Three states are holding primaries on Tuesday, with Florida deciding its nominees for both governor and for Senate.
asserted
Florida → hold → Senate
In Alaska, Sen. Dan Sullivan is facing several competitors — including
— in the nonpartisan top-four primary.
asserted
Sullivan → face → primary
Floridians will also be voting in primaries in new congressional districts after
boundaries to give Republicans an advantage in 24 of the state's 28 districts.
asserted
Floridians → vote → districts
Here are the major races to watch today:
asserted
races → watch → ?
Florida governor
Florida hasn't elected a Democratic governor since 1994 and DeSantis is prevented from running again due to term limits.
asserted
DeSantis → elect → limits
In 2018, DeSantis won by less than a single point.
asserted
DeSantis → win → point
By 2022, he won by 20 points — transforming Florida from being seen as a swing state to being solidly Republican.
asserted
he → win → state
Rep. Byron Donalds, first elected in 2020 to represent Naples, Fort Myers and the surrounding area, is backed by President Trump and has long branded himself as a "Make America Great Again" member of the House.
asserted
America → elect → House
He is a prominent member of the House Freedom Caucus and in 2023, challenged Kevin McCarthy in the race to become speaker, forcing 15 rounds of voting.
asserted
He → challenge → voting
Donalds also put his name in the bid to replace McCarthy 10 months later when he was ousted from the speakership.
asserted
he → put → speakership
In addition to Mr. Trump's backing, Donalds has amassed a significant war chest, having raised $90 million so far.
asserted
Donalds → amass → million
He has also held a commanding lead in polls.
asserted
He → hold → polls
While DeSantis has not endorsed in the race, Collins has branded himself as "DeSantis-appointed," but it's likely a race for second place given Donalds' lead.
asserted
it → endorse → lead
Collins tried earlier this summer to get Fishback booted from the ballot, alleging Fishback had not met the state's seven-year minimum residency requirement.
asserted
Fishback → try → requirement
The case was ultimately thrown out by a judge.
asserted
case → throw → judge
Fishback, a 31-year-old Florida native, has gained momentum among young men in the "groyper" movement online and has support of Nick Fuentes and Tucker Carlson.
asserted
Fishback → gain → Fuentes
Fishback has taunted Donalds with racist comments, calling him a "slave to donors," a "token Black" in Congress and accusing him of wanting to turn Florida into a "Section 8 ghetto."
asserted
Fishback → taunt → ghetto
As the well-funded front-runner, Donalds generally does not acknowledge Fishback's comments.
asserted
Donalds → fund → comments
Fishback has raised little money and does not stand much of a chance of succeeding on Tuesday, but he has pushed white nationalism into the governor's race and caused a splinter in the GOP.
asserted
he → raise → GOP
Jolly represented the St. Petersburg area from 2014 to 2016, and is the second prominent Republican-turned-Democrat to run for governor in Florida in two cycles.
asserted
Jolly → represent → cycles
In 2022, former Gov. Charlie Crist — who served as a Republican as governor before becoming a Democrat and defeating Jolly in the 2016 election — lost to DeSantis by nearly 20 points.
asserted
who → serve → points
Crist is now running for St. Petersburg mayor.
asserted
Crist → run → mayor
When Marco Rubio became secretary of state, DeSantis appointed Ashley Moody to his Senate seat, and she is now running to serve out the remainder of his term.
asserted
she → become → term
Moody was elected the state's attorney general twice, defeating her Democratic challenger in 2022 by more than 20 points.
asserted
Moody → elect → points
Moody faces three Republican challengers on Tuesday, although she is expected to win the nomination.
asserted
she → face → nomination
Democrats Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon are duking it out for the Democratic nomination.
asserted
Vindman → duke → nomination
Vindman, a retired lieutenant colonel, served on the National Security Council as an expert on Ukraine during Mr. Trump's first term.
asserted
Vindman → serve → term
He became a key witness in Mr. Trump's first impeachment, testifying he heard Mr. Trump on a phone call pressure the Ukrainian president to investigate Joe Biden.
asserted
Trump → become → Biden
Vindman was later forced out at the NSC.
asserted
Vindman → force → NSC
His brother, Eugene, who also reported the phone call as being improper, was elected to Congress in 2024 from Virginia.
asserted
who → report → Virginia
Nixon, a state representative from Jacksonville, led the Democratic protest against DeSantis' new congressional map.
asserted
Nixon → lead → map
A labor organizer, she is touting her progressive support, including from unions and progressive Rep. Maxwell Frost, who represents the Orlando area.
asserted
who → tout → area
Earlier this year, DeSantis pushed through a new congressional map to favor Republicans in four more districts after the creation of majority Black voting districts in some states.
asserted
DeSantis → push → states
Rep. Darren Soto's district, which was protected by the Voting Rights Act, was redrawn to become more favorable to Republicans.
asserted
which → protect → Republicans
of the Voting Rights Act that required theSoto is running unopposed for the Democratic nomination, and seven Republicans are running on Tuesday to take him on.
asserted
Republicans → require → him
Republican Thomas Chalifoux Jr., Soto's challenger in 2024 who won more than 40% of the vote under the old lines, is running again, as is Marcus Carter, who ran in 2024 on the general election ballot as a NPA candidate.
asserted
who → win → candidate
Republican Dan Green, who worked in the first Trump administration, is touting his ties to the president.
asserted
who → work → president
He has been endorsed by seven members of Congress, although none from Florida.
asserted
He → endorse → Florida
Democratic Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz's current district was also affected.
asserted
district → affect → ?
She's now running in the neighboring 20th District, which is still a majority Black district and has been represented by a Black representative since the 1980s.
asserted
which → run → 1980s
…and 30 more, not listed.
The Aporia
