in Russia,” Trump told reporters during his scheduled visit to Ireland.
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Trump → have → Ireland
“Let him go after targets but not diesel fuel, because he’s causing a shortage.”
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he → let → shortage
For Ukraine, that would mean curtailing one of its principal means of imposing pressure on Moscow.
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that → mean → Moscow
Yet energy-market data indicates that the much larger source of the global diesel squeeze stems from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, raising questions about how much Trump’s proposal would even impact the shortage—and what it could cost Kyiv.
uncertain
it → indicate → Kyiv
Though the U.S.-Iran war has dramatically limited the distribution of oil since February, Trump said that it is not responsible for current shortages.
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it → limit → shortages
“This isn’t done by the Middle East,” Trump said.
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Trump → do → East
“This is done by what’s happening with Russia and Ukraine.
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what → do → Russia
So we spoke to Mr. Zelenskyy about it.”
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we → speak → it
Trump’s comments appeared to be referring to last week’s mediation efforts which saw U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner visiting Russia and Ukraine to discuss a path toward peace.
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Witkoff → appear → peace
Witkoff said afterward that he was “confident that there'll be a good resolution here.”
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he → say → ?
Washington’s intervention in the peace efforts had previously stalled last spring following the outbreak of war with Iran.
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intervention → stall → Iran
Throughout the summer, as Ukraine stepped up its long-range attacks, it increasingly set its sights on oil refineries.
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it → step → refineries
Overnight into Sept. 13, Ukraine targeted two Russian refineries—one of which, the Slavyansk Oil Refinery, is one of the “largest independent oil refineries in the south of the Russian Federation” according to the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
uncertain
one → target → Forces
Zelenskyy has not publicly responded to Trump’s comments, but he has previously said that these refineries fund and fuel Russia’s war with Ukraine.
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refineries → respond → Ukraine
He said that his country’s attacks are meant to disrupt Moscow’s financing capacity.
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attacks → say → capacity
Olena Lennon, a Practitioner in Residence of National Security at the University of New Haven, says ending the attacks would deprive Kyiv of an unusually effective source of leverage.
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ending → say → leverage
“Taking away one of Ukraine’s most effective pressure points inside Russia—one that has actually put Russia on the back foot—would significantly weaken Ukrainian leverage and set Ukraine back, leading to more Ukrainian deaths,” Lennon tells TIME.
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Lennon → take → TIME
TIME has reached out to Zelenskyy’s office for comment.
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TIME → reach → comment
Disruptions to Russia’s oil refineries have undoubtedly impacted Russian fuel markets, as well as those in Central Asia.
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Disruptions → impact → Asia
When Ukraine intensified its attacks on Russia’s energy facilities in late 2025, the northern nation faced a domestic gasoline shortage estimated at around 20%.
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nation → intensify → %
It began instituting export restrictions.
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It → begin → restrictions
The disruption persisted, however, with Russian refinery runs reaching a 24-year low last month.
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runs → persist → low
Those restrictions then reverberated across Central Asia.
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restrictions → reverberate → Asia
According to the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, part of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Central Asian nations saw a rise in retail gas prices as a result of Moscow’s restrictions—by as much as 25% year over year.
uncertain
nations → accord → year
Some countries, like Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, turned to suppliers in China as a result.
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countries → turn → result
But Russia is only one contributor to a global fuel squeeze driven more substantially by disruptions in the Middle East.
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Russia → drive → East
The effects of that broader supply shock have been felt worldwide.
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effects → feel → shock
In Australia, the government launched an A$20 million National Fuel Security Campaign that encouraged citizens to voluntarily reduce fuel consumption as a result of shortages.
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that → launch → shortages
It ran from April to June.
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It → run → June
Fuel prices are set to rise again in the country as fighting once again ramps up.
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fighting → set → country
…and 50 more, not listed.
The Aporia
