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Payne happy to be proven wrong as reject rises to Champion challenge

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Kerry, C. (2026, October 22). Payne happy to be proven wrong as reject rises to Champion challenge. The Sydney Morning Herald. https://www.smh.com.au/sport/racing/payne-happy-to-be-proven-wrong-as-reject-rises-to-champion-challenge-20261022-p617e0.html?ref=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_source=rss_feed

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The Sydney Morning Herald · collected 2026-10-22 · by Craig Kerry

Quick Summary

Veteran trainer David Payne admitted to being mistaken about Proxima Dea, a filly he initially dismissed as too expensive at $300,000. Now unbeaten in four starts and set to compete in the Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) on Saturday, she is poised to bring Payne his first Group 1 win since Montefilia’s victory in 2022. Despite her initial lackluster appearance, Proxima Dea has proven herself a formidable racer under Payne's guidance and is favored at $5 odds for the upcoming race.
Written by AI on 2026-10-22, from this article's own text only (the story summary below draws on all the coverage).

AI analysis

Story summary

David Payne, a 78-year-old veteran trainer, was initially skeptical when approached by owners Andy Giles, Hugh Docherty, and Caroline Vincent about buying Proxima Dea at the Inglis Easter Yearling Sale for $300,000. Despite his initial reluctance, the same group later asked Payne to take over training the unraced filly after she was initially trained by Ciaron Maher. Now unbeaten in four starts, Proxima Dea is set to give Payne a first Group 1 win since Montefilia’s victory in the 2022 Ranvet Stakes at Randwick on Saturday in the Spring Champion Stakes (2000m). Payne admitted that he was initially wrong about her potential, saying, "She wasn’t much to look at, but horses make fools of you."

Written for “Payne Proven Wrong” on 2026-11-03, grounded in this article and the 0 other(s) covering the same event.

Story

📰 Payne Proven Wrong
Sports · 1 article(s) covering the same event.

Compared with similar articles

This article reads unscored and hedges 5% of its claims. Each row says how that neighbour differs.
The Sydney Morning Herald
Hedges 3 of 26 claims Outlet record 61/100
“While both articles discuss Proxima Dea's success under trainer David Payne, they describe different aspects of her career trajectory and do not clearly refer to the same specific race or incident.”
How this article was measured signals, leaning charts, publisher record, byline, topics and claims

Signals How these are calculated →

Claims extracted
37
sentences that state something as happening or true
Uncertain
5%
2 of 37 hedged ("reportedly", "may", "according to")
Leaning
not political
takes no side on a contested political question
Publisher signals
61/100
The Sydney Morning Herald's corrections and hedging, across everything collected from it. Not a measure of accuracy.
Outlets on this story
1
Sports
Same framing elsewhere
1
articles that frame the event the way this one does
Analyzed 2026-10-22 · how these are computed

How this is being covered How these are calculated →

Article leaning vs. publisher reliability
Source leaning vs. consistency

Publisher

The Sydney Morning Herald · 5955 article(s) · 15 correction(s) detected
Running correction rate · 15 correction(s)

Who wrote this

Craig Kerry
43 article(s) here · 1 carrying a prediction
🔮 A draw in 18, which will come into 15 with emergencies out, will make it tougher for Bayliss to give Fully Lit ($10 TAB) a similar ride in a race stacked with speed, but he remained hopeful.
🔮 The son of Written Tycoon, now destined for a career at stud with a group 1 on his resume, will go for a spell and likely return in the Apollo Stakes (1400m) at Randwick in February. “He was only ever going to have four runs, and it was a tough run,” Ryan said.
🔮 The cracking pace set and the barrier helped him clock 1:14.05 on Saturday, bettering Trapeze Artist’s 2019 record of 1:14.19. Godolphin racing and bloodstock manager Jason Walsh said the group 1 CF Orr (1400m) at Sandown on November 14 could be next for Pericles. “We were talking about the CF Orr Stakes from here, but a little bit might depend on whether Beiwacht is turning up there as well, but that’s probably the next option,” Walsh said.
🔮 Michael, John and Wayne Hawkes-trained Federalist was also scratched from the Golden Eagle on Wednesday and will spell, cutting the field to 16. Star mare Sheza Alibi was $1.90 after drawing ideally in six for owner Fred Noffke and Victorian trainers Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman.
🔮 “To look at her, you wouldn’t give much for her, but geez, she seems to have everything.
🔮 He took it on and couldn’t put it together, I suppose, so they asked me to train it.
🔮 “I always had an air of confidence she would run her best race today,” Maher said.
🔮 Why this seven-year-old, $34 shot might just be poised to spring an almighty Everest upset By
🔮 TAB senior trader Tim Ryan says Everest day favourites Ka Ying Rising and Autumn Glow are set to deliver a multimillion dollar “wipeout” on Saturday, after the blow of losing Pride Of Jenni from the King Charles III Stakes.
🔮 The six-year-old, expected to take his winning streak to 22 on Saturday and prizemoney past $37 million, has raced just once on rain-affected going, and won.
2026-10-15 · assertive framing · Runner-by-runner guide to the 2026 Everest
Also by Craig Kerry
Nothing else under this byline is closely related to this article, so these are simply their most recent.
All 43 articles by Craig Kerry →

Topics

Inglis Easter Yearling Sale Invisible Coin Proxima Dea’s Queensland Oaks Transtasman Breeders

Subjects

Payne PERSON · 9× Montefilia PERSON · 5× Ciaron Maher PERSON · 2× Gypsy Goddess PERSON · 2× Andy Giles PERSON · 1× Caroline Vincent PERSON · 1× David Payne PERSON · 1× Hugh Docherty PERSON · 1× Proxima Dea’s ORG · 1× Transtasman Breeders ORG · 1×

Narrative

Months later, the group asked Payne to take over the unraced filly, which is now unbeaten in four starts and poised to give the 78-year-old trainer a first group 1 win since Montefilia’s 2022 Ranvet Stakes victory on Saturday in the Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) at Randwick.
framing: assertive · carried by 1 article(s) · first seen 2026-10-22
🔮 He took it on and couldn’t put it together, I suppose, so they asked me to train it.
2026-10-22 · The Sydney Morning Herald
Payne happy to be proven wrong as reject rises to Champion challenge · assertive framing

Claims (37 extracted, 2 hedged)

When David Payne was approached by the same batch of owner-breeders who gave him subsequent four-time group 1 winner Montefilia about his interest in a skinny full-sister to Queensland Oaks winner Gypsy Goddess, the veteran trainer gave them a blunt assessment. asserted
trainer → approach → assessment
“They wanted me to buy at the sale and they wanted 300-odd thousand,” Payne said after Proxima Dea’s third consecutive win. “I looked at it and I said, no, come on. asserted
I → want → it
The Transtasman Breeders group of Andy Giles, Hugh Docherty and Caroline Vincent retained the Tarzino-Invisible Coin filly through top trainer Ciaron Maher, who paid the $300,000 reserve at the 2025 Inglis Easter Yearling Sale and took her on. asserted
who → retain → her
The ownership group bought dam Invisible Coin on the back of its success with Montefilia and before Gypsy Goddess had broken through. asserted
Goddess → buy → Montefilia
Months later, the group asked Payne to take over the unraced filly, which is now unbeaten in four starts and poised to give the 78-year-old trainer a first group 1 win since Montefilia’s 2022 Ranvet Stakes victory on Saturday in the Spring Champion Stakes (2000m) at Randwick. asserted
which → ask → Randwick
“She wasn’t much to look at, but horses, they make fools of you,” Payne said of the young Proxima Dea, which he still described as ugly after her group 3 Gloaming Stakes (1800m) win last start. “ asserted
he → look → win
They bred her and wanted to put a reserve of $300,000 of her. asserted
They → breed → her
At that stage, I think Ciaron Maher must have thought the same. asserted
Maher → think → same
He took it on and couldn’t put it together, I suppose, so they asked me to train it. asserted
they → take → it
“You just never know, with what goes around. asserted
what → know → ?
It’s a funny game. asserted
It → ’ → ?
“We gave her four or five trials to work her out, but being a stayer, they take time and when we ran her first-up, I thought she’d run a nice race, but she ended up winning, and she’s just kept winning. asserted
she → give → race
Payne has won the Spring Champion with Montefilia in 2020 and colt Ace High in 2017. asserted
Payne → win → 2017
Proxima Dea was $5 (TAB) to give him another victory in the three-year-old staying test, and a $3.50 favourite for the main target, the VRC Oaks (2500m) on November 5 at Flemington. asserted
Dea → give → Flemington
“She’d bred to stay very well, so you would think the further, the better for her,” Payne said. asserted
Payne → breed → her
Montefilia was a much bigger, stronger filly, but it’s still early days. asserted
it → ’ → ?
She might develop, you never know.” uncertain
you → develop → ?
Payne also has Ming Dynasty Quality winner Persian Wonder ($19) in the Spring Champion. asserted
Payne → have → Champion
He was one that Payne did buy, for $160,000, at the same Inglis sale. asserted
Payne → buy → sale
The gelding, with two wins in 11 starts, earned a shot at the group 1 when less than two lengths away in sixth in the Gloaming. asserted
gelding → earn → Gloaming
“It was a good run because it was a muddling race, a slow pace and he was coming home strong, so we’ll step him up and I think he will run well,” Payne said. asserted
Payne → muddle → him
“We’ll see how he goes, if he runs well, I might put him in the [Victoria] Derby [on October 31]. uncertain
I → see → October
The pair and Furious and Tea Rose Stakes winner Bangkok Hottie, which was third in the group 1 Flight Stakes before going for a spell, have led a memorable resurgence from Payne’s boutique Rosehill stable. asserted
which → go → stable
The former champion South African trainer and jockey, who relocated to Australia in 2002, has relished the success against the major stables and shows no signs of slowing down. “I’ve been around a long time, and it’s just the challenge,” he said. asserted
he → relocate → signs
“At the sales, we buy the cheapies and it’s nice when it works out. asserted
it → buy → cheapies
Numbers beat you usually. asserted
Numbers → beat → you
They have big numbers and we keep only 16 in work, so you are taking on hundreds of horses from different stables, but we’ve been lucky this year, touch wood. asserted
we → have → wood
“I’m going to be 79 in January, and I’ve got to have something to do, and I enjoy this. asserted
I → go → this
“I mean, who would think they would still be working [at 78], but I love it. asserted
I → mean → it
I’ve got good clients who look after me and let me do my thing. asserted
me → get → thing
“Otherwise, what would you be doing? asserted
you → do → what
Without work, you can only get up and go for a walk and a coffee, and then you’ve got the rest of the day. asserted
you → get → day
If you travel, you’re away for a few weeks, then you are back, so you’ve got to have something to do.” asserted
you → travel → something
John Sargent-trained Flight Stakes winner Global Goal was a $2.90 favourite for the Spring Champion. asserted
Goal → train → Champion
Payne’s pair are yet to face her. asserted
pair → face → her
“She’s a very good filly, any filly that wins the Flight Stakes like her,” Payne said. asserted
Payne → ’s → her
“She’s going to be hard to beat.” asserted
She → go → ?
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